π¨ Figma: $65 Floor or $75 Fair Value?
JPMorgan kicked off coverage with a Neutral rating and $65 PT, while FactSet consensus leans more bullish with a $75 average target. After the downgrade, Figma dipped ~5% to ~$70.9. So which side holds more weight?
π Macro Drivers
Rates & Tech Sentiment: Powell's dovish Jackson Hole tilt supports growth stocks, but higher-for-longer risk lingers.
IPO Supply: With new listings (Bullish, CoreWeave) competing for flows, appetite for Figma may be thinner in the near term.
Sector Multiple Compression: SaaS names remain sensitive to rate expectations and earning revisions.
π Near-Term Outlook
Bullish Case: If tech sentiment stays firm and SaaS peers (CRM, NOW, ADBE) rebound, Figma can push back toward $74β76.
Bearish Case: If Nasdaq chops lower into early September, Figma risks testing $65β67 support.
π Prediction Timeline
This Week: Chop between $69β73.
Sep: If growth bid returns, recovery to ~$75 base case.
Q4: Seasonal tailwinds + SaaS adoption momentum could lift Figma toward $80β82, unless rates reprice higher.
β Takeaway
$65 looks more like support than fair value, with upside bias toward $75+ if macro conditions remain supportive. But in the short term, traders should expect range-bound chop while the market digests new IPO flows.
I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!
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- Meet0Β·2025-08-26Your insights are spot on! Watching how tech sentiment shifts will be crucial for Figma's next move.LikeReport
