To The Moon

Opinion: Cramer’s 22% S&P 500 Crash Prediction Is Unlikely—Here’s Why Investors Should Think for Themselves Jim Cramer’s dire warning on Mad Money on April 5, 2025, predicting a 22% single-day plunge in the S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 7, has sent shockwaves through the financial world. Citing the spectre of the 1987 Black Monday crash, Cramer points to the recent tariff announcement from President Trump and the market’s two-day slide of 10.4% as harbingers of doom. While his flair for drama grabs attention, a closer look at today’s market mechanisms, the improbability of his exact scenario, and the complexities of global trade retaliation suggests investors should approach such predictions with scepticism—not blind faith. The intent here is clear: understanding the market’s nuan

As of Friday, April 5, 2025, NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) closed at $94.31, down 7.36%, while AMD ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ) closed at $85.76, shedding 8.57%. These declines come amid swirling rumours about new GPU releases—NVIDIA’s RTX 5060 Ti and AMD’s Radeon RX 9060 XT—and growing concerns over tariff policies inflating supply chain costs. With both companies potentially opting to maintain current pricing or engage in a price war, their gaming divisions’ revenue, profit margins, EPS, and stock prices hang in the balance. Here’s a closer look at how these dynamics might unfold. Nvidia AMD New Product Rumors Set the Stage Reports suggest NVIDIA is gearing up to launch the RTX 5060 Ti on April 16, 2025

April 4, 2025 – The S&P 500 ( $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ) is at a critical juncture, reeling from a tariff-driven selloff that has already shaved 2.84% off the index, closing at 5394.52 on Thursday, April 3. This sharp decline—part of a broader 4.8% drop, marking the index’s worst single-day performance since June 2020—comes on the heels of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement, which introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries, effective April 5. As markets brace for the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report due today at 8:30 AM EDT, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A disappointing NFP print, combined with the tariff shock, could push the S&P 500 into a deeper correction, heightening the risk

On April 2, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order imposing steep tariffs on imports, targeting key semiconductor supply chain nations: Taiwan (32%), South Korea (25%), Japan (24%), and Malaysia (24%). Effective April 5, these measures signal a return to Trump’s “America First” trade strategy, aiming to pressure Asian economies into concessions while bolstering U.S. manufacturing. For the semiconductor industry—a global oligopoly dominated by U.S. design giants like AMD and NVIDIA, yet reliant on Asian production—the stakes are immense. This article examines how these four nations might respond, the potential impact on the chip sector, and early indicators of their strategies, such as the Intel-TSMC joint venture. Trump’s High-Stakes Bet: Maximum Pressure Trump’s tarif

On April 2, 2025, NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) saw its stock tumble over 5% in after-hours trading, a sharp decline that has investors questioning whether the semiconductor cycle—typically spanning 3-5 years—has run its course. Since 2008, the global semiconductor market has weathered four complete cycles, with the current one bottoming in Q1 2023. Some argue this cycle has ended, pointing to NVIDIA’s struggles as evidence, while others see its relatively low PE ratio (37-52) as a buying signal, tempered by concerns over Blackwell’s margin impact. This article dissects the cycle’s status and dives deep into NVIDIA’s underperformance, blending industry data, economic pressures, and company-specific dynamics to answer: Is this a cycle crash or an NVIDI

President Donald Trump announcing long-awaited reciprocal tariffs. On April 2, 2025, Eastern Time, former President Donald Trump officially unveiled his reciprocal tariff policy, a cornerstone of his "America First" economic agenda. Announced in a White House Rose Garden ceremony, the policy aims to level the playing field in global trade by imposing tariffs on imports that mirror those levied on U.S. goods by foreign nations. Dubbed a "Declaration of Economic Independence" by Trump, the move has jolted financial markets and sparked widespread debate about its implications. While the announcement clarified key details such as tariff rates and timelines, it also introduced fresh uncertainties, from potential trade retaliation to broader economic fallout. This article examines the policy’s s

Gold has shattered expectations, breaking above $3,100 per ounce and reaching a new all-time high of $3,157.40 as of April 1, 2025, according to the COMEX Gold chart. This milestone, reflecting a 4.79% gain over the past five days, underscores gold’s enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset amid a turbulent global landscape. Let’s dive into the factors driving this rally, analyze the chart’s implications, and explore what lies ahead for the precious metal. The Rally in Context The COMEX chart illustrates gold’s meteoric rise over the past five days, with prices climbing steadily from around $3,000 on March 27 to $3,157.40 by March 31. The 1.38% daily increase on March 31 alone highlights the momentum behind this surge. This breakout aligns with broader economic and geopolitical dynamics that

Micron Technology ( $Micron Technology(MU)$ ) has been on a downward trajectory since its fiscal second-quarter 2025 earnings report on March 20, 2025, with the stock closing at $81.32 on April 1, 2025, down 1.42% for the day and over 20% from its February peak of $114. Despite a strong earnings beat, investor sentiment has soured, driven by a mix of self-inflicted challenges, broader market dynamics, and a sharp decline in NAND sales. This article delves into the highlights of Micron’s earnings, the reasons behind the stock’s continued decline, the drivers of the NAND segment’s weakness, and the stock’s potential trajectory in the context of economic conditions, industry outlook, and U.S. government policies. Earnings Highlights: A Mixed Bag Micron

As the first week of April 2025 kicks off, financial markets are bracing for a series of economic data releases and a high-profile Federal Reserve appearance that could shape investor sentiment and dictate near-term trends. With trade policy uncertainties, inflation pressures, and shifting Federal Reserve expectations in the backdrop, this week’s calendar is packed with potential catalysts. Below, we outline the critical events, their likely market impacts, and an assessment of volatility, spotlighting three standout moments: Tuesday’s ISM Manufacturing PMI, Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. Key Economic Events and Data Releases 1. Monday, March 31: Chicago PMI and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Regional manufacturing gauges kick off the week, offering an ear

AppLovin ( $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ ), a leading ad tech company, faced its third short-seller attack of 2025 on March 27, when Muddy Waters Research released a scathing report alleging that the company’s ad tactics “systematically” violate app store terms of service by “impermissibly extracting” user data from platforms like Meta, Reddit, and Alphabet. The report triggered a 20% plunge in AppLovin’s stock price, dropping it from a previous close of $327.620 to a close of $261.700, with a low of $252.510. This marked the steepest one-day decline in the company’s history since its 2021 IPO, wiping out nearly $17 billion in market value. As the dust settles, investors are left with a critical question: Is this a buying opportunity, or should they