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U.S. Labor Market Decline and Anticipated Federal Reserve Rate Cuts in 2026

David Rosenberg, a Wall Street veteran and former Merrill Lynch economist, warns of a sharp contraction in the U.S. labor market in 2026. He predicts rising unemployment rates potentially reaching 6%, which will weaken the economy and compel the Federal Reserve to implement significant interest rate cuts. This outlook contrasts with more optimistic views and highlights a looming economic challenge.

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      ·01-05
      $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$  $Apple(AAPL)$  🚀📊🧠 82.8% No Cut: Why Markets Have Already Repriced January 2026 🧠📊🚀 I’m not watching the Fed for a surprise, I’m watching the market accept that relief isn’t coming. Per CME Group FedWatch, markets are pricing an 82.8% probability of no rate cut at the January 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting, keeping policy anchored at 350–375 bps. That’s not hesitation, it’s conviction. The front-end futures curve has already shut the door on the early-pivot narrative that dominated late 2025. This isn’t just a probability print, it’s a repricing. The ZQF6 contract is trading around 96.36, implying roughly 17% odd
      看1.02K回复10
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    • BarcodeBarcode
      ·01-05
      $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$  $Apple(AAPL)$  🚀📊🧠 82.8% No Cut: Why Markets Have Already Repriced January 2026 🧠📊🚀 I’m not watching the Fed for a surprise, I’m watching the market accept that relief isn’t coming. Per CME Group FedWatch, markets are pricing an 82.8% probability of no rate cut at the January 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting, keeping policy anchored at 350–375 bps. That’s not hesitation, it’s conviction. The front-end futures curve has already shut the door on the early-pivot narrative that dominated late 2025. This isn’t just a probability print, it’s a repricing. The ZQF6 contract is trading around 96.36, implying roughly 17% odd
      看1.02K回复10
      点赞25
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
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