Affirm Stock: Is the Selloff an Opportunity or a Warning Sign?
$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ Affirm is one of the stocks that’s recently been caught in the crossfire of a broader market selloff. This volatility follows President Donald Trump’s announcement of a new round of tariffs targeting America’s key trading partners. With the economic outlook now more uncertain, investors are naturally wondering: is Affirm stock a buying opportunity at current levels, or should it be avoided due to the escalating macroeconomic risks? In this breakdown, I’ll walk you through a comprehensive analysis of Affirm’s business and how it could be affected by the new trade policy developments. I’ll also share my proprietary valuation model and intrinsic value calculation, and assess Affirm’s valuation using the forward price-to-
From Rally to Retreat: Unpacking the Market’s Wild Ride on April 8 and Beyond
On April 8, 2025, the U.S. stock market took investors on a rollercoaster ride—surging in the morning only to plummet by the close. This dramatic swing encapsulates the broader uncertainty gripping financial markets as President Donald Trump’s tariff policies escalate and the Federal Reserve maintains a hands-off stance. With volatility set to persist, this article delves into the reasons behind Tuesday’s market movements, the latest developments in Trump’s trade war, the Fed’s reluctance to intervene, and actionable strategies for investors navigating these turbulent times. SPX A Tale of Two Markets: Why Stocks Rose and Fell on April 8 The trading session on April 8 began with a wave of optimism. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all climbed in early trading, fuele
PE at a Historic Low! DCA Nvidia at $90 or Stay in Cash?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Nvidia’s valuation is screaming value—or is it a trap? As of April 7, 2025, Nvidia (NVDA) is trading at $90, with its PE at a record low of 30 and Forward PE at 20. That’s a far cry from its 2021 peak Forward PE of 60+. After a brutal sell-off amid trade war fears, the stock’s rebounded 5% this week, sparking debate: Did you profit from the dip? Is this bounce your exit signal? Should you dollar-cost average (DCA) at $90, or stay in cash? Let’s break down the numbers, market context, and strategies to decide if Nvidia’s a screaming buy—or a reason to keep your powder dry. Nvidia’s Valuation: A Rare Opportunity? Nvidia’s PE of 30 and Forward PE of 20 are dirt cheap compar
So to answer the question re tariff wars between USA and China, id like to do a wee technique used in strategic management called scenario planning, here goes: China will return fire on the new 104% tariff imposed by America, talks will break down and tariffs will continue to escalate to insane levels... 200%, 400%, heck it doesn't matter. Tariffs Will become a moot point, essentially China and America will halt all trade. China has a competitive advantage now, because the USA has blanket tariffs on the rest of the world and China doesn't, the latter will build stronger trade relations with the rest of the world. Canada is a obvious choice here, and its already happening with oil and gas. While the White House will continue with its ill conceived tariff plan (heck the gdp calculations they
As the stock market bounces up and down trying to process the uncertainty of tariffs and reciprocal tariffs, I continue steadfast along my investing path.When the market falls 🔴, I look for opportunities 📉When the market rises 🟢, I look for opportunities 📉When the market stays flat 🟡, I look for opportunities 📉Here’s how I look for opportunities.I try to find High Quality Companies 💎I value them using FCF or DYT 📊I focus on companies that are attractively priced 🟢I forecast long-term total return potential 🚀When all these points align I start my due diligence process before investing 📚In the words of The Patriot „Aim small, miss small” 🎯2. $CVS Health(CVS)$ will just not quit rising this year.+7.36% today+52.71% year-to-dateBest performing stock in
THE MISINFORMATION CIRCUS THAT HAS BECOME OUR REALITY
The most frustrating part isn’t just the headlines themselves -- it’s that we’re now trading in a market so fragile, so hypersensitive, that a rumor can move trillions. What we saw the past two days wasn’t about inflation, earnings, or rates -- it was about how deeply broken the communication loop has become between policy and capital.One headline said the 104% tariffs on Chinese imports had already gone into effect at noon. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ moved. Traders scrambled to reprice, to hedge, to get ahead of what looked like a sudden acceleration in enforcement. Then, just moments later, the White House Press Secretary said she might have been misquoted -- the tariffs weren’t
GOLD: Stock Market Volatility Still Dominate Short-term Sentiment
1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Wednesday (9 April) Asian morning trading, spot gold to maintain a narrow range of oscillation, trading in the vicinity of 2978 U.S. dollars. The previous trading day, gold prices rebound blocked, the plate once rushed to 3022 U.S. dollars, but by the U.S. bond yields climbed and U.S. stocks fell dragged down, and ultimately retracted the gains, closing near 2982. Despite the weakening of the dollar and trade tensions to provide safe-haven support for gold, the market's concerns about weak demand for U.S. bond markdowns, the outlook for Federal Reserve policy and increased stock market volatility still dominate short-term sentiment !2.Gold
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.TRADE PLAN for Wednesday ✅ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ extreme volatility the past 2 days. SPX dropped from 5267 to 4910 from the highs today. If SPX breaks 4900 we can see 4818. SPX under 4818 can drop to 4600. Puts can work under 4900 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ under 500 can drop to 481 this week.META 480P is best under 500 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ tried to move near 251 today but closed at 221. If TSLA fails at 218 it can test 200.TSLA 200P is best under 2182.We're in uncharted territory right now. The only thing that can save us in the short term is a delay in tariffs and/or Powell cutting rates in
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🚨 $NVDA: The $100 Siren Song and the Abyss of Institutional Absence, A Trader’s Revelation 🚨 As the clock ticks into the early hours of 09Apr25 I find Nvidia ($NVDA) flickering across my screens at $94.35 in the overnight session, a ghostly retreat from its $96.30 close, down 1.37% from the regular session’s end. Earlier, it danced tantalisingly close to the $100 mark, peaking at $105.85 intraday, only to recoil as if scorched by the sun. Let me be clear, that $100 level is no promised land, it’s a siren song, luring retail dreamers to their doom while the institutional titans watch from the shadows, unmoved. This isn’t a breakout, it’s a reckoning. Zooming out, I see the yellow zig-zag pattern etched across the chart like a seismog
Option Movers | Traders Eye Apple at $160, Bet on Big Rebound for SOXL and TQQQ
Market OverviewThe S&P 500 sold off sharply on Tuesday (Apr. 8) to close below 5,000 points for the first time in almost a year after it reversed a strong morning rally, while investor hopes faded for any imminent U.S. delays or concessions on tariffs ahead of a midnight deadline.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 61,061,214 contracts was traded, up 8% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $NVDA(NVDA)$, $TSLA(TSLA)$, $AAPL(AAPL)$, $VIX(VIX)$, $AMZN(AMZN)$, $PLTR(PLTR)$,
MY BIGGEST ADVICE RIGHT NOW FOR ANYONE IN THE MARKET
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ This is where most investors make their biggest mistake -- they either freeze or flee. They stare at the red on their screen and forget that this is the moment when the next leg of alpha starts to build.Because it’s not just about being risk-on or risk-off. You don’t need to be deploying capital today to make this time valuable. What you do need to be doing is the work.That’s the difference. That’s how you come out of this stronger.Because this market will turn. It always does. The reset ends. Rates stabilize. Sentiment shifts. Suddenly, people want exposure again -- and if you’re waiting until that moment to figure out what to own, you’re already too late.You need to study them so well that when we do bottom out, your
$NIO 20250417 4.5 CALL$. Sold the CALL at $6, brought it back at $3. Believe Nio has dropped quite a bit, either stay around the price of 3.3 plus or recover. Catch the small profit first.
$VXX 20250411 85.0 CALL$ sold this VXX call at the peak of VXX volatility of $85 and then market reversed up so VXX cooled down a fair bit. The premiums are attractive and this is made in about 1 day for a single contract. Sharing to earn coins on this.
Has it ever occurred to you that if you suddenly introduce sudden tariffs that vary greatly from country to country, you will face multiple practical obstacles at the customs operational level?Feedback from the current point of view, the actual possibility of landing almost 0, including several aspects:Technical bottleneck: classification identification and physical limitations of origin verificationComplexity of commodity classificationThe difference in duty rates between medical device parts and automotive parts may be as high as 30%, but it is difficult for the existing customs system to achieve accurate identification.For example, mixed-function electromechanical products (e.g., medical device housings containing sensors) may involve multiple tax code classifications at the same time,