To The Moon

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The Market is Bleeding. Premiums Are Not. Let me share what I've been doing this week. SPY down almost 10% from ATH. VIX spiked past 30. Iran war headlines dropping every day, oil at $107, and the fear is real — I get it, it's been a rough few weeks for a lot of people. But here's the thing. If you've been running a wheel strategy through all this, the premium collection has been quietly doing its job in the background. Higher VIX means fatter premiums. More fear means more people paying up for protection. And all of that flows to the seller. The market is bleeding. The premiums are not. You don't need to call the direction perfectly. You just need a strategy that keeps paying you while you wait for the dust to settle. That's the whole idea behind the wheel — and this kind of environment i

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On March 30, Japanese equities weakened significantly. The Nikkei 225 Index closed down 2.79%, with deeper losses seen intraday, while the Topix Index also declined by around 2.9%. The market structure was highly concentrated, with heavyweight technology stocks dragging down the index. Advantest fell 5.19%, SoftBank Group dropped 6.31%, TDK declined 4.42%, Fanuc fell 4.22%, and Tokyo Electron also moved lower. These companies are concentrated in semiconductor equipment, electronic components, and automation, forming the core growth segment of the Japanese market. Due to the high concentration of weights, technology stocks had an outsized impact on the index. Advantest accounts for more than 12%, SoftBank over 5%, while TDK and Fanuc both exceed 2%. When these stocks correct simultaneously,

Banks have ~$300B+ in loans to private credit funds (Moody's, mid-2025 data), with JPM marking some down amid software strains. Insurers average 35% US portfolio exposure for yields (IMF/Moody's). Interconnections raise contagion risk if defaults spike (UBS downside: 15% on AI/software hits), but it's not systemic meltdown—regulators watching, many exposures managed. Gulf SWFs hit first per that article; banks/insurers next in line but buffered. Known: US banks' loans to private credit funds hit ~$300B as of June 2025 (Moody's/Fed data), plus $285B to PE & $340B unused commitments—part of $1.2T+ to non-bank lenders. PC "lends back" via synthetic risk transfers, partnerships (e.g. Citi-Apollo), & buying bank debt/securitisations. Unknown: Granular counterparty details, off-balance-s

Comment, Retweet & Win Tiger Coins! [Call][USD][USD] Hey traders! Today’s X (Twitter) feed is blowing up with game-changing charts—from the Fed’s dot plot shift to oil’s historic rally and the yen’s collapse. We’ve rounded up the TOP 10 must-see financial charts, with clear explanations to help you decode market trends. Join the discussion, share your take, and earn easy Tiger Coins! Top 10 Must-See Financial Charts on X (Twitter) Today Fed Dot Plot Distribution Change (Source: @MacroMicroMe) Chart Explanation: Comparing the December 2025 and March 2026 dot plots, most officials have shifted from 2 rate cuts to just 1. Oil Price Monthly Gain (Source: @GoodReturns) Chart Explanation: Brent crude has surged 43.6% in March, jumping from $77 to $110—a new high for the biggest monthly gain

From 2006 to today in 2026, the weight of pure value stocks has shrunk sharply from 26% to 11%, while the weight of pure growth stocks including the tech seven (Mag 7) has skyrocketed to 46%! The S&P 500 Index has essentially become a 'growth stock carrier' highly bound with AI capital expenditure and tech giants' profitability. As long as the AI capital expenditure cycle is still there, the profits of the tech giants can offset the recession of the traditional industry under inflation.

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Americans are leaving the U.S. in record numbers, drawn by a quality of life made easily affordable by the U.S.’s enviable salaries. - WSJ Meta layoffs could reportedly impact around 16,000 employees - MacroEdge Amazon made 2,847 engineers spend 8 months documenting every code pattern, every debugging workflow, every optimisation trick they'd learned over the years. Then fed it all to AI. Then, they fired them. No one saw it coming. The entire thing was disguised as something every senior engineer already does. Knowledge transfer. Best practices. Internal documentation. They were writing their own replacement manual. And the same playbook is running at every major tech company right now. - X user Srishti TotalEnergies: production shutti

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 16Mar2026) Inflation Insights One key indicator for forecasting inflation trends is the Producer Price Index (PPI). For February, the PPI is expected to rise by 0.3%. This index is particularly valuable because increases in producer-level prices often translate into higher costs for consumers over time, helping us anticipate changes in consumer inflation. Crude Oil Inventory and Consumption Crude oil inventory serves as another important tool for predicting shifts in consumer behavior. Oil producers adjust their output based on anticipated demand, making inventory levels a useful gauge of overall economic consumption. Monitoring these figures can provide insights into the health of the broader economy. Upcoming Federal Reserve Decision The most

Summary of Financial Institutions Restricting Withdrawals in Private Credit As of March 13, 2026, several major players in the $1.8-2 trillion private credit industry have imposed restrictions on investor redemptions or related lending amid surging withdrawal requests, driven by concerns over liquidity mismatches, credit quality in sectors like software, and market dislocation. These measures primarily affect private credit funds rather than standard bank accounts, with no widespread bank run confirmed.  Key institutions include: BlackRock: Capped withdrawals at 5% for its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund after requests reached 9.3% ($1.2 billion), fulfilling only $620 million. bloomberg.com Morgan Stanley: Limited redemptions to 5% for its $7.6-8 billion North Haven Private Inc

## Market Turnaround: Is the Crisis Over? The global market has been experiencing a rollercoaster ride, with investors wondering if the crisis is finally over. The S&P 500 Index has shown signs of resilience, with a current price of 6706.80, up from its 52-week low of 4812.20 ¹. ### Key Factors Influencing the Market - *Private Credit Market Concerns*: Robert Kiyosaki warns of a potential market crash in 2026, citing risks in the private credit sector, particularly involving BlackRock's private credit fund. - *Geopolitical Tensions*: The escalating war in the Middle East has investors questioning some of 2026's most popular trades and themes, with global equities slumping and the dollar jumping. - *Economic Indicators*: The US economy remains strong, with corporate profits trending pos

whatever happens, average bear market is 18 months.  multi year bear market unlikely.. we only want multi year bull.

The first green in weeks  gteaftuk 

From my perspective, a spike in the Cboe Volatility Index $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ above the mid-20s during geopolitical tension often reflects fear-driven volatility rather than a structural bear market. Markets usually react quickly to headlines, so I focus on whether stress spreads to credit markets or if oil surges sharply. When volatility rises, I prefer option structures instead of aggressive directional bets. Richer premiums make strategies like a bear call spread on Invesco QQQ $Invesco QQ

Last week, we were expecting the situation in the Middle East to stay within a relatively controllable range and, as a result, for financial markets to remain broadly stable. However, judging from last Friday’s and early this week’s surge in oil prices, even though there are still no clear signs that the war has formally widened, the risk of it spinning out of control is already on the table. If, at this critical juncture, Trump still cannot come up with a credible exit plan, both financial markets and geopolitics may be hit by a new tsunami. The impact of oil prices on the global financial system and on people’s daily lives via inflation is self-evident. Yet in just a little over a week, we’ve seen a 60% spike in prices, while the key Strait of Hormuz remains in a state of abnormal, semi‑

From my perspective, the recent volatility shows how fragile sentiment can be when technical levels and macro risks collide. When the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hovers around a key level like 6,800, the options market can amplify moves quickly. In a negative gamma environment, once that level breaks, selling pressure can feed on itself, which also explains the sharp spike in the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ . That said, I don’t immediately see every sharp drop as the start of a long bear trend. Historically, early March tends to be a

With forward p/e : 12 And a remarkable ROE > 40% Accumulate  !

February reminded me how quickly market narratives can shift. Early in the month the focus was AI momentum, but geopolitical tensions quickly pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. It reinforced the importance of portfolio balance—having some exposure to assets like gold or commodities can help cushion sudden volatility. The reaction to NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ was also a good lesson. Even with strong results, the stock dropped because expectations were already very high. In fast-growing sectors like AI, sentiment and positioning often matter as much as fundamentals. For me, the priority is protecting profits and staying diversified. If geopolitical risks per

The United States is trying to use extreme pressure to stabilize the global energy artery Back to normal ,expecting

Don't believe it is really over. Trump words can't really be trusted unless all the 3 countries involved in the war officially say it's over. Cannot believe Taco man's words. https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/09/politics/trump-iran-war-contradictions

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  

The Market is Bleeding. Premiums Are Not. Let me share what I've been doing this week. SPY down almost 10% from ATH. VIX spiked past 30. Iran war headlines dropping every day, oil at $107, and the fear is real — I get it, it's been a rough few weeks for a lot of people. But here's the thing. If you've been running a wheel strategy through all this, the premium collection has been quietly doing its job in the background. Higher VIX means fatter premiums. More fear means more people paying up for protection. And all of that flows to the seller. The market is bleeding. The premiums are not. You don't need to call the direction perfectly. You just need a strategy that keeps paying you while you wait for the dust to settle. That's the whole idea behind the wheel — and this kind of environment i

On March 30, Japanese equities weakened significantly. The Nikkei 225 Index closed down 2.79%, with deeper losses seen intraday, while the Topix Index also declined by around 2.9%. The market structure was highly concentrated, with heavyweight technology stocks dragging down the index. Advantest fell 5.19%, SoftBank Group dropped 6.31%, TDK declined 4.42%, Fanuc fell 4.22%, and Tokyo Electron also moved lower. These companies are concentrated in semiconductor equipment, electronic components, and automation, forming the core growth segment of the Japanese market. Due to the high concentration of weights, technology stocks had an outsized impact on the index. Advantest accounts for more than 12%, SoftBank over 5%, while TDK and Fanuc both exceed 2%. When these stocks correct simultaneously,

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Americans are leaving the U.S. in record numbers, drawn by a quality of life made easily affordable by the U.S.’s enviable salaries. - WSJ Meta layoffs could reportedly impact around 16,000 employees - MacroEdge Amazon made 2,847 engineers spend 8 months documenting every code pattern, every debugging workflow, every optimisation trick they'd learned over the years. Then fed it all to AI. Then, they fired them. No one saw it coming. The entire thing was disguised as something every senior engineer already does. Knowledge transfer. Best practices. Internal documentation. They were writing their own replacement manual. And the same playbook is running at every major tech company right now. - X user Srishti TotalEnergies: production shutti

Comment, Retweet & Win Tiger Coins! [Call][USD][USD] Hey traders! Today’s X (Twitter) feed is blowing up with game-changing charts—from the Fed’s dot plot shift to oil’s historic rally and the yen’s collapse. We’ve rounded up the TOP 10 must-see financial charts, with clear explanations to help you decode market trends. Join the discussion, share your take, and earn easy Tiger Coins! Top 10 Must-See Financial Charts on X (Twitter) Today Fed Dot Plot Distribution Change (Source: @MacroMicroMe) Chart Explanation: Comparing the December 2025 and March 2026 dot plots, most officials have shifted from 2 rate cuts to just 1. Oil Price Monthly Gain (Source: @GoodReturns) Chart Explanation: Brent crude has surged 43.6% in March, jumping from $77 to $110—a new high for the biggest monthly gain

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 09Mar2026) Housing Market Data Existing home sales data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 3.9 million units. This figure serves as a good reference for evaluating the health and trends within the home real estate market. Inflation Reports, PCE Data and the Federal Reserve’s Perspective The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, along with the Core CPI, will be published in the coming week. The forecast for month-on-month CPI growth is 0.2% for February. If the actual CPI growth deviates from this forecast, increased volatility can be expected in the financial markets. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for January is scheduled for this week. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge,

The escalation of US-Iran conflict and subsequent spike in oil prices have been, the primary causes for US market's volatility last week. (see below) For week ending 06 Mar 2026: Dow: -2.87% (-1,403.28 to 47,501.55). Its biggest decline since early April 2025. S&P 500: -2.06% (-141.60 to 6,740.02). Its biggest weekly percentage loss since mid-October 2025. Nasdaq: -1.59% (-361.18 to 22,387.68). Objectively speaking, there were other underlying economic and technical factors that ‘aided’ to exacerbate the decline. (see below) Other Reports. Below were US economic reports for last week: (1) Jobless Claims. (a) Weekly claims. For week ending 28 Feb 2026, US weekly jobless claims came in ‘flat’ at 213,000 vs market consensus of 215,000 vs previous week claims of 213,000. (see below) Despit

The market narrative for February was completely rewritten in its final hours by geopolitical turbulence. Moving from early-month AI mania to a late-month "safe-haven" mode. 📉 Index Performance: A "Late-Winter Chill" for Tech $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -3.38% – The epicentrer of the sell-off; late-month "panic selling" amplified the decline. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.87% – This marks the largest monthly drop in nearly a year. (Context: The last major crash was in March of last year at -5.75%. Will history repeat itself this March?) $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ : +0.17% – Bucking the trend, the Dow showed extraordinary resilience thanks to energy and traditional industrial sectors. I

🐶📉 Options Puppy Weekly: Is a Sell-Off Coming After the S&P 500 Failed 6800? Markets love drama. And this week the stage is full: missiles in the Middle East, oil prices jumping, inflation whispers returning, and traders wondering whether the rally just ran out of fuel. The Options Puppy doesn’t panic though. 🐶 Let’s sniff through the macro bones and see what might happen next week. ⸻ 🛢️🔥 Middle East Tension: The Oil Shock Bone The biggest headline shaking markets right now is the escalating conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran. The scale of attacks and retaliation surprised many investors, and the market’s first reaction was simple: oil spiked. Why? Because roughly 25–30% of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz. If that route is disrupted, the world suddenly wor

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies U.S. layoffs are now at numbers worse than the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. - X user The Patriotic Blonde South Korean battery maker SK On lays off 958 US employees - Reuters 92,000 people just lost their jobs in one month in The US. Just a regular Tuesday in 2026. And Anthropic released a report this morning saying the jobs AI can't kill are plumbers, farmers, and electricians. Your office job is not safe. The economy is confirming what AI companies already told you. The guy who learned to fix pipes in 6 months has more job security than you. - X user Tuki Morgan Stanley laying off 2,500 employees across all divisions amid economic challenges - MacroEdge Amazon cuts jobs in robotics division - MacroEdge Kuehne+Nagel to layoff 2,000 wor

The current spike in the VIX to its highest level since early 2025 (hitting an intraday high of 27.30 on March 3) is a classic example of "event-driven" volatility rather than a fundamental collapse of the bull market. Historically, a VIX above 25 signals elevated stress, but the context of this move suggests it is currently more of a geopolitical hedge than the start of a multi-year bear market. The Macro Context (March 2026) The primary driver is the escalating conflict in the Middle East, specifically involving U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. This has created a specific "Volatility Shock" characterized by: Oil & Energy Sensitivity: WTI Crude has surged above $75–$77/bbl. This raises "cost-push" inflation fears, which complicates the Federal Reserve’s path for rate cuts later this year

Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to “What the Tigers say.” 👋 The past week was the absolute peak of geopolitical chaos, sending the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ skyrocketing past 25💥. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ shed over 1,000 points in a single session, triggering massive intraday swings. 🎢 We tracked the fallout across 3 key market movers defining this new reality 🌍: 🛢️ The Energy Catalyst: Crude Oil surging amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. 📈 The Volatility & Safety Trade: The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ exploding and Gold smashing $5,400 as risk-off investors seek cover. 💻 The Tech Pullback: $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and the AI rally und

Last Week's Recap 1. The US Market - Geopolitical Shockwaves Drive Flight to Safety The geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran, along with the resulting spike in oil prices, have significantly influenced market dynamics. Safe-haven assets like gold and silver also saw increases as investors sought refuge from the uncertainty. Negative catalysts: The U.S. indexes fell for the second week in a row. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ finished down 2.9% on a total return basis, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ retreated 2.0%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ ended 1.2% lower. Emerging market sell-off: Risk-off sentiment hammered international equities; the

Last week, we were expecting the situation in the Middle East to stay within a relatively controllable range and, as a result, for financial markets to remain broadly stable. However, judging from last Friday’s and early this week’s surge in oil prices, even though there are still no clear signs that the war has formally widened, the risk of it spinning out of control is already on the table. If, at this critical juncture, Trump still cannot come up with a credible exit plan, both financial markets and geopolitics may be hit by a new tsunami. The impact of oil prices on the global financial system and on people’s daily lives via inflation is self-evident. Yet in just a little over a week, we’ve seen a 60% spike in prices, while the key Strait of Hormuz remains in a state of abnormal, semi‑

🐱 Is the Market Rebound Just a Dead Cat Bounce? Or a Puppy Bounce? The past week in the markets felt less like trading and more like watching an action movie. Missiles flying in the Middle East, tariffs returning to the headlines, and volatility jumping like a cat that just saw a cucumber. $Prudential(PRU)$  The famous fear gauge, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), spiked above 25, which means traders suddenly remembered what fear feels like again. Meanwhile the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 1,000 points in a single session, reminding everyone that gravity still exists in the stock market. So now the big question everyone is asking: Is this rebound real? Or is it just a classic “dead cat bounce”? Let’s break it down the Options

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Wall Street's fear gauge just exploded to 23.31, marking its biggest jump in months amid escalating geopolitical chaos from U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. Oil prices rocketed higher, bonds got hammered, and equities took a brutal hit – S&P 500 down sharply, Dow shedding over 1,000 points in a single session, Nasdaq leading the plunge as tech giants crumbled. 😱 But is this just a much-needed reset after the AI-fueled rally, or the opening act of a brutal downturn that could slash valuations across the board? Let's break it down step by step. First, the trigger: Weekend airstrikes lit a fire under global markets, sending crude oil up nearly 10% and flipping the switch to full risk-off mode. Gold smashed through $5,400

🔥📈 Iran Conflict 2026 - Understand the Pattern and Score in Crisis using Market Rotation Geopolitical events often trigger sector rotation in financial markets. The 2026 Iran war has quickly reminded investors of a classic pattern: ➡️ Capital rotates away from high-growth tech stocks ➡️ Into energy, defense, and security sectors This rotation is already visible across global markets. 🔔 Disclaimer. The article here is for education purpose. It is not an investment advice nor I am a stock advisor. Always do you due diligence and ask your financial advisor for advise. 🛢Oil prices surged after disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, a passage responsible for about 20% of the world's oil supply.  At the same time, defense companies are seeing strong inflows as governments increase militar

Summary of Financial Institutions Restricting Withdrawals in Private Credit As of March 13, 2026, several major players in the $1.8-2 trillion private credit industry have imposed restrictions on investor redemptions or related lending amid surging withdrawal requests, driven by concerns over liquidity mismatches, credit quality in sectors like software, and market dislocation. These measures primarily affect private credit funds rather than standard bank accounts, with no widespread bank run confirmed.  Key institutions include: BlackRock: Capped withdrawals at 5% for its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund after requests reached 9.3% ($1.2 billion), fulfilling only $620 million. bloomberg.com Morgan Stanley: Limited redemptions to 5% for its $7.6-8 billion North Haven Private Inc

Recently, the trend of the U.S. stock technology sector has weakened significantly, and the Nasdaq 100 Index and its tracking ETF$Nasdaq 100ETF (QQQ) $There is a periodic correction after a continuous rise. Declining market risk appetite became the main driving factor, among which the rapid escalation of geopolitical situation in the Middle East had a significant impact on global financial market sentiment. As the conflict over Iran escalates, investors begin to reassess the outlook for global energy supply and inflation, and funds flow out of high-valuation growth sectors in stages, putting overall pressure on technology stocks. The focus of the market is on the potential risks in the Strait of Hormuz. The strait is one of the most important energy t

February's Recap 1. The US Market -Energy, Materials, and Consumer Staples Lead No clear direction: the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ finished down 1.31% for the week, the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ declined 0.95%, and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ slipped 0.44%. February setback: January’s modestly positive momentum didn’t extend, as major 3 indexes finished in negative territory, with the former down 0.87% and the latter 3.38% lower. In contrast, the Dow eked out a 0.17% gain, extending its string of positive months to 10 in a row. Sector reversal: through February, energy, materials, and consumer staples were the top 3 sectors on a year-to-date basis. Meanwhile, last year’s leaders, comm