Market Leadership Shifts: SPX, NDX, and IWM Performance Insights

An ETF is a fund that holds a basket of dozens or even hundreds of different stocks but trades on an exchange just like a single stock.

Instead of buying individual shares of many different tech companies, for example, a trader or investor can buy a single share of a tech-focused ETF (like $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ ).

This gives instant exposure to the entire sector. ETFs can track broad indices (like $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ for the S&P 500), specific sectors (like $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ for semiconductors, or $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ for utilities), commodities (like $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ for gold, $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ for silver, or $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ for Oil), or other themes (like $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ for the magnificent seven, $iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF(IBIT)$ for Bitcoin, or inverse ETFs like $ProShares Short S&P 500(SH)$ for SPY or $ProShares Short QQQ(PSQ)$ for $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ which behave in opposite way than the others).

  • Ownership: The buyer own shares of the fund, not the underlying stocks directly.

  • Leverage: None (for standard ETFs).

  • Risk: Inherently diversified. The poor performance of one or two stocks in the fund has a much smaller impact on your overall investment.

  • Best For: Investors seeking broad, diversified exposure to a market, sector, or investment theme without having to pick individual company winners and losers, and traders who base their decisions on technical analysis of any timeframe like position, swing, or day traders. ETFs often have lower fees than mutual funds.

This example presents the ETFs for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ , and $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ . Although these indices generally move in a synchronized way, it's crucial to navigate periods where one may become overextended relative to the others.

Over time, market leadership can rotate. For example, small caps showed periods of strength in 2020 and 2021, whereas the recent bull market has been driven mostly by tech.

The chart below focuses specifically on the RSI for SPY, highlighting how oversold conditions have consistently coincided with market bottoms, which are then followed by bounces of varying magnitudes.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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