$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ πππReading the Structure: Deconstructing the Fear, Validating the Patternπππ Replying to @3nn
Iβve gone back through the tape and the numbers tell a clearer story. TIGR peaked at US$36.72 on 16 Feb 2021, not US$20, before the retail boom cooled. It then based for months, tagged a low at US$3.36 in Oct 2023, and has spent the past year oscillating inside a broad consolidation range between US$3.36 and 14.48.
That βquietβ stretch was classic volatility compression. Volume dried up, the Bollinger Bands squeezed, and market makers kept inventories delta neutral rather than force direction. When Beijing floated stimulus headlines in Jan 2025, the Chinese fintech basket, TIGR, FUTU, KWEB, popped, then cooled once traders realised there was more jawboning than liquidity. The macro spark faded, yet the base pattern held.
Why patterns persist
β’ Accumulation, pause, markup. Institutions build quietly, float shrinks, then a heavy volume break lifts price above the base.
β’ Overhead supply. Holders from US$10 to 12 will try to unload into strength at first, yet every retest absorbs more shares and chips away at that wall.
β’ Symmetry. Classic AB = CD legs, mirror swings, and measured-move projections reflect the marketβs tendency toward harmonic proportion and risk-reward equilibrium, as both human and algorithmic players parcel risk and project gains in symmetrical increments. If an initial thrust travels US$3, quants often programme the secondary leg to match that range, forming harmonic AB = CD checkpoints. Elliott Wave equality, trend based Fibonacci extensions, swing length parity, and ATR multiple targets all echo the same idea, price seeks geometric balance as order flow rebalances. Spotting that symmetry lets me layer limit orders, trail stops at fractal pivots, and lock gains before the crowd reacts.
What converts a shape into speed
1. Fundamental spark. A licensing win, TIGR still pursuing an MAS capital markets upgrade, can turn a sideways coil into a sustained trend.
2. Concrete policy. Real stimulus, not headlines, can rerate the sector.
3. Flow mechanics. Dealers hedging rising call exposure or shorts covering on an uptick often add the fuel that finishes a breakout.
4. Sentiment flips. A crowded bear trade forces systematic funds to rebalance when data surprise to the upside.
Where we sit now
The stock has been carving an ascending triangle since Aug 2024, with higher troughs at US$6.80, 7.40, and 8.70. A decisive close above US$10.60 on rising volume would open the door to the Mar 2024 pivot high near US$14.50, matching the triangleβs measured rule. Lose the US$8.70 trend line and the base probably needs more time.
So, while the US$10 to 12 zone is real supply, Iβm tracking whether fresh demand keeps absorbing it. If the pattern continues to print higher lows into that ceiling, odds tilt toward a break. If not, caution pays off. Either way, pattern structure plus catalyst awareness beats trading on fear alone.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts, itβs always valuable to pressure-test setups with different perspectives.
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TIGR has always been interesting. like the pattern that is following