🔥🚀📊 Nvidia Faces Liquidity Flush Risks Even as Rubin Hype Builds 📊🚀🔥

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2025-09-09

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🔥🚀📊 Nvidia is locked in a credibility reset; the harmonic roadmap is still in play with upside bounces capped near $172 before a potential liquidity flush into $156 📊🚀🔥

🧭 Shifting Skew Dynamics

Options skew has rolled over. The 25D risk-reversal has slipped from August highs, though call bias (30.65%) still holds. IV30 sits in the bottom decile of the year, showing the market is underpricing volatility. Calls continue to lead puts (0.44 ratio), but sentiment momentum is fading, a setup that often precedes a credibility reset.

⚙️ Structural Story Remains Intact

Data center revenue has rocketed past $40B in Q2 2025, eclipsing gaming and all else. Nvidia isn’t just an AI chipmaker; it is the backbone of AI compute. Blackwell demand remains strong, but Rubin hype has already entered the narrative, signaling Nvidia’s roadmap dominance extends well past 2026. The moat is CUDA software plus entrenched ecosystem; rivals like Broadcom may bite at margins, but they can’t replicate full-stack integration.

📉 Technical Reckoning

Spot trades mid-160s with resistance at $170. Harmonic projections suggest potential liquidity flush zones at $156.84 and $148.92 if $170 fails. On the 4H, price is compressed inside Bollinger-Keltner overlap, a volatility coil. On the 30-min, reclaiming $170 unlocks upside momentum; rejection risks a deeper flush into the 150s before reaccumulation.

🌍 Macro and Political Layer

CEO Jensen Huang will accompany Trump to the UK state banquet: signaling Nvidia’s strategic weight in U.S. diplomacy. Meanwhile, Citi cut PT to $200 from $210 citing a potential $12B Broadcom hit. Yet JPMorgan stresses easier financial conditions and Zuckerberg’s $600B AI investment plans could override earnings noise. The market’s reckoning isn’t the print; it’s the roadmap.

🟩 Heat Map Confirmation

Today’s market heat map shows semis leading rotation: NVDA up 1.51%, AVGO +3.53%, MSFT and AMZN both green, while AAPL and TSLA faded red. AI capital flow is consolidating around NVDA and its peers, proof that institutions are still pressing into the AI supercycle even as sentiment chops.

💰 Institutional Flows

Millions in NVDA and AVGO calls swept this morning, ahead of Nvidia’s stage time at Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Tech. Gap fills at $149 and $145 remain magnets for tactical players, but fund flows and call activity suggest institutions are still layering into the AI trade despite near-term pressure.

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Comment（7）

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  • Queengirlypops
    ·2025-09-09
    TOP
    This post hits different with the way you framed NVDA’s harmonic cycle. Spot at 166 holding under 170 while that 156 flush zone hangs out there makes the roadmap so clear. The banquet angle with Trump and Huang just adds fuel. Institutions still look hungry for AI chips 🧃
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  • Tui Jude
    ·2025-09-09
    TOP
    💡I like how you tied the skew shift to the liquidity flush levels. MSFT and AMZN holding green while NVDA stalls at resistance shows rotation is alive. If NVDA tags that 156 level clean it could set up a powerful reaccumulation phase.
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  • Hen Solo
    ·2025-09-09
    TOP
    🔥Your focus on CUDA’s moat is right on. Broadcom may press share but no one’s replicating that software stack. With AAPL fading red and META holding positive, NVDA looks positioned to stay the backbone of AI compute even if sentiment cools short term.
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  • Kiwi Tigress
    ·2025-09-09
    TOP
    That harmonic read with NVDA bouncing to 172 before flushing to 156 feels super real right now. The heat map you dropped is the kicker, semis lit green with AVGO flying. It shows capital rotation in action and why NVDA’s still at the center of the AI cycle 🔄
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  • Cool Cat Winston
    ·2025-09-09
    TOP
    I’m seeing the same harmonic setup you pointed out on NVDA and it lines up with what’s happening in semis overall. AVGO ripping over 3% while NVDA’s still caught under 170 makes that 156 flush zone look like the key reset before the next leg higher.
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  • Enid Bertha
    ·2025-09-09
    NVDA selling the shovels lol. This should be $200 soon enough! NBIS deal, more deals coming. CRWV guna rip too

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  • Mortimer Arthur
    ·2025-09-09
    Nvda is not moving on msft/nbis news deal ?. The chips and other accessories are coming from Nvda .

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