Guidance Accelerates — Can Coherent Convert 1.6T Demand?
Coherent fell 5.98% Wednesday, then rebounded 4.97% after earnings and guidance beat estimates. Revenue rose 50% year over year to $2.37B, with adjusted EPS of $2.09. Next-quarter guidance is $2.55B–$2.75B revenue and $2.28–$2.48 EPS. Bulls cite expanding 800G and 1.6T orders; bears flag capacity costs, customer concentration, and competition after Marvell’s Lumentum deal. Which will best sustain the re-rating: backlog, gross margin, or 1.6T shipments?