My Investing Muse (01Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies More than 20 trucking-related companies filed either Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 restructuring cases during the past 30 days, according to bankruptcy filings compiled by FreightWaves. Low-cost holiday carrier Magnicharters filed for bankruptcy protection in Mexico City approximately a month after suspending all flights for what it initially hoped would be a period of two weeks. In China, northwestern regional carrier Joy Air filed for bankruptcy protection and entered the early stage of the restructuring process at the start of the week after canceling all flights back in April. Zenith Aviation in administration over “cashflow issues, unpaid debtors” - The Street My thoughts 1. The Realities of AI Implementation: Gov
Market Outlook of S&P500 (01Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has started a downtrend but a reversal could be in the cards. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.19, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages Th
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 01Jun2026) The following sections outline key macroeconomic forecasts and indicators spanning manufacturing, services, labor markets, and energy sectors, with particular emphasis on metrics influencing upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions. 1. Manufacturing Sector Indicators S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May): The forecast is projected at 55.3, indicating continued expansion and growth within global manufacturing. ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is forecasted at 53.3, signalling anticipated growth within the domestic American manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing Prices (May): A significant point of concern is the high forecast of 85.3. This elevated metric indicates rising producer costs, which are highl
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 01Jun2026) The following sections outline key macroeconomic forecasts and indicators spanning manufacturing, services, labor markets, and energy sectors, with particular emphasis on metrics influencing upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions. 1. Manufacturing Sector Indicators S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May): The forecast is projected at 55.3, indicating continued expansion and growth within global manufacturing. ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is forecasted at 53.3, signalling anticipated growth within the domestic American manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing Prices (May): A significant point of concern is the high forecast of 85.3. This elevated metric indicates rising producer costs, which are highly likely to be
The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
For the whole of last week, there were a handful of US economic reports out. I half suspect that they did not make any meaningful impact on the US market. This is because, even the increasing negative CPI inflation report, hardly dented the US market, the week before when it was released. Click here ! for more details, give a “Like” or “Repost” ok. Thanks. Reports out last week’s include: 19 May 2026 - Pending Home Sales. 20 May 2025 - Minutes of Fed’s FOMC 21 May 2026 - US jobless claims. 21 May 2026 - S&P Flash US services PMI. 21 May 2026 - S&P Flash US manufacturing PMI 22 May 2026 - US Leading Economic Indicators (LEI). 22 May 2026 - US Consumer Sentiments (Final) for May 2026 Pending Home Sales. Ac
My Investing Muse (25May2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Bosch is slashing 22,000 jobs in Germany and slowly abandoning its own homeland just to survive. Germany lost 486,000 jobs in just 3 months, mostly in industry. The “economic miracle” is dying in real time. - X user Global Dissident Goldman Sachs warned that AI could impact 300 million jobs globally. Many laughed it off. Now, companies are cutting thousands of roles while openly blaming AI, even as they post record profits. Meta just laid off 8,000 people while pouring over $100B into AI this year alone. And we’re still in the 1st inning. - Source: Goldman Sachs Meta cut 8,000 people today. A survivor wrote about a teammate who slept 4 hours a night for months. Commits at 3am. Commits at 6am. IC4. Strong reviews. No PIP. Cut
News and my thoughts from the past week (25May2026) Starbucks is retiring its AI inventory system across North America after the tool reportedly miscounted and mislabeled store inventory. - X user Unusual Whales @TigerStars$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
Market Outlook of S&P500 (25May2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a top crossover and has started a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.25, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The e
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 25May2026) Market Holidays Hong Kong will be closed on 25 May in observance of Buddha’s Birthday. The United States will also be closed on Monday for Memorial Day. In addition, Singapore will be closed on 27 May for Hari Raya Haji. Inflation and Consumer Sentiment The Conference Board’s consumer confidence reading for May is due, with consensus expectations at 91.9. This would represent a decline from the previous reading and may point to softer consumer sentiment. Markets will be watching the Core PCE Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measurement of inflation. As a key input into interest-rate expectations, this release could have a meaningful impact on market direction and volatility. Growth and Business Activity US first-q
Last week (week ending 24 Apr 2026), there weren’t significant US economic reports to leave a mark on the US market. As a result, US listed companies quarterly earnings hogged the limelight, notably $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Intel(INTC)$. Still, the reports out last week included: Tue, 21 Apr 2026 - US retail sales for March 2026. Thu, 23 Apr 2026 - US jobless claims - weekly and continuing. Thu, 23 Apr 2026 - S&P Flash US services & manufacturing PMI for April 2026 (preliminary). Fri, 24 Apr 2026 - Consumer sentiments (final) for April 2026. US Retail sales. US Census Bureau’s Retail sales report for March 2026, released on 21 Apr 2026, provides a complex snapshot of a consumer base that is resil
The Market is Bleeding. Premiums Are Not. Let me share what I've been doing this week. SPY down almost 10% from ATH. VIX spiked past 30. Iran war headlines dropping every day, oil at $107, and the fear is real — I get it, it's been a rough few weeks for a lot of people. But here's the thing. If you've been running a wheel strategy through all this, the premium collection has been quietly doing its job in the background. Higher VIX means fatter premiums. More fear means more people paying up for protection. And all of that flows to the seller. The market is bleeding. The premiums are not. You don't need to call the direction perfectly. You just need a strategy that keeps paying you while you wait for the dust to settle. That's the whole idea behind the wheel — and this kind of environment i
Is the sharp drop in Japanese equities a buying opportunity?
On March 30, Japanese equities weakened significantly. The Nikkei 225 Index closed down 2.79%, with deeper losses seen intraday, while the Topix Index also declined by around 2.9%. The market structure was highly concentrated, with heavyweight technology stocks dragging down the index. Advantest fell 5.19%, SoftBank Group dropped 6.31%, TDK declined 4.42%, Fanuc fell 4.22%, and Tokyo Electron also moved lower. These companies are concentrated in semiconductor equipment, electronic components, and automation, forming the core growth segment of the Japanese market. Due to the high concentration of weights, technology stocks had an outsized impact on the index. Advantest accounts for more than 12%, SoftBank over 5%, while TDK and Fanuc both exceed 2%. When these stocks correct simultaneously,
Banks have ~$300B+ in loans to private credit funds (Moody's, mid-2025 data), with JPM marking some down amid software strains. Insurers average 35% US portfolio exposure for yields (IMF/Moody's). Interconnections raise contagion risk if defaults spike (UBS downside: 15% on AI/software hits), but it's not systemic meltdown—regulators watching, many exposures managed. Gulf SWFs hit first per that article; banks/insurers next in line but buffered. Known: US banks' loans to private credit funds hit ~$300B as of June 2025 (Moody's/Fed data), plus $285B to PE & $340B unused commitments—part of $1.2T+ to non-bank lenders. PC "lends back" via synthetic risk transfers, partnerships (e.g. Citi-Apollo), & buying bank debt/securitisations. Unknown: Granular counterparty details, off-balance-s
Market Picks: Dot Plot "1 Cut" Distribution + Oil $110 Breakout + Yen 2-Year Low
Comment, Retweet & Win Tiger Coins! [Call][USD][USD] Hey traders! Today’s X (Twitter) feed is blowing up with game-changing charts—from the Fed’s dot plot shift to oil’s historic rally and the yen’s collapse. We’ve rounded up the TOP 10 must-see financial charts, with clear explanations to help you decode market trends. Join the discussion, share your take, and earn easy Tiger Coins! Top 10 Must-See Financial Charts on X (Twitter) Today Fed Dot Plot Distribution Change (Source: @MacroMicroMe) Chart Explanation: Comparing the December 2025 and March 2026 dot plots, most officials have shifted from 2 rate cuts to just 1. Oil Price Monthly Gain (Source: @GoodReturns) Chart Explanation: Brent crude has surged 43.6% in March, jumping from $77 to $110—a new high for the biggest monthly gain
From 2006 to today in 2026, the weight of pure value stocks has shrunk sharply from 26% to 11%, while the weight of pure growth stocks including the tech seven (Mag 7) has skyrocketed to 46%! The S&P 500 Index has essentially become a 'growth stock carrier' highly bound with AI capital expenditure and tech giants' profitability. As long as the AI capital expenditure cycle is still there, the profits of the tech giants can offset the recession of the traditional industry under inflation.
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 01Jun2026) The following sections outline key macroeconomic forecasts and indicators spanning manufacturing, services, labor markets, and energy sectors, with particular emphasis on metrics influencing upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions. 1. Manufacturing Sector Indicators S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May): The forecast is projected at 55.3, indicating continued expansion and growth within global manufacturing. ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is forecasted at 53.3, signalling anticipated growth within the domestic American manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing Prices (May): A significant point of concern is the high forecast of 85.3. This elevated metric indicates rising producer costs, which are highly likely to be
My Investing Muse (01Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies More than 20 trucking-related companies filed either Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 restructuring cases during the past 30 days, according to bankruptcy filings compiled by FreightWaves. Low-cost holiday carrier Magnicharters filed for bankruptcy protection in Mexico City approximately a month after suspending all flights for what it initially hoped would be a period of two weeks. In China, northwestern regional carrier Joy Air filed for bankruptcy protection and entered the early stage of the restructuring process at the start of the week after canceling all flights back in April. Zenith Aviation in administration over “cashflow issues, unpaid debtors” - The Street My thoughts 1. The Realities of AI Implementation: Gov
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 01Jun2026) The following sections outline key macroeconomic forecasts and indicators spanning manufacturing, services, labor markets, and energy sectors, with particular emphasis on metrics influencing upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions. 1. Manufacturing Sector Indicators S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May): The forecast is projected at 55.3, indicating continued expansion and growth within global manufacturing. ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is forecasted at 53.3, signalling anticipated growth within the domestic American manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing Prices (May): A significant point of concern is the high forecast of 85.3. This elevated metric indicates rising producer costs, which are highl
Market Outlook of S&P500 (01Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has started a downtrend but a reversal could be in the cards. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.19, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages Th
The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
For the whole of last week, there were a handful of US economic reports out. I half suspect that they did not make any meaningful impact on the US market. This is because, even the increasing negative CPI inflation report, hardly dented the US market, the week before when it was released. Click here ! for more details, give a “Like” or “Repost” ok. Thanks. Reports out last week’s include: 19 May 2026 - Pending Home Sales. 20 May 2025 - Minutes of Fed’s FOMC 21 May 2026 - US jobless claims. 21 May 2026 - S&P Flash US services PMI. 21 May 2026 - S&P Flash US manufacturing PMI 22 May 2026 - US Leading Economic Indicators (LEI). 22 May 2026 - US Consumer Sentiments (Final) for May 2026 Pending Home Sales. Ac
My Investing Muse (25May2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Bosch is slashing 22,000 jobs in Germany and slowly abandoning its own homeland just to survive. Germany lost 486,000 jobs in just 3 months, mostly in industry. The “economic miracle” is dying in real time. - X user Global Dissident Goldman Sachs warned that AI could impact 300 million jobs globally. Many laughed it off. Now, companies are cutting thousands of roles while openly blaming AI, even as they post record profits. Meta just laid off 8,000 people while pouring over $100B into AI this year alone. And we’re still in the 1st inning. - Source: Goldman Sachs Meta cut 8,000 people today. A survivor wrote about a teammate who slept 4 hours a night for months. Commits at 3am. Commits at 6am. IC4. Strong reviews. No PIP. Cut
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 25May2026) Market Holidays Hong Kong will be closed on 25 May in observance of Buddha’s Birthday. The United States will also be closed on Monday for Memorial Day. In addition, Singapore will be closed on 27 May for Hari Raya Haji. Inflation and Consumer Sentiment The Conference Board’s consumer confidence reading for May is due, with consensus expectations at 91.9. This would represent a decline from the previous reading and may point to softer consumer sentiment. Markets will be watching the Core PCE Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measurement of inflation. As a key input into interest-rate expectations, this release could have a meaningful impact on market direction and volatility. Growth and Business Activity US first-q
Market Outlook of S&P500 (25May2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a top crossover and has started a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.25, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The e
Last week (week ending 24 Apr 2026), there weren’t significant US economic reports to leave a mark on the US market. As a result, US listed companies quarterly earnings hogged the limelight, notably $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Intel(INTC)$. Still, the reports out last week included: Tue, 21 Apr 2026 - US retail sales for March 2026. Thu, 23 Apr 2026 - US jobless claims - weekly and continuing. Thu, 23 Apr 2026 - S&P Flash US services & manufacturing PMI for April 2026 (preliminary). Fri, 24 Apr 2026 - Consumer sentiments (final) for April 2026. US Retail sales. US Census Bureau’s Retail sales report for March 2026, released on 21 Apr 2026, provides a complex snapshot of a consumer base that is resil
News and my thoughts from the past week (25May2026) Starbucks is retiring its AI inventory system across North America after the tool reportedly miscounted and mislabeled store inventory. - X user Unusual Whales @TigerStars$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
The Market is Bleeding. Premiums Are Not. Let me share what I've been doing this week. SPY down almost 10% from ATH. VIX spiked past 30. Iran war headlines dropping every day, oil at $107, and the fear is real — I get it, it's been a rough few weeks for a lot of people. But here's the thing. If you've been running a wheel strategy through all this, the premium collection has been quietly doing its job in the background. Higher VIX means fatter premiums. More fear means more people paying up for protection. And all of that flows to the seller. The market is bleeding. The premiums are not. You don't need to call the direction perfectly. You just need a strategy that keeps paying you while you wait for the dust to settle. That's the whole idea behind the wheel — and this kind of environment i
Is the sharp drop in Japanese equities a buying opportunity?
On March 30, Japanese equities weakened significantly. The Nikkei 225 Index closed down 2.79%, with deeper losses seen intraday, while the Topix Index also declined by around 2.9%. The market structure was highly concentrated, with heavyweight technology stocks dragging down the index. Advantest fell 5.19%, SoftBank Group dropped 6.31%, TDK declined 4.42%, Fanuc fell 4.22%, and Tokyo Electron also moved lower. These companies are concentrated in semiconductor equipment, electronic components, and automation, forming the core growth segment of the Japanese market. Due to the high concentration of weights, technology stocks had an outsized impact on the index. Advantest accounts for more than 12%, SoftBank over 5%, while TDK and Fanuc both exceed 2%. When these stocks correct simultaneously,
(Full Article) Preview of the week (09Mar2026) - War, Earnings & Layoff
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 09Mar2026) Housing Market Data Existing home sales data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 3.9 million units. This figure serves as a good reference for evaluating the health and trends within the home real estate market. Inflation Reports, PCE Data and the Federal Reserve’s Perspective The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, along with the Core CPI, will be published in the coming week. The forecast for month-on-month CPI growth is 0.2% for February. If the actual CPI growth deviates from this forecast, increased volatility can be expected in the financial markets. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for January is scheduled for this week. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge,
My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Americans are leaving the U.S. in record numbers, drawn by a quality of life made easily affordable by the U.S.’s enviable salaries. - WSJ Meta layoffs could reportedly impact around 16,000 employees - MacroEdge Amazon made 2,847 engineers spend 8 months documenting every code pattern, every debugging workflow, every optimisation trick they'd learned over the years. Then fed it all to AI. Then, they fired them. No one saw it coming. The entire thing was disguised as something every senior engineer already does. Knowledge transfer. Best practices. Internal documentation. They were writing their own replacement manual. And the same playbook is running at every major tech company right now. - X user Srishti TotalEnergies: production shutti
Inflation kills US Market tis week, like US Jobs ?
The escalation of US-Iran conflict and subsequent spike in oil prices have been, the primary causes for US market's volatility last week. (see below) For week ending 06 Mar 2026: Dow: -2.87% (-1,403.28 to 47,501.55). Its biggest decline since early April 2025. S&P 500: -2.06% (-141.60 to 6,740.02). Its biggest weekly percentage loss since mid-October 2025. Nasdaq: -1.59% (-361.18 to 22,387.68). Objectively speaking, there were other underlying economic and technical factors that ‘aided’ to exacerbate the decline. (see below) Other Reports. Below were US economic reports for last week: (1) Jobless Claims. (a) Weekly claims. For week ending 28 Feb 2026, US weekly jobless claims came in ‘flat’ at 213,000 vs market consensus of 215,000 vs previous week claims of 213,000. (see below) Despit
Market Picks: Dot Plot "1 Cut" Distribution + Oil $110 Breakout + Yen 2-Year Low
Comment, Retweet & Win Tiger Coins! [Call][USD][USD] Hey traders! Today’s X (Twitter) feed is blowing up with game-changing charts—from the Fed’s dot plot shift to oil’s historic rally and the yen’s collapse. We’ve rounded up the TOP 10 must-see financial charts, with clear explanations to help you decode market trends. Join the discussion, share your take, and earn easy Tiger Coins! Top 10 Must-See Financial Charts on X (Twitter) Today Fed Dot Plot Distribution Change (Source: @MacroMicroMe) Chart Explanation: Comparing the December 2025 and March 2026 dot plots, most officials have shifted from 2 rate cuts to just 1. Oil Price Monthly Gain (Source: @GoodReturns) Chart Explanation: Brent crude has surged 43.6% in March, jumping from $77 to $110—a new high for the biggest monthly gain
February Recap: Gold & Oil Soar Amid Geopolitical Smoke! Will March Crash Repeat?
The market narrative for February was completely rewritten in its final hours by geopolitical turbulence. Moving from early-month AI mania to a late-month "safe-haven" mode. 📉 Index Performance: A "Late-Winter Chill" for Tech $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -3.38% – The epicentrer of the sell-off; late-month "panic selling" amplified the decline. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.87% – This marks the largest monthly drop in nearly a year. (Context: The last major crash was in March of last year at -5.75%. Will history repeat itself this March?) $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ : +0.17% – Bucking the trend, the Dow showed extraordinary resilience thanks to energy and traditional industrial sectors. I
Cute puppy relax moves while S&P sell off how we navigate to keep the damage lesser SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs
🐶📉 Options Puppy Weekly: Is a Sell-Off Coming After the S&P 500 Failed 6800? Markets love drama. And this week the stage is full: missiles in the Middle East, oil prices jumping, inflation whispers returning, and traders wondering whether the rally just ran out of fuel. The Options Puppy doesn’t panic though. 🐶 Let’s sniff through the macro bones and see what might happen next week. ⸻ 🛢️🔥 Middle East Tension: The Oil Shock Bone The biggest headline shaking markets right now is the escalating conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran. The scale of attacks and retaliation surprised many investors, and the market’s first reaction was simple: oil spiked. Why? Because roughly 25–30% of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz. If that route is disrupted, the world suddenly wor