Mag 7 at Historical Low! Who is Gifting an "Entry Point"?
As of early March 2026, Mag 7 have faced a collective pullback, fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing skepticism over the AI capex. However, this volatility has created a historic technical setup: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ have once again plunged into their most "undervalued" territory in five years.
For veteran investors, this isn't just a correction, it’s the market "handing out checks" again. Let’s look at the valuation landscape through the lens of the March 2nd closing data:
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is trading at roughly 21.5x Forward P/E, another cheapest level over the past five years.
Nvidia’s FY2026 Q4 results were nothing short of legendary: $68.1 billion in revenue (up 73% YoY) and a staggering $43 billion in net income. Perhaps the most lethal metric is its 75.2% Gross Margin. In an era of soaring memory costs and supply chain friction, Nvidia isn't just selling silicon; it’s effectively printing money.
If the performance is so strong, why the dip? The consensus concerns center on the threat of internal silicon projects from hyperscalers (AMZN, MSFT) and capex.
2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is currently trading roughly 31% below its peak of $539.83
Its P/E has retreated to the 23x. With quarterly CapEx hitting $37.5 billion, investors fear that depreciation will eat alive the bottom line before AI apps can scale.
Azure continues to sprint with 39% growth. The secret weapon? The full-scale rollout of the Maia 200 chip in H2 2026. This custom inference silicon offers a 40% better price-performance ratio, serving as a critical defensive moat to lock in Azure’s 67% gross margins.
3. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is facing a similar dilemma: more about long term recovery?
The market is repricing Amazon from a "nimble internet platform" to a "heavy-asset infrastructure utility." Infrastructure companies trade on recovery cycles, not just revenue spikes.
While retail is in a "defense" mode, the Ad business (+22%) is providing high-margin oxygen to the balance sheet. Amazon is aggressively testing its in-house Trainium 3 and Inferentia chips. This isn't just about reducing dependence on Nvidia; it’s about slashing AI compute costs by up to 40-50%.
Buying Amazon now is a bet that this "spending cycle" will eventually sunset. Build positions in stages; wait for the moment when Free Cash Flow (FCF) begins its parabolic ascent.
4. $Netflix(NFLX)$ surged 20% over the last four sessions
Facing a frenzied $111B bid from Paramount for WBD, Netflix calmly walked away at its $27.75 ceiling. This avoided inheriting WBD’s $30 billion debt—a move Wall Street hailed as a "stroke of genius." Instead of overpaying for legacy assets, Netflix pivoted to share buybacks. With a P/E of 33x (well below the 3Y average of 42.5x), it is becoming a mature cash-cow.
Netflix is no longer the "growth at all costs" teenager; it’s a disciplined media titan. With a consensus price target of $113 (roughly 20% upside), it offers one of the cleanest risk-reward profiles in the sector.
Which giant worth buy the dip now?
Are you bullish on Nvidia’s GTC conference?
Is Microsoft a buy at $400 now?
Or should we shift focus from mag 7 to other assets?
Leave your comments to win tiger coins~
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As of March 3, 2026, analysts maintain a strong bullish outlook on both Nvidia and Microsoft, despite recent volatility.
Microsoft, currently trading at $394.17, is viewed by many as a bargain at the $400 level with significant upside potential. Meanwhile, Nvidia remains a "Strong Buy" ahead of its upcoming GTC conference, though the broader market is beginning to shift some focus toward other sectors like Energy and Industrials as the "Magnificent Seven" trade diversifies.
Is Microsoft a Buy at $400?
Wall Street analysts overwhelmingly consider Microsoft a "Strong Buy" at its current price.
Nvidia's GTC conference (March 2026) is widely expected to be a major catalyst.
Conference Outlook: Analysts from Bank of America and Wells Fargo view recent price dips as a favorable buying opportunity ahead of the event, anticipating positive updates on the Rubin GPU platform and networking growth.
Its P/E has retreated to the 23x. With quarterly CapEx hitting $37.5 billion, investors fear that depreciation will eat alive the bottom line before AI apps can scale.
Azure continues to sprint with 39% growth. The secret weapon? The full-scale rollout of the Maia 200 chip in H2 2026. This custom inference silicon offers a 40% better price-performance ratio, serving as a critical defensive moat to lock in Azure’s 67% gross margins.
Treat Nvidia's GTC as a catalyst, not a foundation. Don't bet your portfolio on one event.
Initiate or add to a diversified portfolio outside of tech. Allocate a percentage of new capital to sectors like Energy, Industrials, or an International ETF. This is your best hedge against Mag 7-specific volatility.
Mind the Macro: Interest rates and Fed policy remain the tide that lifts or sinks all boats. Keep an eye on inflation data and Fed commentary.