Holding 4,200 depends mainly on yield trends. If the Fed confirms an easing cycle, gold can stay elevated, though pullbacks to 3,700–3,900 remain normal after such a strong run.
As for the extreme case, 10,000 belongs to crisis scenarios, such as a major USD devaluation, severe inflation or global financial stress. It is not a standard forecast.
Most banks stay conservative, projecting 4,300–4,800 for 2025–2026, with 5,000 as a bullish but less likely scenario.
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