To The Moon

$Strategy(MSTR)$ 

$SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ 

🇺🇸 Market Backdrop & Geopolitical Drivers

US attack on Iran's nuclear sites has escalated Middle East tensions. History shows that such conflict often sends crude oil higher—benefiting energy-linked equities, while simultaneously disrupting overall risk sentiment.

Crypto reaction: Bitcoin plunged ~3% intraday, with Ethereum down ~9% . Historically, sharp crypto sell-offs, especially tied to macro unrest, spill over into equities tied to crypto exposure, like Strategy (MSTR).

🔍 $MSTR (Strategy)

Strong correlation with BTC (~1.5× leverage historically) . With Bitcoin down ~3%, further pressure on MSTR is likely, though BTC recently rebounded from its intraday low—suggesting limited downside ahead.

Chart pattern: Analysts on TradingView flagged a 'cup‑and‑handle' developing, with a breakout target near the Fibonacci extension—if BTC holds above $100K, **MSTR could surge 10–15%**.

Prediction: Expect short-term dip to ~$350–360 if BTC retests lower range. If BTC stabilizes near $102K—$105K, MSTR could bounce back toward $400+ by mid-week.

🎮 $SBET (SharpLink Gaming)

Mixed signals: June seasonality yields only ~44% chance of gains , and technicals show near-term forecast to dip ~5% to $9.30.

Volatility snapshot: Over the past two weeks, SBET dropped ~76%, vs. SPY's modest decline—though 3‑month return remains strong (+164%).

Support/ resistance: Near-term support stands at $7.50, resistance capping at ~$12.50.

Prediction: Likely suffer short-term pullback toward $9.30–$9.50. If oil/geo concerns deepen, risk could extend to the lower $8s, but July seasonality points to a bounce later next week or early July.

💼 Tactical Takeaways

MSTR: Consider a staggered entry—scale in near $355–360, targeting the $400–420 zone if BTC shows stability.

SBET: A smaller tactical position near $9.40, with tight stop losses below $9.00; risk/reward favors holding into late July seasonality rally.

Macro overlay: Keep an eye on oil price action—further upside there could buoy SBET, while a broader risk-off retreat would weigh on both crypto-linked names.

🔮 What to Watch

Oil prices: A sustained rally above $80/barrel could boost SBET.

Crypto bounce: Bitcoin reclaiming $105K would support MSTR rally.

Escalation in Mideast conflict: could tip both names lower alongside broader risk assets.

Final word: Next week's fate of $MSTR and $SBET hinges on whether crypto stabilizes post‑geopolitical shock, and how oil reacts. If BTC holds near the lower $100K band and oil remains elevated but calm, expect MSTR rebound → $400+, and SBET recover into $10–11 zone. But a deepening conflict could keep both under pressure.

I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!