SPX has reached the lower end of its 6380–6420 target zone

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ has reached the lower end of its 6380–6420 target zone ✅, raising the risk that the 5th wave may be complete.

However, with major catalysts on deck next week (FOMC, NFP), price could still push toward the upper end at 6420 before reversing.

A Daily close below 6268 would confirm a short signal — aligning with overbought conditions (RSI stretched, Fear & Greed at 75) — and likely trigger a 5–10% pullback.

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2509(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2509(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2509(YMmain)$

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📊 Asset: NQ_F

🌊 Framework: EW w4/w5 set up

📍 Entry: M15 FVG

✅ Confluence: W4 Retracements

🎯 Target: w3 High, Equal Highs

High-probability setup executed cleanly — but NQ_F truncated the high while NDX pushed through, resulting in a profitable +9 stop-out.

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