To The Moon

Economic Calendar (07Sep2026)

U.S. Holiday and Treasury Auctions

The U.S. market will be closed on Monday for the Labour Day holiday weekend. Later in the week, investors will focus on the 10-year note auction and the 30-year bond auction, both of which are important indicators for the bond market.

Higher bond yields may attract more capital into fixed income, potentially reducing the amount of cash flowing into other asset classes such as stocks and equities.

Inflation and Labour Market Data

August PPI is expected to be released with a forecast of 0.3%. This measure reflects inflation pressures faced by producers, which may flow through to consumers over the following months.

Initial jobless claims will also be announced and will be a key data point for the Federal Reserve as it assesses its upcoming interest rate decision.

Housing, CPI, and Market Volatility

Existing home sales for August are forecast at 4.03 million units, making this release an important barometer for the real estate market.

The most closely watched data of the week is likely to be August CPI and core CPI. Headline CPI is forecast to rise 0.4% month on month. This is the inflation figure most commonly referenced by the market and is another key input for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.

If these data releases differ materially from expectations, markets may experience increased volatility across bonds, stocks, and equities.

Earnings Calendar (07Sep2026)

There are a few earnings of interest that include Gamestop, Oracle, Adobe and Kroger.

Let us look at Oracle Corporation in detail.

Oracle Corporation’s share price has fallen 31.8% from a year ago, but analyst sentiment remains constructive. Technical analysis indicates a strong buy view, while broader analyst sentiment points to a buy rating.

Based on a price target of $242.05, the stock implies potential upside of 52.44% from current levels.

Valuation Context

Oracle trades at a P/E ratio of about 27x, placing its valuation between the broader software industry and the wider technology sector.

From a valuation perspective, Oracle trades at a P/E ratio of about 27x, which positions it between the broader software industry and the wider technology sector. This represents roughly a 33% premium to the software industry median of about 20.5x, but about a 20% discount to the technology sector median of around 33.8x.Compared with major cloud peers, Oracle’s valuation is broadly in line with Alphabet and Amazon, both of which trade near 28x, and slightly below Microsoft, which trades around 28x to 30x. The current multiple is also close to Oracle’s own 10-year historical median of about 27.5x, suggesting that the stock is not trading far from its long-term valuation range.Taken together, the valuation appears broadly reasonable relative to Oracle’s own history and major cloud peers, although it remains at a premium to the broader software industry median. - Compiled by Gemini

Financial Performance (31 May 2022 - 2026)

Oracle Corporation’s financial performance improved meaningfully between 2022 and 2026. Revenue increased from $42.4 billion to $67.3 billion, while gross profit rose from $33.5 billion to $44.3 billion over the same period. Most notably, net income expanded from $6.7 billion to $17.0 billion, showing stronger earnings growth alongside higher revenue.

Profitability also remains attractive on a trailing twelve-month basis. Gross margin stands at 62.8%, net profit margin is 25.37%, and return on investment is 8.22%.

Oracle’s balance sheet also expanded significantly over the five-year period. Total assets grew from $109.2 billion to $261.7 billion, while total liabilities increased from $115.0 billion to $218.7 billion. At the same time, total equity improved substantially, moving from negative $5.7 billion to positive $43.0 billion.

Cash flow trends present a more mixed picture. Cash from operations increased strongly from $9.5 billion in 2022 to $31.9 billion in 2026, which is encouraging. However, free cash flow declined sharply from $8.5 billion in 2022 to negative $24.5 billion in 2026.

The company’s financing activity is also worth monitoring. Cash from financing moved from negative $29.1 billion in 2022 to positive $40.2 billion in 2026, suggesting a significant increase in borrowing or financing inflows during the year. This is consistent with concerns that Oracle may have taken on substantial additional debt, potentially around $40 billion in 2026 alone. The pressure on free cash flow is reflected in the negative price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of -17.2, while cash flow per share stands at 10.97 on a trailing twelve-month basis.

ORACLE NEWS Q2/2026

From April to June 2026, Oracle hit a major milestone, reaching an all-time closing high of $248.15 in early June before market volatility began to weigh on tech stocks. The primary driver of news was the company's fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 earnings release on June 10. Driven by surging demand for AI infrastructure, Oracle reported record Q4 total revenues of $19.2 billion—up 21%—and total cloud revenue of $9.9 billion, a 47% increase. Additionally, its Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog spiked to a massive $638 billion, reflecting robust long-term enterprise commitments to Oracle Cloud Infrastructure. To sustain this rapid AI datacenter expansion, Oracle outlined plans to raise $40 billion in fiscal 2027 while completing a multi-year efficiency push that reduced its global headcount by roughly 13% over the preceding fiscal year. - Compiled by Gemini

ORACLE EARNINGS

For the coming earnings, the EPS and revenue forecast are $1.73 and $19.13B respectively.

For now, I prefer to monitor the stock for this season.

Market Outlook of S&P500 (07Sep2026)

Technical Analysis Overview

MACD Indicator

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. However, there may be a reversal and let us await the crossover to confirm.

Moving Averages

Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term.

Exponential Moving Averages

This shows a bullish trend with a potential for reversal.

Chaikin Money Flow

CMF index shows a score of -0.18. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum.

Other Technical Analysis

Based on the daily interval, technical analysis recommends a “Strong Buy” rating with 17 indicators showing a “Buy” rating and 2 indicators showing a “Sell” rating.

CNN Fear & Greed Index

With a score of “42”, CNN’s Fear & Greed Index suggests that general market sentiment is “Fear”, slipping down from the previous week’s“Neutral” sentiment.

Weekly Outlook

Based on the above, the S&P500 should be BEARISH for the new week.

News and my thoughts from the past week (07Sep2026)

We are living in a dangerous time. America could be looking at inflation of 10-12%. The debt to GDP ratio is off the charts. Bond markets around the world are being destroyed. Yields are rising. The smartest thing Donald Trump can do right now is get out of Iran. - X user Douglas Macgregor

Nike will be removed from the S&P 100 later this month after plunging more than 78% since 2021, its largest drawdown in history - X user BarChart

Sam Altman admits the AI bubble could blow up the entire global economy - X user Financelot

Elon Musk: “America is 1,000% going to go bankrupt and fail as a country without AI and robotics” The U.S. is already paying over $1 trillion a year just in interest on the national debt. The only real escape is enormous productivity growth. AI → intelligence at near-zero marginal cost. Robots → physical labor at massive scale. Together they can dramatically increase economic output, lower the cost of goods and services and expand the tax base. The race is basically: Can we build AI + robotics fast enough to unlock abundance before the debt becomes impossible to outrun? - X user X Freeze

Ray Dalio: “The debt problem is followed by devaluation of the currency.” Every country with a debt problem said they would grow their way out of debt. They all ended up devaluing their currencies.

You can print money but not infrastructure, energy and value.

My Investing Muse (07Sep2026)

Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies

Between August 31 and September 6, 2026, corporate downsizing and strategic restructuring intensified across the technology, biotech, transportation, and consumer sectors, largely driven by cost-containment measures and capital reallocation toward artificial intelligence. In the transport and delivery space, Uber announced a major restructuring plan impacting approximately ten percent of its global workforce, while Indian food delivery platform Zomato trimmed hundreds of support roles. Consumer goods giant Campbell Soup Company initiated a significant thirteen percent staff reduction in response to operational headwinds, and financial services provider Swiss Life confirmed plans to trim roughly six hundred administrative roles.The biotechnology sector experienced severe contraction, marked by TScan Therapeutics slashing three-quarters of its staff and pausing key clinical trials, alongside Arsenal Biosciences releasing nearly eighty percent of its personnel to pivot toward new therapy development. Media and publishing platforms faced continued distress, evidenced by the total shutdown of local outlet Queen City Nerve, Walmart shuttering its specialized gaming publication Restart, and incremental headcount cuts across legacy publishing brands. Across these sectors, major enterprises continued to cite macroeconomic pressure and the heavy capital demands of AI transformation as primary drivers behind the ongoing operational realignments and site closures. - Summary by Gemini

Geopolitical Risks and Market Sentiment

Several important geopolitical developments have emerged in recent days, beginning with high-level talks on Ukraine. Markets appear hopeful that these discussions could create a path toward de-escalation, or possibly even an eventual end to the conflict. At the same time, conditions in the Middle East remain fragile, with renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran adding pressure to energy markets and broader investor sentiment.

Natural Disasters and Climate-Related Disruptions

The Himalayan glacier floods remain a major concern, with the death toll continuing to rise and many people still missing. The disruption is especially serious because around 10% of Nepal’s power grid has reportedly been affected, raising the risk of further infrastructure and humanitarian challenges in the region.

Volcanic activity has also increased over the past week. Mount Anak Krakatau produced a major eruption that sent volcanic ash more than 15 kilometres into the sky, while additional volcanic activity has been reported in Indonesia and along the western coast of the Americas. These developments add another layer of uncertainty to an already complex global risk environment.

Weather-related disruptions are also worth monitoring. Superstorm Marie may affect the Labour Day long weekend if it makes landfall, while parts of Asia continue to face storms and flooding, including in China and Japan. Although the Himalayan disaster remains the most prominent event, these concurrent weather risks could still influence supply chains, infrastructure, and market confidence.

Trade, Technology, and Investment Implications

Trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada also remain in focus as the 8 September deadline approaches, particularly following recent tariff exchanges. Any further escalation could weigh on cross-border trade and add to uncertainty for investors.

In technology, Sam Altman of OpenAI has warned that the AI boom could carry broader economic risks if expectations become excessive. Whether this warning reflects a near-term concern or a longer-term caution, it is a reminder that investors should remain disciplined after significant capital has flowed into the sector.

Taken together, the combination of geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, trade uncertainty, and elevated technology valuations argues for a cautious investment stance. Markets may remain sensitive to headlines, and investors should continue to monitor these developments closely.

Financial Strategy and Outlook

Let us spend within our means, invest only what we can afford to lose, and avoid leverage. Let us review our current holdings and divest from businesses losing their competitive advantages. Additionally, I will consider adding both hedging strategies and defensive positions to our portfolio to mitigate risk.

As we move forward, it is crucial to conduct thorough due diligence before assuming any new responsibilities.

Wishing everyone a successful week ahead.

@TigerStars

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

$Oracle(ORCL)$