A 100% Win Rate？ Learn Two Proven Strategies from CNBC's "Markets in Turmoil"

Tiger_chat
04-07

Two Proven Strategies from CNBC's "Markets in Turmoil"

Can you really time the market with a 100% win rate? According to CNBC's own history, maybe yes.

Let's look at two simple strategies.

Strategy #1: The "Markets in Turmoil" Effect

Whenever CNBC airs a special episode called "Markets in Turmoil" (usually during extreme panic)…

One year later, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is ALWAYS higher.

Average gain: +40%

That's a 100% win rate. Not a single loss.

Why?

When everyone is terrified, it's often the best time to buy.

Strategy #2: The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 35/15 Rule

The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is called the "fear index." It measures how scared the market is.

Simple rule:

Win rate: 95.8%

Why?

Extreme fear = good time to buy. Extreme calm = good time to sell.

Questions for Consideration

  1. Do you consider these strategies to be trustworthy? Please explain your reasoning.

  2. Would you follow or reference these strategies in your own investment approach? Why or why not?

We invite you to share your perspective in the comments section below.

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Comment（3）

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  • Shyon
    ·04-07
    I find both strategies interesting, but I wouldn’t take the “100% win rate” literally. CNBC’s “Markets in Turmoil” makes sense psychologically — extreme fear often marks a bottom — but it’s based on limited historical context. Similarly, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ being higher a year later reflects long-term upward bias, not a guaranteed signal.

    The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 35/15 rule feels more practical since it measures market sentiment. High VIX shows panic, low VIX shows complacency, but I see it as a guideline rather than a strict rule — markets can stay fearful or calm longer than expected.

    I wouldn’t rely on these strategies alone, but I’d use them as a sentiment overlay. For me, it’s about scaling in during fear, staying disciplined, and avoiding emotional moves, rather than trying to time the market perfectly.

    @Tiger_chat @TigerStars @TigerClub @Tiger_comments

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  • highhand
    ·04-07
    yes. companies keep growing revenue and earnings. war will end. index keep pushing out lousy companies and bringing in profit making ones. index always go up long term. war and news are short term. inflation is real from money printing. money needs to go or held where. where better than the stock market which is more liquid than property for example.
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  • ECLC
    ·04-14 10:39
    These strategies are somewhat useful lately with high market volatilities. Yet to experience 100% win rate due to stock selections and timing but still good.
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