Golden Cross Ahead! Can AMD & Broadcom Catch up Nvidia?

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ surged from $133 to $155 in less than a week.

Investors are once again enthusiastically calling for "AMD at least $300!"

As the stock price rose, market sentiment also flipped. Criticism of AMD's stock for having weaker GPUs and software ecosystem compared to Nvidia has quieted down. On top of that, the company announced a large stock buyback and the Advancing AI event in June — this time, it really feels different!

From a technical perspective, AMD is about to form a Golden Cross. Will history repeat itself? The last time AMD formed a Golden Cross (March 2023), the stock gained 14.13% in six months.

Looking back at AMD's historical Golden Cross events — where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day — there are 15 valid occurrences after removing incomplete data. Of these, 9 resulted in gains, while 6 showed losses. Assuming the historical trend continues, the conditional probability of a price increase six months after a Golden Cross is about 58.8%.

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ is also hitting new all-time highs.

The latest news? A new product launch aimed at challenging Nvidia’s dominance.

On Tuesday, Broadcom launched a new network processor called Tomahawk Ultra, designed to boost AI workloads by helping hundreds of computing units work closely together. The chip acts like a traffic controller, moving massive amounts of data between many AI chips within a single server rack.

This launch directly challenges NVIDIA's NVLink Switch, which currently dominates this type of AI networking. Broadcom says Tomahawk Ultra can connect up to 4 times more processors than NVIDIA’s product, using a turbocharged version of Ethernet instead of NVIDIA’s proprietary system.

Meanwhile, $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ also reached an all-time high yesterday at $293.

What do you think?

  1. With Nvidia leading the chip sector rally, do you believe other chip stocks still have room to catch up?

  2. Can AMD and Broadcom match Nvidia’s gains?

  3. Do you stick to a strategy of only investing in industry leaders?

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# AMD on the Move: Still a Buy for Those Who Missed Nvidia?

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  • highhand
    ·2025-07-16
    TOP
    $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is number 1.
    $Broadcom(AVGO)$ is number 2
    $AMD(AMD)$ is number 3 which I would trade but I rather have the first 2. that's enough.
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  • Jackosen
    ·2025-07-16
    我相信大公司会有1-2个替代来源,所以其他芯片公司如amd和博通仍然有一些空间。那些预算较小的中低层公司也可能选择非英伟达解决方案,因此该市场对其他芯片提供商来说仍然是有利可图的。
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  • TheStrategist
    ·2025-07-16
    wow
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  • WanEH
    ·2025-07-16
    而且现在只有英伟达得到允许可以售卖芯片给中国,所以其它的更被拉远了。 @Tiramisu2020
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  • Cadi Poon
    ·2025-07-16
    随着股价上涨,市场情绪也随之翻转。与英伟达相比,AMD股票的GPU和软件生态系统较弱的批评已经平息。最重要的是,该公司在6月份宣布了大规模股票回购和推进人工智能活动——这一次,感觉真的不一样了!

    从技术角度来看,AMD即将形成金叉。历史会重演吗?AMD上次形成金叉时(2023年3月),该股在六个月内上涨了14.13%。

    回顾AMD历史上的金叉事件——50日均线穿越200日均线——有15个有效事件删除不完整数据后。其中,9导致收益,而6显示亏损假设历史趋势持续,金叉六个月后价格上涨的条件概率约为58.8%.

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  • Myrttle
    ·2025-07-16
    $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has such a large advantage over$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ in chip power that I don’t think AMD will be able to overcome it any time soon
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  • AliceSam
    ·2025-07-16
    从技术角度来看,AMD即将形成金叉。
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  • ECLC
    ·2025-07-17
    Probably still a buy with surge in AI demand.
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  • icycrystal
    ·2025-07-16
    TOP
    @nomadic_m @rL @Universe宇宙 @HelenJanet @LMSunshine @GoodLife99 @Shyon @Aqa @SPACE ROCKET @koolgal

    回顾AMD历史上的金叉事件——50日均线穿越200日均线——有15个有效事件删除不完整数据后。其中,9导致收益,而6显示亏损假设历史趋势持续,金叉六个月后价格上涨的条件概率约为58.8%.

    在英伟达引领芯片板块涨势的情况下,您认为其他芯片股仍有追赶空间吗?


    AMD和博通能否赶上英伟达的涨幅?


    您是否坚持只投资行业领导者的策略?


    奖励


    所有有效评论将获得5个老虎币(5-50个;取决于评论质量;幸运老虎可以获得66或88个硬币)


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    • Shyon
      谢谢你
      2025-07-16
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  • Shyon
    ·2025-07-16
    TOP
    I believe AMD and Broadcom still have room to run, even as Nvidia leads the rally. AMD's recent surge, upcoming AI event, and stock buyback show renewed investor confidence. With a potential Golden Cross forming, the momentum is strong. While it still trails Nvidia in some areas, AMD is gaining ground as AI demand expands beyond just GPUs.

    Broadcom’s launch of the Tomahawk Ultra is a bold move, offering an Ethernet-based alternative to Nvidia’s NVLink. With the ability to connect more processors, Broadcom is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for AI infrastructure. It is showing that it can compete by focusing on system-level innovation.

    Although I respect Nvidia’s dominance, I prefer not to invest only in the top name. Spreading investments across key players like AMD and Broadcom provides exposure to different strengths in the semiconductor space. This balanced approach captures both growth and potential upside.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars

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  • WanEH
    ·2025-07-16
    感觉英伟达太强了,其它芯片股明显追赶不到它。买其他的不如买英伟达。 @Tiramisu2020
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  • AN88
    ·2025-07-17
    nah doubt they can catch up
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  • Star in the Sky
    ·2025-07-17
    Yes, I believe AMD and Broadcom will slowly match up Nvidia gains
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  • BTS
    ·2025-07-17
    Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is poised to close the gap in its AI products traction while Broadcom (AVGO) offers solid upside。。。Neither company is likely to catch up Nvidia (NVDA) but both remain attractive plays in AI-driven chip sector。。。
    Tag :
    @Huat99
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  • koolgal
    ·2025-07-18
    🌟🌟🌟With Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ blazing ahead as the undisputed AI Chip Titan, it is tempting to think that AMD $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ are forever in its shadow.  But the reality is more nuanced and more exciting.

    Nvidia owns 90% of the AI training chip market but its sheer size may mean future growth may slow down.

    AMD is gaining traction in AI inference where performance per watt may matter more than volume.  It won't dethrone Nvidia but it is carving out a profitable niche.

    Broadcom isn't chasing Nvidia's GPU crown.  It is building bespoke chips for hyperscalers. Its ASICs are more efficient and tailored making Broadcom a silent powerhouse in AI infrastructure.

    So while it is tempting to think that Nvidia will always dominate the chip sector, AMD & Broadcom are carving their own niche in the chip industry.  Together all 3 stocks deserve a place in my portfolio.

    @Tiger_comments @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @CaptainTiger


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  • Aqa
    ·2025-07-21
    As NVDA leads the chip sector rally, AMD and Broadcom still have room to catch up. Thanks @Tiger_comments @icycrystal
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