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2025-08-05
Jobs Report Is In. What's Next for the Fed?
It was with mixed emotions as I witnessed US market drowned in a sea of red, on the first trading day of August 2025. On the one hand, I half expected D-day to arrive because with the S&P 500 or Nasdaq or both indexes keep charting new highs consecutively, is just so surreal. On the other hand, to witness one’s holdings get “reduced” is just brutal. One of the culprits, confirmed by media was US Non-farm payroll report (July 2025), released before trading began on Friday. Non Farm Payroll. The reported data was pure disaster. US job growth slowed more than expected and prior month's report was revised sharply lower, indicating US labour market may be starting to crack. (see below) As per US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS), for July 2025, employers added just 73,000 jobs. That tally i
TOPPorter Harry: Though the data is very shocking, it’s good news for the Fed cut.
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2025-08-05
RGTI suggests an early signal of a potential trend reversal
$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ This rebound, while still technically a countertrend move, suggests an early signal of a potential trend reversal, reinforced by increased speculative buying interest.📅 Date: August 4, 2025🔍 Prepared by: Pretiming Forecasting System📊 Ticker: RGTI | Closing Price: $15.80 (+11.61%)1. Today's Market FlowOn August 4, RGTI stock closed at $15.80, marking a sharp 11.61% surge from the previous session. This outsized gain occurred within a Bearish trend zone, indicating a temporary deviation from the prevailing downward momentum.Despite the stock remaining in a Bearish zone, buy-sell intensity rapidly shifted, resulting in a strong bullish inflow and a price breakout from the recent consolidation box pattern. This reb
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2025-08-05
Daily Charts - A big beautiful capex boom is underway
A big beautiful capex boom is underway... and it's just getting started 👀Thematic Growth Drivers:-Electrification-Energy Transition-Artificial Intelligence-Robotics-On/Re/Near/Friend-Shoring-Next-gen Manufacturing-Geopolitics/Defense-SpaceWhat did I miss?The larger theme is arguably a transition from the Software age of the past couple decades to the Hardware age (next couple of decades?)ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading
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2025-08-05
The stock market is about confidence, just as much as data
Is the economy in good shape today?Are you sure of your answer?Are you relying on anecdotal data to make your assessment?Public data?Private data?Do you go off vibes?When the stock market is trading near all-time highs and valuations are at a non-recession peak, we can assume confidence is high. But should it be?I’ll get to how data plays a role in the market’s confidence and why the BLS unemployment report on Friday was both shocking and entirely expected for those with a balanced view of the market.Friday’s Jobs ReportYou may have seen that Friday’s jobs report was disappointing, with only 73,000 jobs added in July and revisions of May and June data that reduced previous estimates by over a quarter million jobs. This is the report that sent the market lower, and it was indeed concerning,
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2025-08-05
Uber Technologies (UBER) Gross Bookings and Guidance To Watch
$Uber(UBER)$ is scheduled to release its Q2 2025 earnings on Wednesday, August 6, 2025, before the market opens. Here is an analysis of what to look for and potential trading opportunities. Revenue and EPS: The consensus among analysts is for an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.62 and revenue of $12.46 billion. A positive surprise on either of these figures would be a bullish signal. Adjusted EBITDA: This metric is a key indicator of profitability for Uber. The company has guided for Q2 adjusted EBITDA to be between $2.02 billion and $2.12 billion, which would be a significant year-over-year increase. For its fiscal Q1 2025, Uber Technologies (UBER) reported a significant beat on earnings per share (EPS), with $0.83 against a forecast of $0.51. Howe
TOPLow expectations here. Usually goes down post earnings.
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2025-08-05
$APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ 🚀📊 AI-fueled and crypto-cooled: $APLD’s breakout play is heating up 🍋🔥📈 I’m extremely confident Applied Digital Corp ($APLD) is entering the acceleration phase of a multi-week squeeze setup. This $2.7B infrastructure company sits squarely at the crossroads of two of the most explosive secular narratives on the market: generative AI and Bitcoin mining. The charts are screaming bullish continuation, and the short interest? Jet fuel. APLD just inked a colossal $7B, 15-year hosting agreement with CoreWeave; giving it a massive AI compute demand tailwind. It’s also locking in relationships with red-hot AI players like Character.AI. That contract scale is unheard of for a mid-cap. This isn’t a retail speculation; it’s infras
TOP📣Okay but $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ going up 30% after touching the 10-week?? That’s not just vibes, that’s structure. If it flips $14 clean I might need to stop sleeping on it
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2025-08-05
$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ 🔌⚡️🚀 Utilities just shocked the tape: $XLU charges into all-time highs 🔋💥📈 I’m extremely confident this move has been long in the making. $XLU has officially broken above its multi-year resistance box, slicing through the $84–$85 congestion zone with conviction. The weekly structure? Flawless. The 4H compression? Resolved with force. We’re now in full discovery mode at $87.20, and technicals are confirming the breakout: stacked EMAs, bullish Keltner channel drift, and strong candle structure inside upper Bollinger territory. I’m fascinated by how quietly this move has unfolded. Utilities have been the wallflower at the macro dance; under-owned, unloved, and lagging broader sentiment rotation into risk. Yet t
TOPThis breakout in $XLU reminds me of the early 2019 rotation into $VNQ when everyone was still fixated on tech. I’m not sure most funds are ready for how fast this can move once rate cuts actually hit. That yield factor sensitivity isn’t priced in yet, and you laid it out perfectly with the compression break and Bollinger structure. Quiet trades like this tend to become loud narratives real quick.
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2025-08-05
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🚀📊 From panic to parabolic: is this the ignition point? 💥📈🔥 On Friday, it felt like gravity was winning, but today, we’re defying it in real-time. SPY is trading at $629.77 (+1.30%) and QQQ is leading tech higher at $563.31 (+1.7%), with IWM participating at $218.61 (+1.70%). This isn’t just a bounce; it’s a marketwide surge that’s flipping the sentiment script while the session is still underway. 🔵 Market breadth is roaring: • 81.11% of stocks advancing (1808 vs 421); institutional accumulation is back on the tape • 88 new highs vs just 36 lows; breadth thrusts like this are often precursors to short-term trend reversals • Stage Analysis is shifting beneath the surface: Stage 2 (advancing) now holds 38.07% of the
TOPSPY tagging that $628.23 gold mid then rejecting at the exact gap level is sharp. The trapped buyer call is legit, especially with macro still unsettled. I’m watching $GOOGL to see if it respects its own gap zone the same way. Very timely post.
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2025-08-05
$Robinhood(HOOD)$ 📈🛠️🔥 Robinhood isn’t bouncing; it’s igniting a new market structure 🔥🛠️📈 I’m extremely confident that Robinhood ($HOOD) just triggered a directional regime shift, not a reactionary bounce. Every signal, including macro, technical, and flow-based factors, aligns into a textbook asymmetric setup backed by size. We’re seeing real structural flow at scale, not low-volume speculation. I’m tracking two monster call blocks that exploded through Unusual Whales on 04Aug25: • 4,301 contracts of the $HOOD 110C 08/22/2025 at $3.62 avg, totalling $1,558,280, 92% ask-side, +133 OI • A second sweep of 2,637 contracts filled at $3.49, for $921,264, 91% bid-side, same expiry Both positions carry 18 days to expiry, sit 5.41% out of the money, and
TOP📉Robinhood breaking above compression with size behind it is exactly the kind of structural confirmation I like to see. That $2.4M call flow into the 110C isn’t retail noise, it’s real capital. If this reg clarity sticks, HOOD might front-run COIN’s move from earlier this year.
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2025-08-05
Daily Charts - PLTR jumps to a new all-time high
1.Palantir $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ jumps to a new all-time high 📈📈Image2.Starbucks $Starbucks(SBUX)$ has now posted six straight quarters of shrinking-same store sales 📉 That's not greatImage3.Berkshire Hathaway $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ Buffett might have to cancel his retirement! BRK.A now underperforming the S&P 500 by 26 percentage points since his retirement announcement 🤯Image4.Greed returns to the Stock Market 🤑🥳🫂Image5.Potential Triple Top for Dow Jones Industrials $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 🚨🚨🚨ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20
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2025-08-05
RKT & BTE Show Strong Bullish Trends
1. $Rocket Companies(RKT)$ Post Earnings Gap (PEG) below 3.6x ATR% multiple from 50-MAI will always stalk a PEG price structure like this for VCP before it qualifies into my focus list.Image2. $Baytex Energy Corp.(BTE)$ BTE (ADR 5.2%) - MA ConvergenceAnother similar sort of price structure to $CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ but with in $Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf(XOP)$ group with much higher liquidity. 1.6B Market Cap, $100mil average dollar vol. Notable RS beneath 200-MA. Breached of 3-month high seem to be the pivotal level at $2.24.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from bel
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2025-08-05
CRML (ADR 16%) - MAs Convergence
$CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ (ADR 16%) - MAs ConvergenceSmall cap miner in $Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF(LIT)$ metals, only 28% outstanding tradable shares of 28mil and avg dollar volume is $21mil. 10% short float is not a shout but may have impactful upside price action on short covering for such tight share structure. Beaten down name but current last is already +150% since high RVOL action from 13/6. I like the share structure, the technical structure, LIT RS to $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ since June, and the fact that there's only 4 employees listed in in the company.Image For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA t
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2025-08-05
Mapletree Logistics Trust's 1Q FY25/26 Result Review
$Mapletree Log Tr(M44U.SI)$ Basic Profile & Key Statistics Key Indicators Performance Highlight Gross revenue and NPI declined slightly year-on-year, mainly due to the absence of contributions from divested properties, currency weakness in foreign markets, and lower contributions from China. These were partially offset by stronger performance from Singapore, Australia, and Hong Kong SAR, as well as the full-period contribution from acquisitions completed in the previous fiscal year. However, the amount distributable to unitholders and DPU fell significantly. This was largely due to: Absence of distribution from divestment gains Higher foreign exchange losses A notably lower figure under "Other non-tax deductible items and adjustments" (Note
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2025-08-05
STX – RS Leader in Electronics Tech, Strong Post-Earnings Momentum
$Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ – RS Leader in Electronics Tech, Strong Post-Earnings MomentumLast week we played a game to examine STX ATR multiple extension from its 50-MA. It was 4.8x on Thursday and it further tightened to 4x on Friday. It also marked 3 straight sessions of notable relative strength following its Q2 earnings release after Tuesday’s close.If this volatility continues to contract into a classic VCP structure, STX will be upgraded from a stalk candidate to a prime focus name for me, especially as the broader market may further recalibrates this week.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as
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2025-08-01
$MSFT 20260220 500.0 CALL$ I sold yesterday. Refer to history beat earning and consistent profitability , I bought CALL a couple weeks before earning date.
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2025-08-01
$SPY 20250919 606.0 PUT$ sharing for tiger coins :)
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2025-08-01
$UNH 20250801 247.5 PUT$ lost big on this. Didn't expect the selling to continue another 3 days after earning drop. Ready to get assigned. Will be selling covered calls nx week. Stay tune.
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2025-08-02
$ALB.HK 20250730 105.00 PUT$ TP for my BABA trade[Cool]
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2025-08-02
$CAT.HK 20250730 270.00 PUT$ TP for CATL play but will stop trading CATL cos it hv run up a lot oledi[Cool]