Trump Strikes Again! Have You Gotten On the Resource Stocks Board?
$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ surged yesterday. The U.S. government is set to acquire a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth, backed by a total funding package of around $1.6 billion (federal funding + loans) to accelerate the buildout of domestic rare earth mining and magnet production capacity.
This would mark the largest single U.S. government investment in critical minerals under the Trump administration so far.
1. Four Trump Deals in One Year! And the Market Went Wild
In the past year, Trump-backed deals have repeatedly sent U.S. stocks flying:
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First, $400M was injected into rare earth miner $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
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Then $10B went into struggling chip giant $Intel(INTC)$
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After that, the government took a stake in U.S. lithium player $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$
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Most recently, the White House confirmed plans to acquire 10% of $Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$
In 1Y performance, the stocks have rallied near or more than 100%.
2. What Exactly Is This Resource-Stock Rally Trading?
1. Policy Funding = Certainty. Example: $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$+ U.S. Department of Defense
DoD will purchase $400M of convertible preferred shares, plus warrants. Reuters reported the effective stake could reach around 15%
2. A “Repricing” of Financing Costs and Refinancing Risk. Example: $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$
The government receives 5% equity via warrants, and also gains an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV project. This structure was disclosed in both DOE statements and company filings
3. Government Endorsement = Liquidity + Attention
Once a policy signal lands, the market typically reacts in this sequence: volume + attention surge first → valuation framework gets rerated → fundamentals slowly catch up later
3. What Should You Buy? Key Watchlist Summary
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$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ : A $1.6B funding package to build out rare earth mining in Texas and magnet production capacity in Oklahoma. The U.S. government participates through equity ownership + additional purchase rights.
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$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ : $400M DoD convertible preferred + warrants. The policy goal is clear: U.S. independence in rare earth magnets. Reuters estimates ~15% effective stake.
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$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ : DOE takes 5% equity via warrants, plus an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV — a textbook “loan structure + equity protection” combo.
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$Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ : Reuters reported a U.S. government investment of around $35.6M for roughly a 10% stake, plus potential warrant upside of about 7.5%.
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$CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ : Partnered with U.S. critical minerals company GreenMet to develop Greenland’s southern Tanbreez project, focused on heavy rare earth extraction.
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$Energy Fuels(UUUU)$: A leading U.S.-based critical minerals company that has successfully expanded from traditional uranium mining into rare earth elements (REE) and heavy mineral sands (HMS).
High-Beta “Sentiment Plays” in the Same Theme
Rare Earth / Critical Minerals: AREC NB TMRC TMC UAMY
Lithium: SQM RIO SGML SLI ATLX
Uranium / Nuclear Fuel Chain: LEU CCJ UEC DNN NXE
Community Poll
Which theme do you think becomes the next major market storyline?
Rare earths + magnets (USAR / MP)
Domestic lithium supply chain (LAC / Thacker Pass)
Uranium + nuclear fuel (LEU / CCJ / UEC)
High-beta critical minerals small caps (UUUU / AREC / NB, etc.)
Would you join the resource stock trade?
Will Trump trade last for another 4 year term?
Leave your comments to win tiger coins~
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事实是,它们是资源有限的信号。未来4年的重点将是锂、铀、关键矿物和核燃料。
在4大资源趋势中,我认为核燃料是最重要的。它为人工智能革命提供了动力,而铀是核燃料的核心。
Centrus能源 $Centrus Energy Corp.(LEU)$ 是核燃料循环的安静看门人。它是唯一一家能够生产高含量低浓缩铀的美国公司,这是下一代反应堆所需的先进燃料。这使得Centrus Energy成为铀和核燃料之间的桥梁。
Centrus Energy激动人心的时刻即将到来。🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG
第一类,是像 MP、UUUU 这种已经有产量或多元业务支撑的公司,政策是增量,不是救命稻草;
第二类,是 LAC 这种融资结构被政府深度“兜底”的项目,至少最危险的阶段已经过去。
即使发现有稀土浓度较高的地点,所需的专业知识也是一个挑战。取回它们的行为和不造成不利的环境问题都是需要平衡的重要事情。
Potential Impacts:
Increased Tariffs: Plans include a potential baseline 10% tariff on all imports and up to 60% on Chinese goods. This could disrupt supply chains and pressure international businesses.
Inflationary Pressure: The combination of demand-side fiscal stimulus and supply-side shocks from tariffs is expected to keep inflation elevated.
Sector-Specific Effects: The energy sector, while benefiting from general cyclical trends, could face downside risks for some commodities if widespread retaliatory tariffs are implemented. Domestically focused small-cap stocks are anticipated to benefit from a focus on reshoring and domestic growth.
2.我会加入资源股交易吗是$BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$
3.特朗普贸易会再持续4年吗:特朗普很可能赢得下一届中期选举,再当4年总统
1、政策性资金=确定性。示例:$MP材料公司(MP)$+美国。国防部
国防部将采购4亿美元可转换优先股,更多搜查令。路透社报道称,有效股份可能达到15%
2.融资成本和再融资风险的“重新定价”。示例:$美洲锂业公司(LAC)$
政府通过认股权证获得5%的股权,并获得Thacker Pass合资项目额外5%的权益。这种结构在能源部声明和公司文件中都有披露
這將標誌着美國政府對關鍵礦產的最大單筆投資迄今爲止在特朗普政府的領導下。