• ShawnLLSShawnLLS
        ·09-27
        10-Year at a 2007 High, VIX Under 15: Why I'm Selling Fewer Puts Right Now Most of my feed this week was about the 10-year, and fair enough. On Thursday the yield hit its highest level since June 2007, and the 30-year is now sitting near 5.49%, the highest since 2004. Then stocks went and closed the week green anyway. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both posted weekly gains, and the Dow snapped a three-week losing streak. I've been running a sell-put / Wheel strategy on US stocks for over five years. This is one of those weeks where the numbers are telling me to do less, not more. Here's how I'm reading it. Quick recap Sept 16: Fed hiked 25 bps in a 12-0 vote, to 3.75%-4.00%. First hike since 2023. The dot plot showed most officials expecting at least one more hike this year. Sept 23: hot S&
        1.82K2
        Report
      • ShawnLLSShawnLLS
        ·09-27
        10-Year at a 2007 High, VIX Under 15: Why I'm Selling Fewer Puts Right Now Most of my feed this week was about the 10-year, and fair enough. On Thursday the yield hit its highest level since June 2007, and the 30-year is now sitting near 5.49%, the highest since 2004. Then stocks went and closed the week green anyway. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both posted weekly gains, and the Dow snapped a three-week losing streak. I've been running a sell-put / Wheel strategy on US stocks for over five years. This is one of those weeks where the numbers are telling me to do less, not more. Here's how I'm reading it. Quick recap Sept 16: Fed hiked 25 bps in a 12-0 vote, to 3.75%-4.00%. First hike since 2023. The dot plot showed most officials expecting at least one more hike this year. Sept 23: hot S&
        1.82K2
        Report