$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ $Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares(NVDD)$ 🚀📊🔥 Nvidia on the Edge: My Call Today Is “No More Than 3% Decline” 🔥📊🚀
I’m calling it straight: $NVDA at $169.56 (-1.95%) just slipped under its 50-day MA at $171 for the first time since May, wiping out $340B in value in a four-day, -7% slide. Puts have overtaken calls on Mag 7 net drift, and institutions hedged with a $180C sell against a $190C buy. That pins near-term trading between $165 and $180, with deeper supports stacked at $160 and $145.
I’m mapping the harmonic deep crab into Christmas and the New Year 🦀. September and October are still primed for volatility with Fed moves, tariff noise, and Trump policy risk in play, but November’s heavy $170P sell order suggests a rebound setup as positioning flips into year-end.
Leverage confirms the stress: $NVDL is trading at $78.73 (-3.95%) and eyeing $67.50 support, while $NVDD sits at $4.35 (+1.89%) as bearish flows accelerate.
I’m convinced that even after the pullback, Nvidia is still +78% from its April lows and remains the world’s largest at $4.1T. Momentum has cooled but the structure isn’t broken. For today, I expect price to chop inside $165–$180, leaning toward a retest of the lower end before stabilising.
👉 My call today: No more than 3% decline.
I’m standing firm on this conviction: the volatility is noise, the range is defined, and today’s move will respect the structure I’ve laid out.
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- JackQuant·2025-09-03TOPThanks for your technical analysis, BC!5Report
- Cool Cat Winston·2025-09-04TOP📉I’m with you on watching that 50-day slip at $171, BC. When a giant like $NVDA loses that level, the leverage ETFs like $NVDL at $78 and the bear $NVDD at $4.35 really highlight how fast momentum can swing. Those supports at $160 and $145 feel critical here.4Report
- Hen Solo·2025-09-04TOP🦀I like how you framed the harmonic deep crab into year end. The volatility you mentioned in September and October with Fed moves and tariffs feels real, but the November $170P structure stands out. That setup reminds me of $AAPL consolidating before the holiday run.2Report
- Tui Jude·2025-09-04TOPI think your call on the $165–180 range today makes sense. The way you tied the option flows into the technicals was sharp, especially that $180C sell against the $190C buy. It reminds me of how $AMZN’s range-bound action set up before its breakout.2Report
- Kiwi Tigress·2025-09-04TOP我对你确定$NVDA范围的方式感到兴奋，BC。看到$NVDL跌至78美元，而$NVDD攀升，表明杠杆交易已经暴露了弱势手。我认为今天165美元到180美元之间的价格确实与这些流量的排列方式相匹配。1Report
- zookz·2025-09-03TOPLove the analysis! Exciting times ahead! 🚀📈5Report