To The Moon

We may literally be entering a bubble.Last month, retail investors bought a record $100 billion worth of stocks.Given that the market was already expensive, they likely got caught up in FOMO and poured most of this money into already overvalued stocks, further stretching valuations.At some point, smart money will inevitably start dumping some of these overextended names to take profits and de-risk their portfolios.When that happens, retail investors will panic and flee the market faster than they bought in.This will likely trigger the long-overdue correction.It’s time to be more fearful than greedy. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Line chart titled Rolling 1m estimated Retail Demand $bn displays blue line fluctuating from negative 40 billion in 2016 rising to

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Blow-Off Top = Final Wave Before Correction🔥SPX is in its 5th wave from the April low, already hitting 6600 (61.8% W1). The rally still has room toward 6700 (log 61.8%) and even 6800 (100% W1) in a blow-off-the-top scenario.New Daily bullish FVGs show strong order flow, and no bearish SMT divergence yet (warning of waning momentum). Upside bias likely holds into FOMC Wednesday, the key catalyst.⚠️ But with a completed 5-wave advance from April and negative RSI divergence, risk of a higher-degree correction is rising — potentially pulling back toward the Monthly FVG support at 6200–6000.First Warning: Close below 6556 Confirmed Reversal: 6405 (50% of W5) $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Trump’s Massive Escalation: The 104% Tariff and a Trade War With No Exit Alright Tigers— this is an emergency update. Things have officially gone off the rails. The U.S.-China trade war has entered a dangerous new phase. What we’re seeing now is an unstoppable force meeting an immovable object. Last week, Trump slapped a 34% retaliatory tariff on Beijing. China immediately responded with a matching 34% tariff of their own. But Trump’s not blinking. We are rapidly heading toward an endgame. As we've said before: you have to prepare for the worst, because at this point, neither side can back down without losing face. Trump is going all in. He’s accusing China of long-sta

SINGAPORE, April 8 - Singapore Prime Minister Lawrence Wong on Tuesday said a 10% universal tariff rate imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump does not look open for negotiation.“We are very disappointed by the U.S. move, especially considering the deep and longstanding friendship between our two countries. These are not actions one does to a friend," Wong told parliament on Tuesday, adding Singapore would not impose retaliatory tariffs.

Natural gas is currently experiencing a strong bull market driven by short-term factors like weather and export growth, as well as longer-term trends such as its role as a transition fuel. While some forecasts suggest prices could stabilize or decrease slightly after 2026, others indicate continued growth through 2030. Given the current momentum and supportive fundamentals, it is likely that natural gas is in a multi-year bull run, though investors should remain mindful of potential risks such as increased supply and the energy transition. Current Market Conditions As of March 21, 2025, natural gas futures prices are trading above $4.0 per million British Thermal Units (MMBtu), with the Henry Hub spot price at $4.22 per MMBtu and the April 2025 NYMEX contract at $4.247 per MMBtu for the we

The recent market is always very volatile, which tests traders' trading skills. Judging from the current situation, it is estimated that it will continue to fluctuate until August-September, waiting for the key signal of the Fed's interest rate path.1. Pay attention to the strength and weakness of the US stock indexAt present, the U.S. stock index is still the same as before in the election year, and the trend is still very stable. However, during the rise of the U.S. stock index, the stock price fluctuations of different listed companies rotated. The previous strength of technology stocks made the transaction too crowded. When other economic data pointed to economic recovery, then funds will withdraw from the crowded transaction and turn to Other indexes, and the PMI index released on Fri

During the domestic May Day holiday, the practice of high volatility in the external market continues, but this time it is fulfilled in agricultural products. Let me talk about the macroeconomic situation first. Although the Fed's interest rate meeting will not adjust interest rates as scheduled, the slowdown in QT (shrinking balance sheet) is a real liquidity easing measure. It is very likely that we may not see the Fed cut interest rates this year, but shrinking balance sheet The process is likely to end this year, so it is not an exaggeration to think that the Fed is now at an inflection point for re-easing.The unexpected upset of the non-farm data provided a reason for the Fed to cut interest rates. When the unemployment rate is higher than 4%, it will be the time for the Fed to cut in

Berkshire is bolstering its cash reserves and passing on riskier bets.