I think the Fed will likely stick with a 25 bps cut instead of surprising with 50 bps. Markets have already priced in the smaller move, and unless CPI comes in well above expectations, Powell won’t want to signal panic. Even a 25 bps cut keeps the easing cycle alive and supports equities longer term.

If CPI comes in above 2.9%, short-term pain is likely with indices near record highs. The QQQ breakout is positive, but RSI/MACD divergence and weak volume suggest limited fuel. A hot CPI could spark a pullback before the Fed meeting, adding volatility.

September feels like a “sell into strength” month. With weak seasonality and cuts priced in, profit-taking after the Fed is possible. Still, I’m constructive on the bull market—especially if consecutive cuts follow—but near term, I’d rather stay cautious than chase.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars

# Market Down 3 Days! Valuations Too High: Would You Hedge?

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  • SiliconTracker
    ·09-10
    TOP
    Solid analysis mate, short-term caution is key now but long-term bulls still got legs.
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    • Shyon
      Fully agree with you
      09-10
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  • MyrnaNorth
    ·09-10
    TOP
    Great insights! Love your analysis! [Heart]
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    • Shyon
      You make my day
      09-11
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