Today, the United States and Israel launched military strikes on targets inside Iran, sharply escalating tensions in the Middle East. Geopolitical risk premiums are set to return rapidly to the forefront of market pricing. Next week, capital inflows into the precious metals sector, led by gold and silver, appear almost certain. In the gold ETF space, the largest physically backed gold ETF, $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ , is up 22.06% year to date, while $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ has gained 22.05%. Among gold mining ETFs, $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ is up 35.06% this year and $VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF(GDXJ)$ has risen 37.27%.
CME Relaxes Margins: Will "Gold Rush" Comeback?
Effective after the close on March 6, 2026, the CME Group has slashed initial margin requirements for Gold (from 9% to 7%) and Silver (from 18% to 14%). This move signals an end to a relentless cycle of six consecutive margin hikes that aimed to curb the "volatility" in early 2026. The fundamental demand remains institutionalized: the World Gold Council reports a massive $5.3 billion net inflow into gold ETFs in February, 9 consecutive month of growth. Will margin cut invite a fresh wave of leveraged speculators? Will gold start a sustained rebound?
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