To The Moon

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

• Despite a slightly dovish Jackson Hole, rate cuts still depend on inflation/employment.

• Market sentiment for next week is bearish; big hedges buying the 620 put.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$

• This quarter’s earnings setup is similar to last quarter.

• Institutions selling next week’s 182.5 and 185 calls, hedged by buying 192.5 and 195 calls—implying no shot at $200 on earnings.

• Uncertainty about next week (“black swan” risk); there’s heavy put buying at much lower strikes.

• Still, selling the $170 put for earnings week ($NVDA 20250829 170.0 PUT$ ) looks like a solid trade.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

• Next week’s institutional spread: sell 332.5 call ($TSLA 20250829 332.5 CALL$ ), buy 355 call ($TSLA 20250829 355.0 CALL$ ) as a hedge.

• Still seeing support at $300.

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$

• PLTR is often the target of call sellers who then get squeezed higher; use these strikes as squeeze reference points.

• Institutions selling 162.5 and 165 calls for next week, hedging with 167.5 calls.

• Put activity also at much-lower “crash” strikes—be cautious about leverage on the long side for now.

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$

• Two main camps:

  • Speculative bulls: Buy long-dated 95 calls, sell double 165 calls as a hedge ($CRWV 20260320 95.0 CALL$ , $CRWV 20260320 165.0 CALL$ ), or buy 100 calls, sell double 180 calls ($CRWV 20260116 100.0 CALL$ , $CRWV 20260116 180.0 CALL$ ). This “ratio spread” suggests weak confidence in a big rally.

  • Bears: See a base between 75–95 ($CRWV 20251121 95.0 PUT$ , $CRWV 20251121 75.0 PUT$ ). Current price (~90) may bounce around to form a bottom.

• Selling puts at 80 is possible, but be prepared to take assignment—it’s not a bad entry for long-term.

$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$

• Lots of bullish flow, with target prices mostly 125–130. Most of these were opened when the stock was 115–121.

• Now that PDD is above 125, be careful about chasing calls. Bullish? Consider selling the 115 put ($PDD 20250829 115.0 PUT$ ).

• Earnings were solid; Temu losses narrowing. Rumors of HK dual listing.

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$

• Quick scan: bull positions have been closing out aggressively.

• New bullish activity mostly at the $6 strike—so short-term upside is limited.

• Not much aggressive bear action either; likely just range-bound for now.