To The Moon

Campaign Period: Aug 7--Aug 16 [Heart]Hi Tigers! Over the past month, global stock markets have suffered a significant decline. South Korea’s KOSPI Index fell 43.9%, while the $ChiNext(399006)$dropped more than 27.9%. Although the U.S. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunged by only 10.2%, tech stocks suffered sharp declines: $Micron Technology(MU)$ plummeted 41.2%, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ dropped 57.6%, and $SpaceX(SPCX)$ fell 52.6%. The AI rally has hit a roadblock, triggering a heated debate in the market over the

I would not buy the dip blindly, but would be selective in the companies id invest in. Additionally, I would only touch those which I have knowledge on and not FOMO into narratives and news. E.g. I have added to my Microsoft position when SaaSpocalypse happened and confidently held it to this earnings which saw it's sharp reversal once the result proves the market wrong.

Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? Navigating the Great Tech Recalibration: Structural Shift or Market Bubble? The past month has delivered a brutal reality check across global equity markets. Investors who spent the early part of the year riding the artificial intelligence narrative are now staring at a sea of red. Macro headwinds, shifting capital allocations, and valuation fatigue have triggered a steep sell-off across key indices. South Korea’s KOSPI Index fell 43.9%, the ChiNext(399006) dropped 27.9%, and while the NASDAQ(.IXIC) declined by a comparatively modest 10.2%, individual semiconductor and high-growth technology tickers suffered disproportionate losses. Semiconductor giants like Micron Technology$美光科技(MU)$   plummeted 41.2%, Sa

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Within the broader monthly trend structure of the U.S. equity market, June ultimately closed in line with the general outlook presented in our May Monthly Investment Report, characterized by limited upward momentum alongside continued alternating fluctuations between advances and pullbacks. However, the magnitude and intensity of the downside movement during June developed more aggressively than origin

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Field Status Trend Zone 🟥 Bearish — Rebound Trend Beginning (Strong Downward Direction) Risk Level 🟠 Level-3 (−61%) Bullish Zone Entry Probability 🔔 0% within 10 weeks Cumulative Return −18.0% Downside Risk Avoided (Sell Entry $400.50 / Jun 15, 2026) Prediction Volatility ➡️ Low 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $330.20 Aug 03 – Aug 10 🟢 Buy $281.80 Aug 24 – Aug 31 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Downtrend with Very High Risk (Downside Appears Substantial/Sustained) - Very Low Reward Potential (Upside Appears Limited/Transitory) => Avoid new positions — stay in cash [Inverse Allocation]: Aggressive tactical entry review on favorable setups ⚡ Key Takeaw

Buying the dip is generally the best strategy to build a strong portfolio. Only caution is to research the fundamentals of the company. Share market has to have hi and low phases and buying your chosen stock during the do is quite rewarding. AI is there to stay and high costs will yield high returns.

o…the S&P is basically at ATHs Trump has said 7 different times this week that he wants a deal with Iran Bessent said a ceasefire could be announced over the weekend Rate hike probabilities tanked by 20% today because of the labor market data $PLTR is up 40% in a week…which means the software stocks are finally getting the respect they deserve including $MSFT $RDDT $SHOP earnings continue to compound aggressively the super high-beta semi names are consolidating like $MU $NBIS which isn’t bearish at all, especially when their growth continues to be massive hyperscalers continue to spend on capex and cloud growth rates are showing the ROI leverage also has been wiped out significantly feels like we could be setting up for an end of year run IF hikes are out of the picture and earnings co

#[🎁Reward: Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit?] There is a strange assumption in markets that being bullish means you need to be fully invested. I don’t agree. I remain bullish on the long-term AI opportunity. I already have exposure through names including $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, alongside broader positions such as $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. But I am deliberately not fully invested yet. That is not because I think AI is dead. It is because I think keeping cash available is an investment decision too. 📉 A falling stock is not automatically a cheap stock This is the part I think gets lost during big corrections. When a stock drops 20%, 30% or even 40%, our brains immediately compare the new price with the old high. It looks cheap because it used t

now is a good opportunity[Shy]  

I strongly believe there will be 3, very large, markets that emerge in the “model / token” market: Frontier tokens (ie from the large labs like OpenAI and Anthropic) Vanilla open weight tokens (Deepseet, Moonshot, etc) Customized (RL / SFT) open weight tokens So much talk recently makes these seem zero sum… And of course, they do take share from each other. If open weight models never existed closed models would take it all! BUT - zero sum assumes the size of the pie is constant…which it isn’t. The market is growing much faster than any one group can steal market share from the other. So everyone grows! This won’t happen for ever. Eventually the market will mature and we’ll settle on a more “stable” market share. But for now (and for longer than people will expect), hypergrowth persists! I

The reaction to $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ ’s earnings continues to be completely disconnected between what the reality is and what the market perceives it to be. · 43% Revenue Growth · 44% ADJ EBITDA Growth · 50% EPS Growth Yet the stock was down 9%! This is especially insane, considering the stock was already down 31% YTD and traded at a FWD P/E of 25 before the earnings. Find me another stock that is delivering such strong top and bottom-line growth at such a valuation, with such a strong TAM and incredible innovation in the last 3 years. So why would the market react in such a way to these earnings? There are a few issues behind this reaction. 1. Deceleration in the Loan Platform Business. 2. Higher effective tax rate. 3. Didn’t increase

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Row Status Trend Zone 🟩 Bullish — Uptrend Risk Level 🟢 Level-1 (−16%) Bearish Zone Entry Probability 🚨 60% within 4 days Cumulative Return +2.2% (Entry $321.6 / Aug 05, 2026) Prediction Volatility ➡️ Low 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $329.60 Aug 07 – Aug 10 🟢 Buy To Be Determined Pending 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Correction with Low Risk (Downside Appears Limited/Transitory) - Moderate Reward Potential (Upside Appears Balanced/Uncertain) => Buy near support on down-close weakness [Inverse Allocation]: No exposure warranted ⚡ Key Takeaway Today's strong rally lifted the stock further into positive territory, yet Bearish zone entry probability

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ closed Thursday at $218.99, essentially flat on the session, and yet the average Wall Street price target sitting above it hasn't budged from the low $300s. That's a roughly 38% gap between where the stock trades today and where 61 analysts think it's headed over the next twelve months. Before SPR's technical coverage on NVDA updates next week, here's the fundamental picture worth understanding first: where the analysts stand, what earnings could bring, whether the valuation still makes sense after this year's run, and the China policy questions still hanging over the stock. The News Behind the Move Picture a company that spent most of 2025 absorbing one export-control headline after another — a $5.5 billion inventory charge here, a

The Tech Bloodbath Isn’t a Bubble—It’s a Once-in-a-Decade Feeding Frenzy, and the Smart Money Is Already Sharpening Knives Look at the board right now. Micron got butchered 41%. SanDisk got eviscerated 57%. $SpaceX(SPCX)$  —yes, the rocket company that was supposed to be untouchable—got cut in half, down 52%. The same names that spent the last two years printing money for everyone who held them just took a chainsaw to retail’s portfolio. And the question floating around every Discord, every group chat, every late-night chart session is the same: is this the bubble finally popping… or is this the exact moment the next cycle’s winners get handed to you on a silver platter while everyone else is still screaming? I’m going to say the quiet p

#Tech Stocks: Buy the dip or run for exit The biggest new development today is the surprise contraction in US employment, which materially reduced expectations for a September Fed hike and pushed global equities and bonds higher. The S&P 500 closed at a record, while the Nasdaq gained 1.3%. AI-related demand remains visible in memory, cloud infrastructure and data-centre investment. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$, for example, forecast revenue above expectations because of strong memory demand from AI data centres, even though its shares subsequently sold off as investors focused on valuation and expectations. today’s weak jobs number does not change the structural thesis. Lower Treasury yields actually improve financing conditions for large data

Short Mag7 stocks. Too much lies. Wait till the private credit from circular financing deals unwind and the Data Center stocks and AI stocks will also crash. By October?

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Buy the dip your investments make prices stronger![Smile]  ⭐

By Lawrence G. McMillan A little more than a week ago, the FOMC meeting concluded (on July 29th), and traders were not happy. They sold the market before and after the meeting, closing $SPX that day at 7316. But then a series of events both real and psychological took place that released a buying panic. The net effect of this was that $SPX has broken out to new all- time highs, and has not fallen back below the old highs at 7620. That makes the $SPX chart bullish again, for the first time in a while. Targets are always nebulous things, but this could take $SPX to 8,000 or so. Equity-only put-call ratios have not rolled over to buy signals. As much as $SPX has risen, it has been accompanied by continued buying of puts on stocks. That is for protection most likely. So, even though these put-

Be selective..buy the tech leaders

Buy the dip as always 

Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? Navigating the Great Tech Recalibration: Structural Shift or Market Bubble? The past month has delivered a brutal reality check across global equity markets. Investors who spent the early part of the year riding the artificial intelligence narrative are now staring at a sea of red. Macro headwinds, shifting capital allocations, and valuation fatigue have triggered a steep sell-off across key indices. South Korea’s KOSPI Index fell 43.9%, the ChiNext(399006) dropped 27.9%, and while the NASDAQ(.IXIC) declined by a comparatively modest 10.2%, individual semiconductor and high-growth technology tickers suffered disproportionate losses. Semiconductor giants like Micron Technology$美光科技(MU)$   plummeted 41.2%, Sa

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Field Status Trend Zone 🟥 Bearish — Rebound Trend Beginning (Strong Downward Direction) Risk Level 🟠 Level-3 (−61%) Bullish Zone Entry Probability 🔔 0% within 10 weeks Cumulative Return −18.0% Downside Risk Avoided (Sell Entry $400.50 / Jun 15, 2026) Prediction Volatility ➡️ Low 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $330.20 Aug 03 – Aug 10 🟢 Buy $281.80 Aug 24 – Aug 31 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Downtrend with Very High Risk (Downside Appears Substantial/Sustained) - Very Low Reward Potential (Upside Appears Limited/Transitory) => Avoid new positions — stay in cash [Inverse Allocation]: Aggressive tactical entry review on favorable setups ⚡ Key Takeaw

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Within the broader monthly trend structure of the U.S. equity market, June ultimately closed in line with the general outlook presented in our May Monthly Investment Report, characterized by limited upward momentum alongside continued alternating fluctuations between advances and pullbacks. However, the magnitude and intensity of the downside movement during June developed more aggressively than origin

I would not buy the dip blindly, but would be selective in the companies id invest in. Additionally, I would only touch those which I have knowledge on and not FOMO into narratives and news. E.g. I have added to my Microsoft position when SaaSpocalypse happened and confidently held it to this earnings which saw it's sharp reversal once the result proves the market wrong.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ closed Thursday at $218.99, essentially flat on the session, and yet the average Wall Street price target sitting above it hasn't budged from the low $300s. That's a roughly 38% gap between where the stock trades today and where 61 analysts think it's headed over the next twelve months. Before SPR's technical coverage on NVDA updates next week, here's the fundamental picture worth understanding first: where the analysts stand, what earnings could bring, whether the valuation still makes sense after this year's run, and the China policy questions still hanging over the stock. The News Behind the Move Picture a company that spent most of 2025 absorbing one export-control headline after another — a $5.5 billion inventory charge here, a

The reaction to $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ ’s earnings continues to be completely disconnected between what the reality is and what the market perceives it to be. · 43% Revenue Growth · 44% ADJ EBITDA Growth · 50% EPS Growth Yet the stock was down 9%! This is especially insane, considering the stock was already down 31% YTD and traded at a FWD P/E of 25 before the earnings. Find me another stock that is delivering such strong top and bottom-line growth at such a valuation, with such a strong TAM and incredible innovation in the last 3 years. So why would the market react in such a way to these earnings? There are a few issues behind this reaction. 1. Deceleration in the Loan Platform Business. 2. Higher effective tax rate. 3. Didn’t increase

The Tech Bloodbath Isn’t a Bubble—It’s a Once-in-a-Decade Feeding Frenzy, and the Smart Money Is Already Sharpening Knives Look at the board right now. Micron got butchered 41%. SanDisk got eviscerated 57%. $SpaceX(SPCX)$  —yes, the rocket company that was supposed to be untouchable—got cut in half, down 52%. The same names that spent the last two years printing money for everyone who held them just took a chainsaw to retail’s portfolio. And the question floating around every Discord, every group chat, every late-night chart session is the same: is this the bubble finally popping… or is this the exact moment the next cycle’s winners get handed to you on a silver platter while everyone else is still screaming? I’m going to say the quiet p

#[🎁Reward: Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit?] There is a strange assumption in markets that being bullish means you need to be fully invested. I don’t agree. I remain bullish on the long-term AI opportunity. I already have exposure through names including $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, alongside broader positions such as $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. But I am deliberately not fully invested yet. That is not because I think AI is dead. It is because I think keeping cash available is an investment decision too. 📉 A falling stock is not automatically a cheap stock This is the part I think gets lost during big corrections. When a stock drops 20%, 30% or even 40%, our brains immediately compare the new price with the old high. It looks cheap because it used t

I strongly believe there will be 3, very large, markets that emerge in the “model / token” market: Frontier tokens (ie from the large labs like OpenAI and Anthropic) Vanilla open weight tokens (Deepseet, Moonshot, etc) Customized (RL / SFT) open weight tokens So much talk recently makes these seem zero sum… And of course, they do take share from each other. If open weight models never existed closed models would take it all! BUT - zero sum assumes the size of the pie is constant…which it isn’t. The market is growing much faster than any one group can steal market share from the other. So everyone grows! This won’t happen for ever. Eventually the market will mature and we’ll settle on a more “stable” market share. But for now (and for longer than people will expect), hypergrowth persists! I

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 📋 Executive Summary 🔑 At a Glance Row Status Trend Zone 🟩 Bullish — Uptrend Risk Level 🟢 Level-1 (−16%) Bearish Zone Entry Probability 🚨 60% within 4 days Cumulative Return +2.2% (Entry $321.6 / Aug 05, 2026) Prediction Volatility ➡️ Low 🎯 Trading Plan Action Price Target Timing 🔴 Sell $329.60 Aug 07 – Aug 10 🟢 Buy To Be Determined Pending 🔵 Sell Target To Be Determined Pending [Adaptive Long]: Correction with Low Risk (Downside Appears Limited/Transitory) - Moderate Reward Potential (Upside Appears Balanced/Uncertain) => Buy near support on down-close weakness [Inverse Allocation]: No exposure warranted ⚡ Key Takeaway Today's strong rally lifted the stock further into positive territory, yet Bearish zone entry probability

The AI Rally Is Being Repriced The recent sell-off in technology stocks has definitely made investors nervous. When names like Micron, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$  andfall more than 40%–50% from their recent highs, it is easy to ask: Is the AI boom finally coming to an end? Personally, I don't think so. I see this more as a major reset in expectations, valuations and positioning after an exceptionally strong AI rally. The key question is no longer simply whether AI will grow, but which companies can turn massive AI spending into sustainable revenue, earnings and free cash flow. From"Buy AI" to "Prove It” The market has changed significantly. Earlier in the AI rally, almost anything related to semiconductors, data centers or AI infrastructure c

#Reward: Tech Stocks — Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? My answer: I would buy the dip selectively—but I would not blindly chase every AI stock. This does not necessarily mean that the AI story is ending. Now the market has moved from asking, “Is AI real?” to asking, “Which companies can convert AI spending into sustainable revenue, profit and cash flow?” AI investment is finally producing measurable returns The latest results from the major cloud companies provide strong evidence that AI capital expenditure is beginning to generate real commercial returns. Microsoft reported quarterly Microsoft Cloud revenue of $59.3 billion, up 27% year on year, while Azure and other cloud-services revenue increased 43%. More importantly, its commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678

$Datadog(DDOG)$ exceeded second-quarter expectations and raised its annual outlook, yet the shares plunged 19.1%. The reaction suggests that investors now require AI-related software companies to show not merely rapid growth, but continued acceleration sufficient to justify exceptionally high valuations. Datadog reported before the August 6 market open for the quarter ended June 30. Revenue increased 36% year over year to $1.12 billion, non-GAAP operating income reached $257 million and adjusted earnings rose to $0.65 per share. Free cash flow was $279 million, equivalent to a 25% margin. Datadog’s official second-quarter release provides the results and customer metrics. The bullish thesis is that modern applications are becoming harder to monito

📉 Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit? The recent tech selloff has definitely shaken investor confidence. With KOSPI plunging 43.9%, ChiNext falling 27.9% and the Nasdaq dropping 10.2%, the question is no longer simply whether AI is the future. The real question is: How much of that future has already been priced into today’s stock valuations? 🤔 Some of the biggest AI-related names have been hit especially hard. Micron fell 41.2%, SanDisk 57.6% and SpaceX 52.6% according to the campaign figures. That kind of drawdown makes it tempting to either panic-sell or aggressively buy the dip. Personally, I think neither extreme is the right approach. I see this more as an AI valuation reset than the end of the AI cycle. 🤖 AI demand is still real — but expectations have changed One of the b

Campaign Period: Aug 7--Aug 16 [Heart]Hi Tigers! Over the past month, global stock markets have suffered a significant decline. South Korea’s KOSPI Index fell 43.9%, while the $ChiNext(399006)$dropped more than 27.9%. Although the U.S. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunged by only 10.2%, tech stocks suffered sharp declines: $Micron Technology(MU)$ plummeted 41.2%, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ dropped 57.6%, and $SpaceX(SPCX)$ fell 52.6%. The AI rally has hit a roadblock, triggering a heated debate in the market over the

[思考]  Navigating the Tech Pullback: Structural AI Boom or Bubble Bursting? ​The recent global equity sell-off has left tech investors standing at a critical juncture. Over the past month, we have witnessed sharp drawdowns across major global indices and technology names: South Korea’s KOSPI plunged -43.9%, the ChiNext Index declined -27.9%, and even the Nasdaq shed -10.2%. Semiconductor and hardware heavyweights took an even severe hit, with Micron falling -41.2%, SanDisk dropping -57.6%, and private valuations such as SpaceX scaling back -52.6%. ​This severe correction has reignited a fierce market debate: Are we witnessing the popping of an AI-driven valuation bubble, or is this a prime buy-the-dip opportunity within an ongoing long-term secular bull market? ​The Bull Case: Str

By Lawrence G. McMillan A little more than a week ago, the FOMC meeting concluded (on July 29th), and traders were not happy. They sold the market before and after the meeting, closing $SPX that day at 7316. But then a series of events both real and psychological took place that released a buying panic. The net effect of this was that $SPX has broken out to new all- time highs, and has not fallen back below the old highs at 7620. That makes the $SPX chart bullish again, for the first time in a while. Targets are always nebulous things, but this could take $SPX to 8,000 or so. Equity-only put-call ratios have not rolled over to buy signals. As much as $SPX has risen, it has been accompanied by continued buying of puts on stocks. That is for protection most likely. So, even though these put-

o…the S&P is basically at ATHs Trump has said 7 different times this week that he wants a deal with Iran Bessent said a ceasefire could be announced over the weekend Rate hike probabilities tanked by 20% today because of the labor market data $PLTR is up 40% in a week…which means the software stocks are finally getting the respect they deserve including $MSFT $RDDT $SHOP earnings continue to compound aggressively the super high-beta semi names are consolidating like $MU $NBIS which isn’t bearish at all, especially when their growth continues to be massive hyperscalers continue to spend on capex and cloud growth rates are showing the ROI leverage also has been wiped out significantly feels like we could be setting up for an end of year run IF hikes are out of the picture and earnings co

#Tech Stocks: Buy the dip or run for exit The biggest new development today is the surprise contraction in US employment, which materially reduced expectations for a September Fed hike and pushed global equities and bonds higher. The S&P 500 closed at a record, while the Nasdaq gained 1.3%. AI-related demand remains visible in memory, cloud infrastructure and data-centre investment. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$, for example, forecast revenue above expectations because of strong memory demand from AI data centres, even though its shares subsequently sold off as investors focused on valuation and expectations. today’s weak jobs number does not change the structural thesis. Lower Treasury yields actually improve financing conditions for large data

Buying the dip is generally the best strategy to build a strong portfolio. Only caution is to research the fundamentals of the company. Share market has to have hi and low phases and buying your chosen stock during the do is quite rewarding. AI is there to stay and high costs will yield high returns.