To The Moon

Since Bitcoin rebounded to $83,000 earlier this month, the crypto market has been steadily losing momentum. By this week, Bitcoin had slipped back toward $73,000, while Ethereum was hovering near $2,000. But the more important signal is not just the price decline itself. A closer look at market structure suggests that the bid behind crypto is weakening. Across institutional flows, ETF demand, on-chain cost levels and derivatives positioning, the same message is becoming harder to ignore: buyers are stepping back. Institutional Flows Were the First to Turn The first place to look is institutional capital. In mid-May, digital asset investment products recorded $1.07 billion in weekly outflows, ending a six-week streak of inflows. Bitcoin products accounted for $982 million of those outflows,

This week, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 have successively reached record highs. In addition to AI and corporate earnings expectations, the resilience of the US economy itself is also an important backdrop supporting the risk appetite of US stocks. Today, we attempt to provide a perspective on the state of US manufacturing from the newly released Richmond Fed manufacturing data. The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Composite Index rose from 3 in April to 13 in May, significantly higher than market expectations. More importantly, the three core sub-indices rebounded in tandem: new orders rose from 8 to 17, shipments from -2 to 16, and employment from 0 to 3. It should be noted that the Richmond Fed covers the Fifth Federal Reserve District of the US, including Washington, D.C., Maryland, North Carol

A quiet shift is taking place at the very top of the global aluminum supply chain. Guinea, the world’s largest bauxite producer, plans to announce new export control measures in June. The goal is not to stop exports, but to manage volumes and push prices back to what the government sees as a more reasonable level. Bauxite sits at the starting point of the aluminum chain. It is processed into alumina, which is then used to produce primary aluminum. If bauxite starts to be repriced, the impact will not stop at the mine gate. Alumina, primary aluminum and downstream aluminum products will all have to recalculate their costs. Why Guinea Is Acting Guinea is not short of bauxite. The issue is that it may have been selling too much, too cheaply. In 2025, Guinea’s bauxite exports rose 25% to about