$S&P 500(.SPX)$ A strong January does tilt probabilities in favour of a constructive 2026, but the path is unlikely to be linear. U.S. equities: Double-digit gains remain plausible, though harder than in prior years. Valuations are elevated, so returns will depend more on earnings delivery than multiple expansion. Expect higher volatility and sharper rotations rather than a broad, smooth rally. Relative performance: The U.S. may outperform on absolute earnings quality, but could lag selectively versus parts of Asia and Europe where valuations are lower and policy cycles are more accommodative. Leadership may narrow rather than broaden. AI leadership rotation: Near term, memory and infrastructure stocks benefit from capacity tightness and
This flip is more than a fleeting sentiment move, but it should not be read as a permanent coronation either. What the market is signalling Investors are clearly rewarding Alphabet for translating AI from narrative into visible monetisation. Search integration, cloud growth, and productivity tools show near-term revenue leverage, which supports both earnings confidence and multiple durability. In contrast, Apple remains perceived as AI-defensive rather than AI-offensive, with value still anchored to hardware cycles and ecosystem lock-in. Short-term versus structural In the short term, this reflects relative momentum. Alphabet’s earnings sensitivity to AI adoption is clearer today. However, market leadership shifts only become structural when cash flows, not just product roadmaps, diverge p
1) DBS and OCBC at highs: add or trim? For long-term holders, this is a hold or selective trim, not an aggressive add. DBS Group and OCBC are pricing in peak ROE and stable credit conditions. Adding on strength only makes sense if dividends are the priority. Trimming into rallies to rebalance risk is rational. 2) Will UOB catch up? UOB is the more plausible laggard-to-catch-up play. Its ASEAN exposure offers medium-term upside if regional growth improves, but near-term catalysts are weaker. Expect slower re-rating rather than a sharp catch-up. 3) Rate cuts in 2026: can banks still rise? Yes, but returns will be dividend-led, not multiple-driven. NIMs will compress, yet loan growth, fee income, and asset quality should cushion earnings. Bank stocks can grind higher, but expect mid-sing
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 2026 Investment Time Capsule: 1. The sector or stock I’m most optimistic about in 2026 is high-quality, cash-generating businesses with durable competitive advantages (especially consumer staples, financials, and select technology leaders) because these companies benefit from strong moats, pricing power, and disciplined management. Following Warren Buffett’s philosophy, I believe owning wonderful businesses at sensible prices allows compounding to work steadily, regardless of short-term market noise. 2. My three trading rules are: • Invest only in businesses I clearly understand because long-term conviction comes from knowledge, not speculation. As Buffett says, staying within my circle of competence reduces costly mistakes.
NOC Bullish Cycle Nearing Completion with Possible Retest of Highs
NOC remains in a strong long-term bullish structure, but the Elliott Wave cycle looks mature and may retest recent highs before a deeper corrective phase begins. Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) remains in a strong long-term bullish trend on the monthly chart. The stock has shown years of steady growth supported by a clear Elliott Wave structure. However, the current cycle now looks mature and may be close to completing. Before this cycle ends, price may retest or slightly break recent highs. The Elliott Wave counts show that Northrop Grumman completed a major long-term Wave II correction in the past. This correction helped reset the market and prepared it for a powerful new bullish phase. After Wave II ended, the stock started a strong impulsive advance. It developed into a multi-
Caterpillar (CAT) Confirms Structural Nesting in the S&P 500 (SPX) With Targets at 10,000
As a bellwether industrial stock, Caterpillar often reflects the underlying strength of the economy and signals long-term market positioning. Its price behavior tends to lead broader market trends, offering insight into structural phases rather than short-term fluctuations. Viewed through this lens, $CAT’s current action suggests stability and leadership, supporting the idea that the $SPX is not topping but instead forming a durable base for a higher long-term move. Within our Elliott Wave Theory framework, Caterpillar ($CAT) is entering, or may already be within wave ((II)). Wave ((III)) is historically recognized for its strength and vertical price action, occurring when market participants broadly align on one side of the market. Pullbacks in this phase are often regarded as profit-taki
COP Keeps Its Long-Term Bullish Elliott Wave Structure Intact, with Strong Upside Potential Toward Key Fibonacci Targets. ConocoPhillips continues to show a strong long-term bullish trend using Elliott Wave analysis. The quarterly chart shows a clear impulsive rally from historic lows. The Right Side tag stays bullish as long as price remains above the invalidation level near 3.02. This level is far away from current prices. So, the broader trend remains upward. Pullbacks should act as corrections, not the start of a bearish cycle. From the earlier historical lows, COP has developed a multi-decade impulsive advance. A clear Wave I, II, and III structure has unfolded over the years, and Wave III is now progressing in its final swings. Each corrective phase has resolved in favor of the large
The Evolution of the S-REIT Investor: Why Retail Capital Was “Buying Safe” in 2025
In the world of Singapore Real Estate Investment Trusts (S-REITs), the narrative has long been dominated by institutional “smart money.” However, a closer look at retail capital flows between 2024 and 2025 reveals a profound shift in mindset. What retail investors are refusing to buy today tells a far more compelling story than what they are actually holding. From “Buying Cheap” to “Buying Safe” The data points to a retail investor base that has clearly matured after several years of volatility. Published market figures show a clear divergence between retail and institutional behaviour across the top 10 S-REITs. The Great Divide: 2024 vs. 2025 In 2024, retail investors injected approximately S$1.6 billion into S-REITs, attempting to catch a falling knife as higher inter
Google+Boston Dynamics: The Android Moment for Robotics? At this year's CES, Boston Dynamics announced a collaboration with $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google DeepMind's Gemini Robotics model, highlighting Google's strength in the AI field. Google's strategy of not engaging in hardware manufacturing but instead creating an ecosystem through open technology interfaces is once again being implemented in the robotics field. This collaboration with Boston Dynamics will attract more robot manufacturers to join the Gemini ecosystem, accelerating the positive cycle of "model iteration - data feedback - performance improvement". As the collaboration progresses, Google is poised to replicate Android's ecosystem success in
Nvidia's Alpamayo Sparks Autonomous Driving Surge: What Investors Should Watch in 2026 At CES 2026, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ unveiled Alpamayo, an open-source autonomous driving AI model. CEO Jensen Huang called it "the world's first self-driving car AI capable of thinking and reasoning," directly challenging Tesla's FSD system. Huang announced that the first vehicles equipped with Nvidia's technology will hit U.S. roads in Q1. Notably, Huang declared that the "ChatGPT moment" for physical AI has arrived—machines are now beginning to understand, reason, and take action in the real world. Robotaxis are among the first beneficiaries. Alpamayo brings reasoning capabilities to autonomous vehicles, enabling them to thin
🚨 Monster Bet Ignites Fed Funds Frenzy: $8M Risk Per Tick – Is the Rate Game About to Explode? 💥
Picture this: a mysterious bond trader unleashes the mother of all wagers in the Fed funds futures arena, smashing records with a colossal 200,000-contract block trade on the January 2026 expiry. 😲 This isn't your average market flutter – it's a seismic shift that's got Wall Street buzzing like a hive of caffeinated bees! The CME Group itself confirmed this beast as the largest ever, dwarfing previous heavyweights and signaling someone with deep pockets is dead serious about where interest rates are headed. 📈 Let's break it down, folks. Fed funds futures are basically crystal balls for predicting the Federal Reserve's overnight lending rate – the heartbeat of the entire economy. Traders use them to hedge or speculate on Fed policy moves, and this January contract zeros in on the average ra
🚨📰 JUST IN: Analyst upgrades converge across crypto, data, design, and AI power as structure confirms beneath price 🚨📰
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Bullish $Snowflake(SNOW)$ Bullish $Bloomin(BLMN)$ Bullish 08Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 09Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 I’m watching a rare moment where analyst conviction, deal flow, policy tailwinds, and tape structure are all aligning. These upgrades are not isolated calls. They map directly onto where capital is consolidating across the AI economy, from financial rails, to data gravity, to collaboration layers, and now power itself. 🚨📰 JUST IN: $COIN 🟢 BofA upgrades to BUY | PT $340 I see Bank of America reframing Coinbase as an “Everything Exchange,” and that framing matters. Stocks, ETFs, prediction markets, and crypto under on
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Progressive(PGR)$ $Aon PLC(AON)$ 🚀📊🧠 Q1 Alpha Map Exposed, Why Insurers Quietly Dominate Early-Year Returns 🧠📊🚀 08Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 09Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 I’m treating this as a structural roadmap, not a seasonal curiosity. When I analyse a full decade of Q1 performance inside the S&P 500, leadership has been strikingly consistent. Capital does not chase stories in January. It reallocates toward balance sheet strength, pricing power, and earnings visibility while macro paths are still being priced. 🛡️ Insurance is the ancho
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$$CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ 🚨📰 $BTC indicator flips bullish again. Buyers are stepping in again at this level. I’m focused on $COIN right here because the market is telling a very clean story across structure, volatility, and crypto beta. Since flagging this zone yesterday, price has respected the $238.60–241.00 band, flushed residual liquidity, and rotated higher back inside the Keltner channel. That response matters. This is not a bounce, it is absorption. Right shoulders are constructed through overlap and time, not through vertical upside candles. The latest 4H struct
🚗⚡📈 TSLA Compression Builds As Autonomy Leadership And Regulatory Optionality Collide With Macro Risk 📈⚡🚗
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 08Jan26 🇺🇸|09Jan26 🇳🇿 New high of the day printed early, steady buying from the open with price holding above intraday VWAP as consolidation tightens. +$12 off the low today. No new “good news.” No sentiment shift. Buyers showed up anyway. Price first. Narratives later! I’m tracking $TSLA through a very deliberate consolidation phase where price, flow, and narrative are lining up again after two weeks of sequential decline. This is not disorderly selling. This is digestion. 📊 My Daily Structure
$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ 🚀📡 LEO Cellular Moves From Vision to Execution as BofA Lifts $ASTS Target 🚀📡 🚨📰 JUST IN: $ASTS 🟡 BofA hikes PT to $100 from $85 | Rating remains Neutral I’m watching the low Earth orbit trade move decisively out of the concept phase and into an execution-driven window, and Bank of America’s price target hike on AST SpaceMobile reflects that shift. This is not a momentum-only adjustment. It’s an acknowledgment that direct-to-device satellite connectivity is becoming commercially relevant, even as delivery r
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 08Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 09Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 Midday check in. I’m tracking a controlled volatility unwind with rotation under the surface. $DJI +267.86 or +0.55% at 49,263 as cyclicals and defense drive index recovery after yesterday’s risk reset. $SPX flat at 6,917, pinned by gamma and index hedging, while $IXIC -148.68 or -0.63% reflects tech rotation rather than broad risk-off. Volatility continues to leak lower with $VIX at 15.33, confirming no stress impulse. $6905, $6915, $6925 $SPX - Range for 2 hours! Breadth is constructive but uneven. NYSE advancers lead decliners 2,204 to 1,
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ I’m watching retail flows hit escape velocity as the New Year kicks off. JPMorgan data shows the 2nd-highest weekly ETF buying in nearly 8 months, with daily purchases consistently above the 85th percentile since 1/2. That tells me this isn’t dip-buying noise, it’s portfolio-level re-risking. “Retail investors quickly refocused attention to their trading portfolios as the New Year began, leading to 2nd-highest weekly buying levels in nearly 8M & daily purchases consistently exceeding the 85th percentile [relative to its 12M average] since 1/2" -- Arun Jain,
My focus today is $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ , which surged nearly 20% intraday after Trump proposed a US$500 billion increase in U.S. military spending. While the news lifted the entire defense sector, I find it telling that money quickly rotated into drone & advanced defense technology names, signaling expectations of a more tech-focused military expansion. From a thematic standpoint, Ondas is well aligned with the shift toward unmanned systems, surveillance & autonomous warfare. The market isn’t just reacting to bigger budgets, but also to a change in spending priorities that favors next-generation capabilities where smaller, innovative players can