TimothyX

    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-21 23:51
      The read: Starlink makes money (38.8% op margin). Launch loses money (-16.1%). AI burns the most cash (-198.5% op margin + $12.7B CapEx). Launch revenue barely grew. The growth engine is Starlink.
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-20 23:47
      This Thursday, Starship V3 is expected to launch from Boca Chica, Texas. In the same week, SpaceX’s IPO filing will go public — roadshow on June 4, pricing on June 11, and official Nasdaq listing on June 12 under ticker $SpaceX(IPO001)$ . Meanwhile, $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$, $Firefly Aerospace Inc.(FLY)$ and $Voyager Technologies, Inc.(VOYG)$ all rallied Monday before pulling back Tuesday.
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-19 21:19
      May is structurally a high-pressure month — end-of-quarter repositioning, late earnings season, summer liquidity compression. The "Sell in May" narrative tends to self-fulfill. But index-level support remains intact — Morgan Stanley just raised its 12-month SPX target to 8,300 (bull case 9,400). The selling is in high-beta names, not the broader fundamental picture.
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-15
      Large-scale sells ($5M–$25M per trade): $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Large-scale buys ($1M–$5M per trade): $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Apple(AAPL)$ , $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index funds New positions: $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , $Oracle(ORCL)$ , $Synopsys(SNPS)$, $Cadence Design(CDNS)$, $Texas Instruments(TXN)$ Financial exposure includes: $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ , $Bank of America(BAC)$, $Citigroup(C)$, $Morgan Stanley(MS)$, $Wells Fargo(WFC)$, as well as multiple municipal bonds.
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-15
      Plz invest in TSLA as Elon has gained trust!!
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-14
      My logic today is to wait and see, no rush
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-13
      1. Fuel: 29% of costs, and oil just gained another 20% Fuel represents approximately 29% of SIA's total expenditure — the largest single cost line. The conversation in early April was about US$100 oil threatening aviation recovery. By late April, $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2607(BZmain)$ hit US$120+, the highest level since 2022. Even with hedging, rolling exposure will show up in the numbers. The full-year picture absorbs a cost base that shifted materially in the back half.
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-13
      Revenue $200.3M (+63.4% YoY), exceeding Goldman Sachs' expectations by +11.8%; Order backlog $2.22B, single-quarter QoQ +20%, YoY +108%, a doubling; Space Systems revenue +57% YoY, the core engine contributing to the beat. Q2 guidance midpoint $232.5M, exceeding Street estimates by approximately +16%. Neutron maiden flight maintains the 4Q26 schedule. Goldman Sachs maintains Neutral, price target $73 → $76, but the current $117 is 54% higher than the target—whether the valuation is reasonable is the biggest disagreement this quarter.
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-13
      The Wall Street Journal confirmed the latest additions to Trump's business delegation for the China visit. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ CEO Musk, $Apple(AAPL)$ CEO Cook, $GE Aerospace(GE)$ CEO Larry Culp, and $Boeing(BA)$ CEO Kelly Ortberg are all attending.
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-12
      OUE: Wholly owned subsidiary OUE Treasury on Tuesday proposed to issue S$150 million worth of 3.25 per cent green notes due in 2033. The notes will be issued at an issue price of 100 per cent of their principal amount, and will be payable semi-annually. Net proceeds from the issuance will go towards financing or re-financing eligible green projects. OUE shares closed Monday flat at S$1.10 before the news.
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