$Uber(UBER)$ πππ§ Uberβs robotaxi gamble: revolution or revenue trap? π§ ππ
Iβm confident in my long position as Uber transforms into a mobility superpower. The company just generated $2.3B in free cash flow and is guiding EBIT margins to 14% by Jun26, up from β12% in Sep21. UBS just raised its target to $115, reinforcing the bullish case.
Iβm impressed by Uberβs convergence of real earnings power and visionary scale. Q3 2025 EPS is forecast at $2.88, more than double last yearβs $1.24. CEO Khosrowshahiβs conviction is clear: βAV technology is the single greatest opportunity ahead for Uber.β With Waymo and Lucid in the fold, Uber doesnβt need to be vertically integrated to scale; just smartly partnered.
Technicals show $87.43 price with $90.93 resistance and $83.63 support. Compression on the 4H chart is forming near upper Keltner and Bollinger bands. Weekly RSI sits at 52.74; MACD is mixed, but trend remains bullish.
Iβm attentive to the options tape: big buys on the 80P, while size hits on 60P and 65P suggest downside hedging, not capitulation. Market cap is $182B, P/E 15.19, gross margin 32.07%, and a 25.62% Q/Q gain. Thatβs not speculative, thatβs operational dominance.
Autonomy skepticism remains. Sixty-one percent of US drivers are still unsure. But data says otherwise. Waymo robotaxis are 92% less likely to injure pedestrians and 96% less likely to crash at intersections. Goldman Sachs sees robotaxi TAM growing 67% annually for 5 years. Teslaβs Cybercab is priced under $30K, and Uberβs $75K-per-robotaxi estimate looks competitive against $40K/year in human driver costs.
Iβm holding and leaning in. A clean breakout above $90.93 with RSI follow-through would warrant adding. Until then, Iβm positioned for the trillion-dollar upside.
Would you trust a robotaxi if it were 96% safer than a human driver?
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- AutumΒ·2025-07-31TOPI agree with Uber being all good but just cause it is doesn't been the market will see it that way. All its obsessed with is Chips ai spend new toys. nivida sending top chips overseas goes from 138 to 179.1Report
- Valerie ArchibaldΒ·2025-08-01TOPAt this rate we will be lucky if the run up to Q2 results gets us back to 97. Geez1Report
- JackQuantΒ·2025-07-31TOPHope the robotaxi can bring growth momentum to Uber.1Report
- Merle TedΒ·2025-07-31TOPEasy $. Buy the dips. 120 end of year.1Report
