To The Moon

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 01Dec25)

📰 Upcoming Economic Data and Market Highlights

Here is a breakdown of the key economic releases and events scheduled for the coming week, sorted by relevant topic.

Manufacturing Sector Indicators 🏭

The following Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data will provide insight into the health of the global and domestic manufacturing sectors. A reading above 50.0 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50.0 indicates contraction.

• China Manufacturing PMI (November):

• Previous: 49.0 (Implied contraction).

• Significance: China’s data is a crucial barometer for global consumption trends, given its role as a major global producer.

• Chicago PMI (December):

• Previous: 43.8 (Indicated contraction in the Chicago manufacturing sector).

• S&P Global Manufacturing PMI:

• Forecast: 51.9 (Suggests anticipated growth in global manufacturing).

• ISM Manufacturing PMI (November) & Prices:

• Previous PMI: 48.7 (Represented manufacturing contraction).

• Previous Prices: 58.0 (Indicated significant inflationary pressure and increased costs for manufacturers, which are typically passed on to consumers).

Non-Manufacturing/Services Sector Indicators 🏢

These releases focus on the services side of the economy, which is a significant component of the U.S. economy.

• ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (November) & Prices:

• Previous PMI: 52.4 (Showed growth in the non-manufacturing/services sector).

• Previous Prices: 70.0 (Signalled a substantial cost increase for the services sector, likely leading to consumer inflation).

Inflation and Federal Reserve Focus 💰

These are the key indicators and events directly influencing the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, especially concerning interest rates.

• Core PCE Price Index (Year-on-Year):

• Latest (September): 2.9%

• Significance: This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. A forecast higher than 2.9 would likely increase pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates instead of cutting them.

• Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Speech:

• Significance: This address is a highly anticipated reference for the Fed’s upcoming interest rate decision and is likely to introduce market volatility, particularly if comments fuel hopes for an interest rate cut.

Labour Market Data 🧑‍💼

These metrics are essential for the Federal Reserve, as it manages both inflation and employment mandates.

• JOLTS Job Openings:

• Previous: 7.227 million jobs.

• ADP Non-Farm Employment Change:

• Previous: 42,000

• Initial Jobless Claims:

• Weekly data to be announced.

Some of these data can introduce volatility into the market as these are important references for the coming interest rate decision.

@TigerStars

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