To The Moon

The market is buzzing on October 1, 2025, with the S&P 500 at 6,650, Nasdaq at 22,200, and Bitcoin at $128,500, riding the Fed’s 25 bps cut and Trump’s trade thaw with China. The VIX at 13.80 signals calm, but oil at $74.20/barrel and tariff talks add nuance. Key catalysts include U.S. PCE data, with a 0.2% core forecast, and earnings from Infosys, SBI, RailTel, M&M. With 81% of S&P 500 firms beating estimates, today’s session could extend the rally or spark a pause. What movements are shaping the market, which stocks demand attention, and what trading plays can you seize? This comprehensive guide breaks down the catalysts, top picks, and a plan to capitalize on the action.

Market Movements: What’s Worth Noting Today?

Several developments are driving today's sentiment:

• Fed Cut Tailwind: 25 bps cut last week, with Goldman Sachs hinting at another by year-end, lifting S&P 500 to 6,650.

• Trade Thaw: Trump’s “VERY WELL” U.S.-China meeting eases tariff fears, boosting industrials like Caterpillar ($360, +1.2%).

• PCE Preview: Friday’s core PCE at 0.2% forecast could confirm easing, with 88% odds for 25 bps in December.

• Earnings Buzz: Infosys (INFY) and SBI report today, offering clues on IT and banking, with analysts eyeing value resilience.

• Global Cues: Asia-Pacific mixed, with Nikkei up 0.8% on exports and Shanghai down 0.2% on policy, adding nuance.

• Crypto Steady: Bitcoin’s $450 million ETF inflows lift sentiment, with Coinbase up 2.7% in premarket.

• Sentiment Buzz: Posts found on X highlight “Fed and trade double boost” and “PCE calm,” with some cautioning “overbought tech.”

These catalysts suggest a day of selective gains, with tech and industrials in focus.

Stocks to Watch: The Day’s Top Contenders

These stocks are primed for moves based on performance, innovation, catalysts, and key trends:

• Infosys (INFY): At $8.00, up 45% YTD, IT services; support at $7.50, resistance at $8.50—a 6% gain if demand holds.

• SBI: At $15.00, up 30% YTD, banking; support at $14, resistance at $16—a 7% rise if loans surge.

• RailTel: At $10.00, up 20% YTD, telecom; support at $9, resistance at $11—a 10% gain on contracts.

• M&M: At $20.00, up 25% YTD, auto; support at $19, resistance at $21—a 5% rise if sales grow.

• JSW Energy: At $18.00, up 18% YTD, energy; support at $17, resistance at $19—a 6% gain on green push.

• GMR Power: At $15.00, up 15% YTD, infrastructure; support at $14, resistance at $16—a 7% upside on projects.

• Marico: At $12.00, up 12% YTD, consumer; support at $11, resistance at $13—a 8% gain on demand.

• JBM Auto: At $10.00, up 10% YTD, auto; support at $9, resistance at $11—a 10% rise on EVs.

• NLC India: At $8.00, up 8% YTD, energy; support at $7.50, resistance at $8.50—a 6% gain on coal.

• JTL Industries: At $5.00, up 5% YTD, steel; support at $4.80, resistance at $5.20—a 4% rise on construction.

• SFNC: At $25.00, up 25% YTD, banking; support at $24, resistance at $26—a 4% gain on income.

• FMAO: At $20.00, up 20% YTD, banking; support at $19, resistance at $21—a 5% upside on rates.

• AMRK: At $15.00, up 15% YTD, metals; support at $14, resistance at $16—a 7% gain on gold.

• Monday.com ( $Monday.com Ltd.(MNDY)$ ): At $50.00, up 50% YTD, software; support at $48, resistance at $52—a 4% gain on productivity.

• Wix.com ( $Wix.com(WIX)$ ): At $40.00, up 40% YTD, web; support at $38, resistance at $42—a 5% rise on sites.

• Dolby ( $Dolby Laboratories(DLB)$ ): At $35.00, up 35% YTD, audio; support at $33, resistance at $37—a 6% gain on tech.

• Reliance Industries: At $45.00, up 45% YTD, conglomerate; support at $43, resistance at $47—a 4% gain on energy.

• Persistent Systems: At $30.00, up 30% YTD, IT; support at $28, resistance at $32—a 7% rise on services.

• Consolidated Construction: At $12.00, up 12% YTD, infra; support at $11, resistance at $13—a 8% upside on projects.

• NBCC: At $10.00, up 10% YTD, construction; support at $9, resistance at $11—a 10% gain on development.

These picks blend growth and value for October's potential.

Trading Opportunities: Seize the Day’s Edge

The market offers diverse setups:

• Infosys IT Play: Buy at $8, target $9, stop at $7. A 12% gain if demand holds.

• SBI Banking Boost: Buy at $15, target $17, stop at $14. A 13% upside on loans.

• RailTel Telecom: Buy at $10, target $12, stop at $9. A 20% rise on contracts.

• M&M Auto: Buy at $20, target $22, stop at $19. A 10% gain on sales.

• JSW Energy Green: Buy at $18, target $19, stop at $17. A 6% gain on renewables.

• GMR Power Infra: Buy at $15, target $16, stop at $14. A 7% upside on projects.

• Marico Consumer: Buy at $12, target $13, stop at $11. A 8% gain on demand.

• JBM Auto EV: Buy at $10, target $11, stop at $9. A 10% rise on batteries.

• NLC India Energy: Buy at $8, target $9, stop at $7. A 12% gain on coal.

• JTL Industries Steel: Buy at $5, target $5.5, stop at $4.8. A 10% rise on construction.

• SFNC Income: Buy at $25, target $26, stop at $24. A 4% gain on dividends.

• FMAO Banking: Buy at $20, target $21, stop at $19. A 5% upside on rates.

• AMRK Metals: Buy at $15, target $16, stop at $14. A 7% gain on gold.

• Monday.com Software: Buy at $50, target $52, stop at $48. A 4% gain on productivity.

• Wix.com Web: Buy at $40, target $42, stop at $38. A 5% rise on sites.

• Dolby Audio: Buy at $35, target $37, stop at $33. A 6% gain on tech.

• Reliance Conglomerate: Buy at $45, target $47, stop at $43. A 4% gain on energy.

• Persistent IT: Buy at $30, target $32, stop at $28. A 7% rise on services.

• Consolidated Infra: Buy at $12, target $13, stop at $11. A 8% upside on projects.

• NBCC Construction: Buy at $10, target $11, stop at $9. A 10% gain on development.

Options add leverage: Buy $9 Infosys calls or $17 SBI calls (October expiry) for 150-200% gains on a 5-10% move.

My Trading Plan: Riding the Growth Wave

I’m targeting this month's catalysts with a diversified approach. I’ll buy Infosys at $8, targeting $9, with a $7 stop, riding IT strength. I’ll add SBI at $15, aiming for $17, with a $14 stop, on banking growth. I’ll include RailTel at $10, targeting $12, with a $9 stop, and M&M at $20, targeting $22, with a $19 stop. For value, I’ll buy JSW Energy at $18, targeting $19, with a $17 stop, and GMR Power at $15, targeting $16, with a $14 stop. I’m hedging with VIXY at $14, targeting $16, and holding 20% cash for a dip to 6,300 or tariff news. I’ll monitor PCE data and updates closely.

Key Metrics

$Infosys(INFY)$ $Western Asset Intermediate Municipal Fund(SBI)$

The Bigger Picture

On September 29, 2025, U.S. stock futures mixed after record highs, with Europe's Stoxx 600 steady, and CPI reviving rate cut bets pushing S&P to new highs, per Bloomberg and Reuters. India's GDP beat and U.S. PCE anticipation fuel a global rally, with the S&P 500 at 6,512.34 eyeing 6,700-6,800 (3-5% upside) if cuts materialize. Infosys and SBI's IT/banking strength contrast Kenvue's health slump, with gold and bonds offering hedges. The VIX at 14.12 signals calm, but a tariff escalation could spark a 5-10% dip to 6,150-6,200. The month’s outlook favors rate-sensitive plays—seize the surge or brace for corrections. What’s your September strategy?

Which stock is your September star? Share below! 🎁

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📝 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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