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2025-11-06

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🚀🔥📈 $SPX’S HISTORIC 131-DAY STREAK IS REWRITING THE PLAYBOOK LOADING TERMINAL MOMENTUM ⚙️💥📊

I’ve been trading the S&P 500 long enough to remember when the 50-day moving average was calculated by hand. Forty-one years, three bear markets, two flash crashes, and one pandemic later, this setup is one of the cleanest terminal-momentum signatures I’ve ever seen.

As of yesterday’s close at 6,173.04, $SPX has now logged 131 straight sessions above its 50DMA; the longest streak since the 173-day run that ended in October 2007. That’s only the eighth time since 1950 that we’ve cleared 100 days. History shows every prior streak like this delivered a minimum 12 % move within 90 days. Seven went higher, one collapsed into the GFC.

🟢 Momentum metrics:

• Price sits 10.3 % above the 50DMA (5,912.40); most extended since Dec 2021.

• Weekly RSI 73.8 and rising.

• MACD histogram printing tallest green since Mar 2025.

• Bollinger width 6.4 %, which preceded 9 of 10 expansions greater than 22 % inside 60 sessions.

• Breadth remains top-decile, with NYSE TICK averaging +1,427 over 20 days.

📊 Technical roadmap:

A weekly close above 6,220 (the 1.618 Fib extension from April 2025’s low at 4,835) projects to 6,720 – 6,850 by late Feb 2026. Failure to clear pulls us back to the 50DMA base at 5,912.

🧠 Flow intel:

Gamma flipped positive at 6,185 this morning. SpotGamma shows dealers long $9.8 B delta for each +1 % move into Dec 19 OPEX. Yesterday’s dark-pool flow hit $41 B in 0DTE 6200+ calls, with Citadel and Jane Street leading. The VIX closed 14.2; term structure flat. The machine is mechanically long and will defend every tick higher into expiry. Strong positive gamma is now dampening volatility across the board, acting as a stabilising force for the rally.

🏦 Macro backdrop:

The Fed cut rates again last week to 4.25 %. Futures price a 97 % chance of another cut on Dec 18. GDPNow at –1.1 %, real yields negative, and Goldman just raised 2026 EPS to $302. Liquidity is back, and risk appetite is alive and kicking.

🪙 Institutional rotation:

Bridgewater flipped from underweight to overweight equities in Q3 (+$22 B to SPY). Tiger Global added 4.1 M QQQ shares. Even Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson lifted his target to 6,700. When the last bear capitulates, the final leg runs fast.

📅 Key dates: Nov 7 Payrolls (delay), Nov 13 CPI, Dec 11 PPI & Michigan, Dec 18 FOMC, Dec 19 $6.1 T OPEX gamma event.

The streak is alive, momentum is coiled, and the market is mechanically long. Every dip is still being bought, every bearish headline ignored. The question now: is the final 10 % already loading? 🔥👀

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_comments @TigerWire @Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @TigerPM 

# 💰Stocks to watch today?(23 Jan）

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Comment（5）

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  • Tui Jude
    ·2025-11-07
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    🔥📈 That stat blew my mind, BC. 131 days above the 50DMA isn’t just momentum, it’s confidence. The way you tied in gamma positioning and the Fed backdrop explains exactly why dips vanish so fast. I’m eyeing how $NVDA reacts next to confirm that energy shift.
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ·2025-11-07
    That chart and streak combo is kinda insane. You can literally feel the market refusing to give up ground. Honestly feels like the algos are just locked in, no hesitation. I keep seeing every tiny red candle get flipped back green like it’s scripted. Wild energy rn 💥
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  • Hen Solo
    ·2025-11-07
    The depth of your analysis here reminds me how powerful structural persistence can be in late-cycle phases. The volatility dampening and liquidity inflow make a fascinating setup. I’m reviewing $AAPL and $AMZN correlations against $SPX to see if leadership rotation holds.
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  • PetS
    ·2025-11-07
    Incredible insight, BC. That positive gamma cushion explains why volatility feels so suppressed. It’s rare to see such alignment between technicals and macro liquidity. I’m comparing this structure with $QQQ and $RSP to gauge if the broader market stays balanced.
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  • Cool Cat Winston
    ·2025-11-07
    I’ve seen a lot of data cycles in my time, but that 131-day $SPX streak genuinely stands out. The combination of compressed volatility and persistent breadth feels like a momentum machine that’s not done yet. Watching $MSFT and $GOOGL for secondary confirmation of strength.
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