1. Middle East demand helps yields, especially premium and cargo, but cannot fully offset oil at US$120. Fuel remains the dominant cost driver, so margins likely compress despite stronger traffic.

2. FY net profit likely down YoY. Demand is resilient, but higher fuel costs plus Air India losses and softer interest income are key drags.

3. Air India is a long-term strategic asset, not a near-term earnings driver. It gives exposure to India’s structural growth, but is currently dilutive with execution risk. I would price it as a long-duration option, valuable if turnaround succeeds, but a balance sheet drag for now.

# SIA Earnings: Is Middle-East Demand Enough to Offset $100 Oil?

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