To The Moon

On the evening of August 27, the world’s most valuable listed company $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will release its highly anticipated Q2 earnings report. Recently, there has been a lot of debate around AI demand. MIT’s AI benefit report triggered a pullback in chip stocks, but at the same time, news emerged that NVIDIA may design a new chip for the China market. How is the market expecting NVIDIA’s earnings? Market Expectations: Revenue $46–49B (+58% YoY), Net Income $24–25B (+53% YoY), Adjusted EPS $1.00–1.05 (+56% YoY). Q3 revenue guidance: $53–57B. Key segments Data Center ~90% of revenue, expected $42–45B (+64–70% YoY), boosted by hyperscale capex, GB200/300 ramp, H20 demand from China. Gaming revenue set to hit another record with RTX 50 series. Other businesses (auto, robotics, visualization) small but fastest growth. Margins: Gross margin expected 72.5–73%, net margin just under 55%. Valuation & Risks: Target price raised to $200 (35x FY2025E P/E). Risks include hyperscaler shift to custom ASICs/AMD, China restrictions, and AI chip cycle peak (likely 2025–2026). Conclusion: Nvidia likely beats Q2 expectations and guides in line. AI-driven capex supports strong growth, though semiconductor cycle risks suggest investors prepare for future pullbacks. Long term, Nvidia remains the most certain AI winner, with a path toward $5T market cap. Where will NVIDIA close on earnings week? Based on option chain data, the market implies that by next Friday, NVIDIA’s closing price will likely be within the 165.5 ~ 190.5 range. Please give a $5-wide range, for example: 165–170? 170–175? 180–185? You can choose any one range you think NVIDIA will close in on Friday. 🎁Join the prediction game Each participant gets at least 5 Tiger Coins just for joining. Each participant who guesses the correct closing price will share 1,000 Tiger Coins (evenly split). If no one gets it right, all participants will share 1,000 Tiger Coins! 💬 Comment below: I think NVIDIA’s closing price next Friday will be in the 190–195 range. —————- 🔗 Click to check last week’s UNH prediction event [Game] UNH is the easiest trade of 2025? Where will it close this Friday? Two Tigers shared 250 Tiger Coins each, and all participants received 5–30 Tiger Coins.