To The Moon

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1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Since forming a low at 4835.04 on April 7th, the S&P 500 has rallied nearly 650 points, pushing us up toward the 5500 level. For the past four trading days, price has been consolidating inside last Wednesday’s candle range and now the big question on everyone’s mind is: Where do we go next?I like to approach things through scenarios, so here are three potential scenarios I’m watching over the next few weeks:Scenario 1: Bullish 📈 SPX back tests 5350 and holds. We chop in a 5350–5500 range, then break above 5500 and begin filling the gap to the upside. As we form higher lows during the gap fill, momentum builds for a run toward 5700.Scenario 2: Bearish 📉 SPX back tests 5350, ranges between 5350–5400, then breaks down. We l

1."Smart traders look to sell premium" when the VIX is over 40, thus taking advantage of the elevated volatility and hence elevated premiums. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ over 40 isn't a sustainable event, and eventually fear subsides and the VIX calms and comes back down.2. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ announces earnings on Thursday, April 17 before market open. Been seeing some differences in expected move from various data providers, but essentially the move is in the 5-7% range.Optionselling Trade :Am looking to write a put ladder, selling-to-open the April 25 expiration and targeting the following areas - recent bottom at 134 - unfilled gap at 103 - and maybe the 115 areaPoints To Conside

April 14, 2025 Tariff Tango A Volatile Dance: Tech Exemptions, Tweets & Tariff Whiplash Stocks closed higher for the second straight session, shaking off yet another round of confusing signals from the White House on tariffs. Dow Jones: +0.8% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.8% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +0.6% Markets initially surged after Customs and Border Protection released guidance suggesting some tech imports (e.g., smartphones, PCs, chips) might be exempt from the harshest reciprocal tariffs. But by Sunday, President Trump publicly walked back that optimism, insisting “NOBODY is getting off the hook.” Tech Stocks Lead, But It's a Tentative Rally Electronics names including

Hello everyone! In today’s article, we’ll examine the recent performance of SPDR Metals & Mining ETF ($XME) through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. We’ll review how the decline from the November 07, 2024, high unfolded as a big 3-swing correction and discuss our forecast for the next move. Let’s dive into the structure and expectations for this ETF.   $XME Daily Elliott Wave Chart 4.06.2025: $XME In the Daily Elliott Wave count from April 06, 2025, we see that $XME completed a 5-wave impulsive cycle at blue ((I)). As expected, this initial wave prompted a pullback. We anticipated this pullback to unfold in 3 swings first, likely finding buyers in the equal legs area between $48.07 and $38.93. This setup aligns with a typical Elliott Wave correction patter