🎨 Figma: $65 Floor or $75 Fair Value?

JPMorgan kicked off coverage with a Neutral rating and $65 PT, while FactSet consensus leans more bullish with a $75 average target. After the downgrade, Figma dipped ~5% to ~$70.9. So which side holds more weight?

πŸ”Ž Macro Drivers

Rates & Tech Sentiment: Powell's dovish Jackson Hole tilt supports growth stocks, but higher-for-longer risk lingers.

IPO Supply: With new listings (Bullish, CoreWeave) competing for flows, appetite for Figma may be thinner in the near term.

Sector Multiple Compression: SaaS names remain sensitive to rate expectations and earning revisions.

πŸ“Š Near-Term Outlook

Bullish Case: If tech sentiment stays firm and SaaS peers (CRM, NOW, ADBE) rebound, Figma can push back toward $74–76.

Bearish Case: If Nasdaq chops lower into early September, Figma risks testing $65–67 support.

πŸ“… Prediction Timeline

This Week: Chop between $69–73.

Sep: If growth bid returns, recovery to ~$75 base case.

Q4: Seasonal tailwinds + SaaS adoption momentum could lift Figma toward $80–82, unless rates reprice higher.

βœ… Takeaway

$65 looks more like support than fair value, with upside bias toward $75+ if macro conditions remain supportive. But in the short term, traders should expect range-bound chop while the market digests new IPO flows.

I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!

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  • Meet0
    Β·2025-08-26
    Your insights are spot on! Watching how tech sentiment shifts will be crucial for Figma's next move.
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