To The Moon

UNH Q4 Earnings: Profit Under Pressure, 2026 Theme Shifts to "Repricing, Scale Optimization, and Repair" Before the market opened on January 27, $UnitedHealth(UNH)$   released its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results. The stock plunged over 18% at the open due to guidance missing market expectations and the impact of Medicare Advantage (MA) rate adjustments. Key Financial Metrics ~Revenue: Reported at $113.20 billion, missing market expectations of $113.70 billion. ~Earnings Per Share (EPS): GAAP diluted EPS was $0.01, far below the consensus estimate of $1.73. Adjusted EPS came in at $2.11, slightly beating the expectation of $2.10. ~Operating Profit: Q4 operating profit was $0.40 billion, a

My stock in focus today is $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ after a blowout earnings report that further confirms the storage super cycle. Seagate beat expectations across revenue, margins & guidance, driven by surging demand for enterprise nearline HDDs & high-performance SSDs from AI data centers, reinforcing storage as a core pillar of AI infrastructure. Guidance was the key highlight. Seagate expects FY26 Q3 revenue of around $2.9B and EPS near $3.40, both well above consensus, with record margins underscoring strong pricing power. Management also noted nearline HDD capacity is effectively sold out through 2026, providing rare demand visibility. Stepping back, AI data centers are expanding both SSD and HDD usage as hyperscalers adopt hyb

After AI Storage's Rerating, TXN Puts Analog and Power Next in Line $Texas Instruments(TXN)$   is not a GPU story. It sells the "keep-the-lights-on" silicon: power management and signal conversion that sits everywhere from factory gear to car platforms and, increasingly, AI data centers. This quarter, that boring profile suddenly looked like a rerating setup, in the same way AI storage turned "commodity bits" into an infrastructure trade. Why TXN jumped after earnings The backward-looking quarter was close to in line, but the forward setup improved in ways that matter for multiples. 1) Guidance beat with real dollars attached. For Q1, $Texas Instruments (TXN.US)$ guided revenue of $4.32B to $4.68B versus the

FOMC Preview: Powell Holds the Line, Trump Sets the Future The January FOMC conference is due to be held on the Wednesday, 28th of January 2:30pm Eastern Time, but the "no cut" decision is already priced in. While $S&P 500(.SPX)$   holds firm and $XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$   breaks out, high-beta names like $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   and $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   are trading on earnings, not macro. The real story is President Trump's Davos hint of an imminent, "ve

$UnitedHealth(UNH)$   Key Points from Recent Reports • UnitedHealth’s Q4 results slightly beat on earnings per share but missed revenue expectations, and the company guided to lower 2026 revenue (about 2% decline). Shares declined sharply on this outlook.  • The CMS proposed a very modest increase (around 0.09 per cent) in Medicare Advantage payment rates for 2027, failing to keep pace with industry expectations and adding pressure on health insurers, particularly those with large MA footprints.  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average was weighed down by health insurer weakness, even as broader indices such as the S&P 500 posted gains.  Contrasting Analyst Views • Some analysts argue valuation metrics can present a long-ter

Wall Street’s current view of Tesla reflects a tension between short-term financial realism and long-term strategic optimism. Analysts have pulled back 2026 earnings forecasts significantly, yet price targets have been raised in some cases, pointing to a belief that Tesla’s narrative around autonomy, robotaxi economics and robotics could eventually justify premium valuations even if near-term profits disappoint. Here is a balanced assessment of whether the artificial intelligence and robotics story can support higher valuations and what specific milestones markets will look for. Can the AI and Robotics Narrative Justify Higher Valuations? In principle, yes—but only if execution aligns with visionary goals and delivers measurable, scalable economics. There are three core elements to this na

The Seagate print reinforces why the storage complex remains one of the cleanest AI infrastructure trades, but it also sharpens the distinction between fundamental winners and momentum excess ahead of SanDisk and Western Digital. What Seagate’s Beat Really Signals Seagate Technology beating on both EPS and revenue confirms three important trends: 1. AI demand is real and broad-based, not confined to GPUs. Training and inference workloads are driving sustained demand for high-capacity, nearline storage. 2. Pricing power has returned, particularly in enterprise HDDs, as supply discipline meets structurally higher demand. 3. Operating leverage is kicking in. Storage is a brutal business during downturns, but margins expand rapidly when utilisation tightens. This sets a constructive backdrop f

ASML's Bookings Explosion: A Wake-Up Call for the Entire Semi Equipment Sector Global lithography leader $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$   has released its latest Q4 earnings, sending the stock soaring in pre-market trading. Let's look under the hood to see the true quality of this report. Three Things to Watch Net Bookings Explode: The Memory Sector Begins an Epic Expansion Wave ASML delivered a blowout number for Q4 net bookings at €13.16 billion. This represents an 86% year-over-year increase and a staggering 144% quarter-over-quarter jump, obliterating the market consensus of just €6.795 billion. Specifically, EUV bookings came in at €7.4 billion, up 147% year-over-year. The total backlog at the end of the quar

I see the new Monday/Wednesday options mainly as short-term tactical tools, not something to trade aggressively. The extra expiries allow tighter positioning around specific catalysts like macro headlines or post-earnings moves, without overpaying for time value. I’d mostly use them in defined-risk spreads rather than straight long options. From the eligible names, I’m most interested in $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ . Both tend to show strong short-term momentum and active Gamma behavior, which fits Mon/Wed expiries well. NVDA often reacts quickly to AI-related news, while META works nicely for short-term volatility or quick Nasdaq hedges. Between the two, Wednesday expiries suit my

I read Pelosi’s trade as risk management, not a tech bearish call. Trimming $Apple(AAPL)$ and $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ after a strong run while rolling exposure into LEAP calls is a smart way to lock in gains and stay positioned for long-term upside with less capital at risk. It’s about efficiency and optionality, not exiting tech. For retail investors, the lesson isn’t to copy congressional trades, but to understand the thinking behind them. Most retail traders can’t size or structure trades the same way, so blindly following disclosures rarely works. What does help is learning when to take profits and how to maintain exposure without overcommitting capital. $UnitedHealt

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Historically, breaking all-time highs has often preceded further gains rather than immediate reversals. Studies of periods following new record closes show the index posting positive returns in the large majority of cases over subsequent 3–12 months and longer horizons, with average forward gains in the double digits in some analyses (e.g., positive in 13 of 14 observed instances in one review, averaging ~14%). Bull markets can persist for years once momentum builds, supported by compounding earnings growth, especially in a tech/AI-led environment. Supportive factors for further upside: Continued strong corporate earnings growth (particularly in Magnificent 7/tech sectors driving recent rallies). Stable or declining rates post-

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML's Q4 2025 results align closely with the details provided. The company reported Q4 net sales of €9.7 billion (record), gross margin of 52.2%, and net income of €2.8 billion. Full-year 2025 net sales reached €32.7 billion (up ~16% YoY implied) with a 52.8% gross margin and €9.6 billion net income. Net bookings in Q4 hit a record €13.2 billion (nearly double consensus expectations around €6.3 billion), including €7.4 billion from EUV systems; the year-end backlog stood at €38.8 billion (with ~€25.5 billion EUV). Revenue in Q4 included two High-NA EUV systems. 2026 growth appears locked in based on guidance and CEO commentary. ASML guided 2026 total net sales to €34–39 billion (roughly 4–19% growth from 2025's €32.7 billi

$TSLA earnings tonight key points: Bottom line: I expect the stock to be flat to up on earnings. In the end, investors who believe in Tesla's view will be unchanged after earnings. ➡️When the numbers hit the first two factors that investors will be focused on is ASP's in a post tax credit world and gross margins. ➡️ASP in Sep were $41.8K ➡️Auto margins ex credits are expected to be 13.6%. ➡️That compares to 15.4% in Sep, 15% in June and 12.5% in March. I expect margins will end 2025 closer to 15%. The meat that investors are looking for will come on the earnings call. ➡️How many cities will roll out this year for Robotaxi without a safety driver. Elon had said they would add 6-8 cities previously. ➡️There is little he will say on Optimus or FSD in Europe in China beyond what he s

From a trend perspective, $16.5 needs to hold. The secondary indicators are not favourable and the likelihood of a reversal in trend is high. The volume is also low, indicating that the speculators have moved on. In the short term, if there’s no further news to excite the market, CRML might indeed be consolidating or even correct its pricing. On the commercial front, the company has completed all its off take deals (100%), so there’s no more deals to make on this front. The only progress it could show is from its continued exploration success and pilot plant development. The surprise (good or bad but beyond its control) for this company is always Trump and its government’s interest in either Greenland 🇬🇱 or the miner itself. Need another week or so to see the trend flow…

🌟🌟🌟A wild high stakes earnings week is unfolding this  week.  Here is my prediction for 4 of the Mag 7 post earnings: Apple - C: Slight Dip. This is because of investor anxiety over profit margins and a lack of clear monetisation AI strategy. Concerns about a potential slowdown in iPhone demand in key markets like China. Tesla - B Slight Gain: Despite declining vehicle sales & margin pressures, TSLA found support in investor optimism about future ventures like Robotaxi business & AI initiatives.  Energy storage division is a bright spot with higher profit margins. Microsoft - C: Slight Dip.  MSFT is weighed down by investor unease regarding rising capital expenditure needed to build AI & Cloud infrastructure at large scale. Meta - C Slight Dip: This reflect