AdamDavis

    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·03:11
      $Oracle(ORCL)$  ORCL is seeing decent volume right now, with sellers getting cleaned out on this move down. I think 128 is a reasonable level to buy, and it could trade higher tomorrow.
      50Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·02:48
      $Oracle(ORCL)$  Every time we dip to the 4-year average, it tends to bounce back. Right now we're sitting a bit below that level. Buffett's view is that's a buying opportunity, and for blue chips that's basically gospel. Just saying.
      1Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-21 08:30
      $Oracle(ORCL)$  is running a smart capital play here, scaling its AI footprint with other people's money. Between $75B in customer prepayments and credit backstops from $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , Oracle is building out data centers without burning its own cash or blowing up CapEx. That setup looks favorable for future margins.
      193Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-20 21:49
      $Oxbridge Re(OXBR)$ Warrants up 85% over the last few days. Is there news coming? AI data centers? Tokenization? Not sure what's driving this.
      109Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-20 13:59
      $Oracle(ORCL)$  NOV20 135C still looks actionable. Zone: $128.68 to $130.50 Invalidation: close under $127.36 Objectives: $138.63, then $144.57 The setup math: up 7.0% to the first objective and 11.6% to the second, against 1.7% risk on the invalidation. That works out to better than 6 to 1 to the second target. Oracle closed at $129.59, up 1.1 percent, after buyers held the $129.12 low well above the $127.36 low from Friday. The stock is still down about 12 percent in a month, so a lot of the worry looks like it is already priced in. The floor sits close underneath, and if it holds there is honest room back toward the levels lost on the way down. A close under $127.36 says the idea is wrong. Watching $131.40 fi
      8Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-16
      $Oracle(ORCL)$  An Apollo deal on off-balance sheet debt looks imminent. This could run to 300 in the coming months.
      84Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-15
      $Oracle(ORCL)$ ORCL's market cap has fallen to just $395B. FY2027 projected EPS is $8.14–$8.31, and FY2028 projected EPS is $11.02. That works out to roughly 16x FY2027 earnings and only 12x FY2028 earnings. Somehow, one of the biggest players in the AI infrastructure buildout is being priced like a declining legacy name. Wall Street loves AI, until it comes time to value Oracle. Hard to find the words here.
      260Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-15
      $Oracle(ORCL)$  Looking at past patterns around ORCL earnings: it tends to rally 2-6 weeks ahead of the report, then falls after. If that repeats, ORCL could rally somewhere around mid to late November ahead of the estimated Dec 9 earnings date. So far the actual ER date hasn't been announced on their IR page yet. $Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF(ORCX)$  $Direxion Daily ORCL Bull 2X ETF(ORCU)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 
      455Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-15
      $Oracle(ORCL)$ Down 9% with no volume spike to back it up. Market makers can push the price around and mess with sentiment pretty easily, but fundamentally nothing has changed.
      304Comment
      Report
    • AdamDavisAdamDavis
      ·10-13
      $Oracle(ORCL)$  Larry Ellison canceled his sell orders and is holding all his shares, and then another Oracle insider made a $3.5 million purchase. Hard to be bearish after that.
      189Comment
      Report
       
       
       
       

      Most Discussed