To The Moon

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ $YIELDMAX NVDA OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF(NVDY)$ 🔥👑📈 NVDA Soars Past $4T & Golden Cross Ignites New Leg ~ Clear Path to $185+ 📈👑🔥

I’m tracking $NVDA at $163.76 as it breaks out above range highs with RSI firmly overbought since mid-May. That tells me bulls remain in firm control, although I’m watching for short-term froth. The former resistance at $150 is now my key support zone. The setup just triggered a fresh Golden Cross, the first since January 2023, last time this happened, NVDA launched a 700% rally.

NVDA’s weekly MACD and RSI show strong momentum alignment. The 5, 10, and 20-week moving averages are all stacked to the upside. This breakout structure is technically sound and reinforced by heavy institutional flows.

📊 Options Flow • Gamma Positioning

Another $30M in call flow came in today, focused around 18Jul $165 strike. That matches the breakout zone and sets up a textbook gamma squeeze if price holds above $162.50. Total call volume outpaced puts 73.8% to 26.2%, with sweep activity clustering between $160 and $170 strikes. Implied volatility remains low, making directional debit spreads attractive. I’m seeing strong dealer hedging pressure above $164 that could fuel more upside as expiry approaches.

🧠 Macro, Valuation & Momentum Shift

Nvidia just became the world’s most valuable company again, briefly crossing the $4T mark on 09Jul25. That’s now larger than the entire UK stock market and outpaces most G20 GDPs. This isn’t just sentiment—it’s underpinned by staggering revenue growth. NVDA’s data center revenue grew from $300M in 2015 to $131B LTM. That’s not a typo.

Trump’s tariffs may have shocked the April tape, but $NVDA is now up 74% off those lows. It’s gained 22% YTD and is now the single largest weight in the S&P 500 at 7.3%, ahead of both $AAPL and $MSFT.

EPS guidance remains robust: Nvidia expects Q2 revenue of $45B (+/– 2%) following a 69% YoY jump in Q1. Margins? 61% gross, 49% operating, 43% net. Forward P/E is 32—below its 3-year average of 37. For a $4T AI backbone, that’s a multiple I can justify.

💼 Analyst Targets & Wall Street Sentiment

Goldman Sachs analyst James Schneider initiated coverage this week with a Buy and a $185 price target, citing product cadence, AI monetisation, and valuation rerating potential. Piper Sandler and Deutsche Bank both echoed bullishness on the broader AI theme, while Bank of America’s Dan Ives continues to frame NVDA and MSFT as the dual foundations of the AI era.

Finbold called for $1,200 by 2027 based on historical Golden Cross extensions, but I’m taking a more grounded view into Q3. If earnings surprise, $200 is within sight.

📍 Key Technical Levels

• Support: $150 major floor, then $155

• Resistance: $164.50–165 gamma trigger, then $167.50 and $170

• Golden Cross confirmed with MA50 > MA200

• RSI (6): 84.38, MACD shows bullish momentum build

• Weekly structure: breakout from multi-month range, new ATHs in sight

📌 Forward Watchlist

• Break above $165 with volume confirms continuation to $170, then $185

• Breakdown below $160 brings $155–$150 back into play

• July 18–19 expiry flow worth tracking for near-term pin risk

• August 27: Q2 earnings, with guidance and margin expansion critical

• Global AI policy or chip export restrictions could introduce volatility

🎯 Trade Setup

I’m looking at leaning long via debit call spreads at the $165–170 level. I’ll consider exiting or rotating if price fails to hold $162.50 on volume. If there’s a pullback, I’d prefer dip entries closer to $155 or layered into $150 support. For cautious traders, that level may offer a high reward-to-risk window into August earnings.

🚀 Bottom Line

$NVDA is firing on all cylinders: dominant in AI compute, expanding monetisation paths, riding historic macro tailwinds, and still not wildly overvalued. From a technical, fundamental, and positioning perspective, I’ve rarely seen a cleaner convergence.

The next move hinges on the $165 gamma shelf. A clean break, and we’re heading into price discovery above all-time highs. If you’re long, stay nimble and let the trend confirm. If flat, structure entries around gamma pockets or wait for earnings setup volatility. Either way, I’m staying laser-focused here.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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