⚡ Oil's Wild Ride: Surge Then Slump on Supply Hopes
Every great trader started with one good idea. 🌱
Share yours today and help grow our collective wisdom.
Catch up fast：These events rocked the markets today.
Tiger Community TOP10 Tickers
🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserver
Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings
Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!
✨Tuesday — Singapore Stocks
Singapore stocks opened sharply higher on Tuesday, with the STI surging 1.52%. ProNex, SATS, Keppel, CityDev and DBS rose around 2%, while OCBC, Genting Singapore and SIA gained over 1%.
Great Eastern appointed OCBC director Andrew Khoo as its new chairman. Suntec Reit's manager received regulatory approval for acquisition by Gordon Tang's firm. Intraco's subsidiary faced force majeure from a major supplier due to Middle East conflict.
Singapore's Q2 hiring sentiment improved to 24% net outlook, with 45% of firms planning to increase headcount. The escalating Middle East conflict threatens Singapore's petrochemical sector, with two companies declaring force majeure and oil prices exceeding US$100/barrel.
📌【Today’s Question】
Oil prices are like a rollercoaster. Share your thoughts on oil and precious metal prices in the comments section.
Yesterday's winners：
Join the Topic & Win Tiger Coins! >>
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
1. Oil: The "Trump Discount" vs. Supply Reality
Recent Slump: Crude prices (Brent) plunged over 6% on March 10, 2026, hitting ~$92 after Trump’s remarks that Middle East conflicts could end "very soon."
Volatility Drivers: Just days prior, oil flirted with $120 due to fears of the Strait of Hormuz closing. The market is now pricing in a potential de-escalation led by U.S. intervention.
Outlook: If Trump successfully brokers a deal or eases sanctions on Russia/Venezuela, oil could stabilize in the $80–$90 range. However, any actual strike on oil infrastructure would likely trigger an immediate spike back above $110.
黄金：
由于战争担忧，价格在3月初触及近5,400美元/盎司的峰值，但随着美元走强，价格回落至约5,000美元。
摩根大通和瑞银等主要银行仍然看涨，年终目标在6300美元至7200美元之间，理由是央行购买和长期通胀对冲。
银：
白银仍然波动较大，在80美元至100美元之间波动。
除了“避险”地位之外，白银还受到太阳能电池板和人工智能数据中心硬件巨大需求推动的5年供应赤字的支撑。
3、策略：摇摆怎么玩？
黄金作为“稳定器”：分析师建议在投资组合中保持5-15%的黄金/白银，以缓冲“黑天鹅”地缘政治事件。
避免“追逐”：鉴于玉米卷效应（一条推文价格暴跌），避免在每日大幅上涨时买入；等待“特朗普诱导”的逢低进入多头头寸。
关注美元：如果特朗普的政策导致利率上升（以对抗通胀）。
However, I am convinced that defence, aerospace, etc., will still have some room to grow, with the need to replenish stockpiles, sell to allies to update their defenses, and pivot harder into cheap attack drones as the next chapter of military strategy.
Singapore stocks broadly performed well, with the STI up 1.52%, but SIA stands out. Its operational resilience and improving Q2 hiring sentiment suggest confidence could return quickly. While high oil prices pressure some sectors, SIA’s overcorrection creates a selective entry opportunity.
For me, this means building positions gradually while monitoring geopolitical developments and oil prices. If tensions ease, SIA could rebound sharply, rewarding those who positioned early, and I’ll adjust exposure based on daily moves and macro signals.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @Daily_Discussion