[Stock Prediction] How will NFLX close on Wed, Oct 22, following their earnings?
$Netflix(NFLX)$ will report its Q3 FY2025 earnings after market close on October 21 (Mon). Analysts expect another solid quarter, with revenue reaching $11.51 billion, up 17.2% YoY, and net income rising 24% to $3.01 billion (EPS ≈ $7.00).
Earnings Highlights
Ad-Supported Tier Becomes a Growth Engine
Netflix’s ad-supported plan now has nearly 94 million users, and ad revenue is expected to double this year. Investors are watching ad fill rates, CPM, and monetization efficiency closely — key indicators of whether Netflix can rely less on subscription price hikes and more on ad-driven growth.
Content Globalization Drives Engagement
From Stranger Things S5 to Korean and Indian originals, Netflix’s “local-for-global” strategy continues to pay off. Last quarter, revenue grew 24% in APAC and 18% in EMEA, reflecting the strong momentum of localized content and diversified programming.
Margins and ARPU Improve Together
In Q2, Netflix’s cost ratio dropped to 48%, with gross margin climbing to ~52% and operating margin holding steady between 32–34%. Analysts expect ARPU growth to remain a key driver for profitability through 2025.
NFLX’s earnings call is scheduled for 04:45 Beijing Time on October 16, 2025. Click to RSVP for the live call.
🎁Events Details
What do you think will happen after the earnings?
💬 Comment below with your predicted closing price on October 22 (in USD, two decimal places).
📈 Are you bullish or bearish on $Netflix(NFLX)$ ? Tell us why!
🎁 Prizes
Anyone who guesses the exact closing price will share 888 Tiger Coins.
We’ll also pick a lucky Tiger to get a $5 stock voucher.
⏰Event Duration
October 17 –October 22, 04:00 PM SGT
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Analysts expect revenue of USD 11.5 billion (+17% YoY), driven by price hikes and ad tier growth. EPS is expected to be USD 6.94 versus USD 5.40 last year.
I am bullish on Netflix. If it beats forecasted earnings with ad tier growth I believe Netflix can close at USD 1295.00 on October 22.
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My predicted closing price for 22 Oct: $1,240.50
Sentiment: Mildly bullish.
Why bullish:
1️⃣ Subscriber growth may surprise on international strength.
2️⃣ Ad-tier and password-sharing crackdown could lift ARPU.
3️⃣ Margins likely to expand from lower content spend.
Risks:
⚠️ Weak guidance or slower ad growth could trigger profit-taking.
⚠️ Rising competition (Amazon, Disney) may cap valuation.
Overall, NFLX remains a streaming leader with improving fundamentals — but after its rally, even good news must impress.
Are you betting on a breakout or a pullback this earnings?
Given the strong underlying trends in ARPU and monetization, it is most likely that Netflix will meet or slightly exceed analyst expectations for Q3 2025, with management providing a strong full-year outlook. This should lead to a modest post-earnings lift, placing the closing price on October 22, 2025, in the mid-range of its recent trading channel, breaking slightly toward the upside.
Guessing: $1245.55