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45979188
45979188
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2023-01-11
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Tiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?
周四的数字不会难看。
Tiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?
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2023-01-11
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Powell: The Fed's policy is effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission
鲍威尔表示,美联储不是,也不会是一个“气候政策制定者”。
Powell: The Fed's policy is effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission
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2023-01-11
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Opening | Alibaba opened higher, Tesla rose more than 2%
1月10日周二,美股小幅低开,但随后拉升,截至发稿三大指数均转涨。美联储鲍威尔在今晚的讲话中表示,美联储的政策是有效的,我们的任务没有出错。阿里巴巴高开,涨约2%。杭州市委书记调研蚂蚁集团,杭州市人民
Opening | Alibaba opened higher, Tesla rose more than 2%
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2023-01-11
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Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession
世界银行下调多数国家和地区的经济增长预测,并警告说新的负面冲击可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。 世行周二表示,全球GDP今年可能只增长1.7%,约为6月预测增速的一半。 该行还下调了2024年经济增长预期,称持续通胀和利率上升是关键原因。 美联储理事Michelle Bowman表示,美联储在遏制通胀方面还有更多工作要做,应该进一步加息,然后在一段时间内将利率保持在限制性区域。
Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession
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2023-01-11
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2023-01-02
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Foreign media headlines | S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other industries
能源行业不仅是标普500指数2022年表现最好的行业,今年迄今涨幅达58%;这也是该基准公司唯一一个在同一时间没有亏损的部门。 道琼斯市场数据显示,标准普尔500能源指数正处于有记录以来最好的一年,超过了47.74%的上一个高点。创纪录的涨幅也标志着标准普尔500指数今年首次仅一个行业上涨。 因此,“可以理解,石油和天然气公司是2022年表现突出的公司,但它们的成功是建立在其他行业的衰落之上的,”他继续说道。
Foreign media headlines | S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other industries
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2022-12-30
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What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI data > Powell on an occasion > Other Fed members on an occasion > FOMC meeting</b>”。 The least interesting thing to watch is the FOMC meeting. Of course, I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Fed will thunder.</p><p>The CPI data of the United States in December has not yet come out, but the CPI data of the European Union has come out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from high levels. The figure below shows the CPI of the United States (blue line) and the European Union (white line), which are closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to rise and fall later than that of the United States. The core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the US CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of the EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference is also consistent with common sense. The United States has stronger energy independence and the EU has stronger energy dependence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the CPI of 12 in the United States? I'll estimate it today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, which means that the price of gasoline in December 2022 is higher than that in December 2021. Gasoline prices are still cheap, with a year-on-year increase of about-1%. Considering that there are some service parts in the energy part, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the picture below shows the index of food), which belongs to the relatively stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation has begun to slow down month-on-month. Let's deal with it mathematically here. Using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of the food part in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of 10.6% in November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For Part III (Goods) and Part IV (Services), the treatment is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of goods will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; The year-on-year growth of services will be 7%, slightly higher than the 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the rent contributes the most. Judging from the actual experience now, the rent has indeed not fallen.</p><p><b>Finally, the four parts of the forecast are put on their respective weight coefficients, and the inflation forecast in December is 6.0%. At present, the average expectation of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% lower than their expectation.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has become smaller and smaller in the past four months, and I apply the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The figure below shows the index and month-on-month growth of these three parts in the past four months, and the trend of weakening month-on-month is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: It is not a research report, for informational purposes only, and does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-10 21:55</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>December CPI Estimates</b></p><p>Since last Friday, the market has been trading with obvious macro signs. What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI data > Powell on an occasion > Other Fed members on an occasion > FOMC meeting</b>”。 The least interesting thing to watch is the FOMC meeting. Of course, I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Fed will thunder.</p><p>The CPI data of the United States in December has not yet come out, but the CPI data of the European Union has come out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from high levels. The figure below shows the CPI of the United States (blue line) and the European Union (white line), which are closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to rise and fall later than that of the United States. The core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the US CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of the EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference is also consistent with common sense. The United States has stronger energy independence and the EU has stronger energy dependence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the CPI of 12 in the United States? I'll estimate it today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, which means that the price of gasoline in December 2022 is higher than that in December 2021. Gasoline prices are still cheap, with a year-on-year increase of about-1%. Considering that there are some service parts in the energy part, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the picture below shows the index of food), which belongs to the relatively stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation has begun to slow down month-on-month. Let's deal with it mathematically here. Using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of the food part in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of 10.6% in November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For Part III (Goods) and Part IV (Services), the treatment is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of goods will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; The year-on-year growth of services will be 7%, slightly higher than the 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the rent contributes the most. Judging from the actual experience now, the rent has indeed not fallen.</p><p><b>Finally, the four parts of the forecast are put on their respective weight coefficients, and the inflation forecast in December is 6.0%. At present, the average expectation of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% lower than their expectation.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has become smaller and smaller in the past four months, and I apply the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The figure below shows the index and month-on-month growth of these three parts in the past four months, and the trend of weakening month-on-month is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: It is not a research report, for informational purposes only, and does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df74a3173019df9d7cecb61fc0d78eea","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185461473","content_text":"12月CPI预估从上周五开始,市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象。什么叫做市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象,就是说股市的上涨下跌没有逻辑可言,但是其它资产的交易逻辑性非常强,而股市突然上涨或者下跌的时候,恰好是其它宏观资产价格剧烈变化的时候。按照重要性排序,现在对于美国加息决议的决定因素是“CPI数据 >鲍威尔在某个场合的讲话 >其他美联储成员在某个场合的讲话 > FOMC会议”。最没有看头的反而是FOMC会议,当然也不得不看,因为害怕美联储会放雷。12月美国的CPI数据还没出来,但是欧盟的CPI数据出来了。根据彭博的数据,欧盟12月的CPI数据进一步高位下降。下图是美国(蓝线)和欧盟(白线)的CPI,两者关系非常紧密。细心的人会发现欧盟CPI冲高回落似乎比美国晚,这里面的核心原因在于能源部分。下图是美国CPI中能源部分的增长率,是去年6月见顶。但是欧盟CPI的能源部分,是去年10月才开始回落。这个差异和常识也相互吻合,美国的能源独立性更强,欧盟的能源依赖性更强。欧盟12月的CPI进一步回落暗示了美国也会回落,那美国12的CPI具体是多少呢?我今天来估算一下。第一个部分是能源,11月的同比增长还是13%,但是根据汽油的平均价格来看,12月的同比增长会是负数,也就是说2022年12月的汽油价格比2021年12月的汽油价格还便宜,大概同比增长是-1%。考虑到能源部分中还有一些服务部分,价格具有一定的粘滞性,能源的同比增长大概只有3%。下图是美国的汽油价格,红框是12月。第二部分是食物(下图是食物的指数),是属于通胀比较顽固的部分,目前通胀的环比开始放缓。这里数学处理一下,沿用11月的环比增幅来估计12月的食物指数,那么12月的食物部分的同比增长是10%,这个和11月的食物同比增长10.6%相近。对于第三部分(商品)和第四部分(服务),均采用和食物类似的处理方式。商品的同比增长将会是2%,低于11月的3.7%;服务的同比增长将会是7%,略微高于11月的6.8%。商品价格的回落有目共睹,所以实际可能比2%更低。服务的同比增长依然具有粘性,这里面房租的贡献最大,从现在的实际感受来看,房租确实没有回落。最后把预估的4部分套上各自的权重系数,那么12月的通胀预估是6.0%。目前华尔街分析师的预期均值是6.5%,我的比他们的预期要低0.5%。注意,我的预估其实都是偏保守,因为食物、商品和服务的环比增长在过去4个月都是越来越小,而我套用的是11月的环比增长来预估12月的数,很保守。下图是这3部分过去4个月的指数以及环比增长,环比变弱的趋势明显。周四的数字不会难看。免责声明:非研究报告,仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407484,"gmtCreate":1673398311350,"gmtModify":1676538830121,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407484","repostId":"1118702062","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118702062","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673360123,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1118702062?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-10 22:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Powell: The Fed's policy is effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118702062","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"鲍威尔表示,美联储不是,也不会是一个“气候政策制定者”。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made a brief comment on central bank independence at a forum in Stockholm.<b>Powell said, \"The Fed's policy is effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission.\"</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66eba45e749a6387079cb79cd8aac54\" tg-width=\"792\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Powell tried to give boundaries on how much the Fed would use its power to promote a green economy. He vowed to limit the Federal Reserve's role on climate and not become a regulator in the climate field to protect the independence of the central bank.</b></p><p>Powell said the Fed is not, and will not be, a \"climate policymaker.\" In terms of climate-related financial risks, the responsibility of the Federal Reserve is small, but important.</p><p>Powell also stated that the Federal Reserve will not use its own monetary policy tools to make the U.S. economy greener. \"Without clear congressional legislation, it is not appropriate for us to use our monetary policy or regulatory tools to promote a green economy or achieve other climate-based goals.\"</p><p><b>Powell pointed out that the Fed should focus on its own goals authorized by Capitol Hill, that is, to achieve price stability and full employment, and stick to the affairs familiar to the Fed. The Federal Reserve should not wander around solving social welfare issues that are not closely linked to its statutory goals and powers.</b></p><p>Powell faces joint pressure from both Democrats and Republicans on the extent to which the Fed is concerned about climate change. In 2021, some Democratic lawmakers and left-leaning people opposed Powell's * as Federal Reserve chairman, citing that he was not doing enough to combat global warming. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve under Powell has increasingly shifted its focus to financial risks from climate change, drawing criticism from Republicans.</p><p>Powell believes that without direct political control, the Fed can make decisions regardless of short-term political factors, so as to take necessary measures.</p><p>Powell also said that the independence of the Fed serves the public well, and the Fed must maintain this by achieving its goals and providing transparency to the public and Congress. Powell's speech comes at a time when the Federal Reserve faces multiple demands from the U.S. Congress to be more transparent in the selection process of local Fed presidents.</p><p><b>Powell did not comment directly on FOMC monetary policy, nor did he talk about the U.S. economic situation.</b>In his speech, he mentioned that price stability is the cornerstone of a healthy economy. The goal of restoring price stability requires a series of short-term unpopular actions, because the Federal Reserve needs rate hike to slow down the economy.</p><p>In the subsequent question-and-answer session, Powell said the Fed has innovatively used tools during the recent crisis. The resilience of the financial system has been greatly enhanced. The Fed's tools are effective, and the Fed has done nothing wrong in fulfilling its duties. COVID-19 pandemic has exposed weaknesses in the non-bank financial sector. Powell said he prefers to focus on structural reform rather than increasing liquidity.</p><p>Currently, there are still three weeks before the next FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve. At its December meeting, the Fed slowed the pace of its rate hike, rate hike 50 basis points, and raised its Federal Funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. The market expects that at the next meeting, the Federal Reserve has a greater probability of continuing to slow down the pace of rate hike, with a rate hike of 25 basis points. Judging from the dot plot in December, Fed officials are poised to raise interest rates above 5% this year.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"live_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell: The Fed's policy is effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell: The Fed's policy is effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-01-10 22:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made a brief comment on central bank independence at a forum in Stockholm.<b>Powell said, \"The Fed's policy is effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission.\"</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d66eba45e749a6387079cb79cd8aac54\" tg-width=\"792\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Powell tried to give boundaries on how much the Fed would use its power to promote a green economy. He vowed to limit the Federal Reserve's role on climate and not become a regulator in the climate field to protect the independence of the central bank.</b></p><p>Powell said the Fed is not, and will not be, a \"climate policymaker.\" In terms of climate-related financial risks, the responsibility of the Federal Reserve is small, but important.</p><p>Powell also stated that the Federal Reserve will not use its own monetary policy tools to make the U.S. economy greener. \"Without clear congressional legislation, it is not appropriate for us to use our monetary policy or regulatory tools to promote a green economy or achieve other climate-based goals.\"</p><p><b>Powell pointed out that the Fed should focus on its own goals authorized by Capitol Hill, that is, to achieve price stability and full employment, and stick to the affairs familiar to the Fed. The Federal Reserve should not wander around solving social welfare issues that are not closely linked to its statutory goals and powers.</b></p><p>Powell faces joint pressure from both Democrats and Republicans on the extent to which the Fed is concerned about climate change. In 2021, some Democratic lawmakers and left-leaning people opposed Powell's * as Federal Reserve chairman, citing that he was not doing enough to combat global warming. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve under Powell has increasingly shifted its focus to financial risks from climate change, drawing criticism from Republicans.</p><p>Powell believes that without direct political control, the Fed can make decisions regardless of short-term political factors, so as to take necessary measures.</p><p>Powell also said that the independence of the Fed serves the public well, and the Fed must maintain this by achieving its goals and providing transparency to the public and Congress. Powell's speech comes at a time when the Federal Reserve faces multiple demands from the U.S. Congress to be more transparent in the selection process of local Fed presidents.</p><p><b>Powell did not comment directly on FOMC monetary policy, nor did he talk about the U.S. economic situation.</b>In his speech, he mentioned that price stability is the cornerstone of a healthy economy. The goal of restoring price stability requires a series of short-term unpopular actions, because the Federal Reserve needs rate hike to slow down the economy.</p><p>In the subsequent question-and-answer session, Powell said the Fed has innovatively used tools during the recent crisis. The resilience of the financial system has been greatly enhanced. The Fed's tools are effective, and the Fed has done nothing wrong in fulfilling its duties. COVID-19 pandemic has exposed weaknesses in the non-bank financial sector. Powell said he prefers to focus on structural reform rather than increasing liquidity.</p><p>Currently, there are still three weeks before the next FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve. At its December meeting, the Fed slowed the pace of its rate hike, rate hike 50 basis points, and raised its Federal Funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. The market expects that at the next meeting, the Federal Reserve has a greater probability of continuing to slow down the pace of rate hike, with a rate hike of 25 basis points. Judging from the dot plot in December, Fed officials are poised to raise interest rates above 5% this year.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3679519\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/909f0c076f3fff78497a5c9be00e5429","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3679519","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1118702062","content_text":"1月10日周二,美联储主席鲍威尔在斯德哥尔摩的一个论坛上就央行独立性发表简短评论。鲍威尔表示”美联储的政策是有效的,我们的任务没有出错。“鲍威尔试图就美联储将在多大程度上利用其权力促进绿色经济给出界限。他誓言限制美联储在气候方面的作用,不会成为气候领域的监管机构,以保护央行的独立性。鲍威尔表示,美联储不是,也不会是一个“气候政策制定者”。在气候相关的金融风险方面,美联储的职责小,但是重要。鲍威尔还表态,美联储不会动用自身的货币政策工具,来促进美国经济变得更加绿色。“如果没有明确的国会立法,我们使用我们的货币政策或监管工具来促进绿色经济或实现其他基于气候的目标是不合适的。”鲍威尔指出,美联储应当侧重于国会山授权的自身目标,也即实现物价稳定和充分就业,坚持美联储所熟悉的事务。美联储不应四处游荡,解决与其法定目标和权力没有紧密联系的社会福利问题。就美联储关注气候变化的程度方面,鲍威尔面临着来自民主党和共和党的共同压力。2021年,一些民主党议员们和左倾人士反对鲍威尔连任美联储主席,理由是他在应对全球变暖方面做得不够。与此同时,鲍威尔领导下的美联储越来越多地将关注点转向气候变化带来的金融风险,这招致共和党的批评。鲍威尔认为,在没有直接的政治控制下,美联储的决策可以不考虑短期政治因素,从而采取必要的措施。鲍威尔还说,美联储的独立性为公众服务的很好,美联储必须通过实现其目标和向公众和国会提供透明度,来保持住这一点。鲍威尔该讲话,正值美联储面临美国国会的多项要求,要求其在地方联储主席的遴选过程中更加透明。鲍威尔并未直接置评FOMC货币政策,也没有谈及美国经济形势。他在讲话中提到,物价稳定性是一个健康经济体的基石。恢复物价稳定性这个目标需要采取一系列短期内并不受人欢迎的行动,因为美联储需要加息来放缓经济。在随后的问答环节上,鲍威尔表示,美联储在最近危机中创新性地使用了工具。金融系统的韧性大大地增强了。美联储的工具是有效的,美联储在履行职责方面没有做错什么。新冠疫情暴露出非银金融领域的弱点。鲍威尔称其本人倾向于重视结构性改革,而非加大流动性。当前,距离美联储下次FOMC会议还有三周时间。在12月的会议上,美联储放缓了加息步伐,加息50基点,将联邦基金利率上调至4.25%-4.5%的范围。市场预期,在接下来的会议上,美联储有更大概率继续放缓加息步伐,加息25个基点。从12月的点阵图来看,今年美联储官员们势将利率提高到5%以上。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407579,"gmtCreate":1673398293592,"gmtModify":1676538830115,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407579","repostId":"1129242286","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129242286","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673360880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129242286?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-10 22:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | Alibaba opened higher, Tesla rose more than 2%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129242286","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月10日周二,美股小幅低开,但随后拉升,截至发稿三大指数均转涨。美联储鲍威尔在今晚的讲话中表示,美联储的政策是有效的,我们的任务没有出错。阿里巴巴高开,涨约2%。杭州市委书记调研蚂蚁集团,杭州市人民","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10, U.S. stocks experienced a slight open low, but then rose. As of press time, all three major indexes turned higher.<b>Fed Powell said in his speech tonight that the Fed's policies are effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55213d1c864fbf260a9c22a95bbb2b0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Opened higher, up about 2%. Investigation by Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">Ant Group</a>, Hangzhou Municipal People's Government and Alibaba signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35609e447b1917b2057ddcbb64dada4d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>New car-making forces collectively rose at the beginning of the session.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Rose more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It rose more than 2% at the beginning of the session. It was reported that after announcing the price cut, Tesla China received 30,000 car orders within three days. But Tesla officials declined to comment. It is also reported that Tesla's electric vehicle factory in Austin, Texas will begin to expand in the coming weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3eeff30d0063f48d0f9768dd5ebdb72\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Faraday Future fell more than 5% after receiving a notice from the Nasdaq exchange informing the company that it did not meet certain requirements for continued listing.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit</a>After a 20% drop, Virgin Orbit admitted on social media that the first satellite launch from the UK failed.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It rose 7.1%. Despite the company's quarterly loss of about $393 million during the holiday season, it did not say it would file for bankruptcy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Down 1.56%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Downgraded Boeing's rating to hold from overweight, saying it lacks potential upside from current levels.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>Fell slightly 1% amid reports that<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Plans to abandon by 2025<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Chip, switch to an in-house design.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>It fell more than 11% after the company lowered its performance guidance for 2023, which was lower than market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | Alibaba opened higher, Tesla rose more than 2%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | Alibaba opened higher, Tesla rose more than 2%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-10 22:28</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, January 10, U.S. stocks experienced a slight open low, but then rose. As of press time, all three major indexes turned higher.<b>Fed Powell said in his speech tonight that the Fed's policies are effective and we have not gone wrong with our mission.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55213d1c864fbf260a9c22a95bbb2b0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Opened higher, up about 2%. Investigation by Hangzhou Municipal Party Committee<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06688\">Ant Group</a>, Hangzhou Municipal People's Government and Alibaba signed a comprehensive deepening strategic cooperation agreement.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35609e447b1917b2057ddcbb64dada4d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>New car-making forces collectively rose at the beginning of the session.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Rose more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up 2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It rose more than 2% at the beginning of the session. It was reported that after announcing the price cut, Tesla China received 30,000 car orders within three days. But Tesla officials declined to comment. It is also reported that Tesla's electric vehicle factory in Austin, Texas will begin to expand in the coming weeks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3eeff30d0063f48d0f9768dd5ebdb72\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Faraday Future fell more than 5% after receiving a notice from the Nasdaq exchange informing the company that it did not meet certain requirements for continued listing.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VORB\">Virgin Orbit</a>After a 20% drop, Virgin Orbit admitted on social media that the first satellite launch from the UK failed.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It rose 7.1%. Despite the company's quarterly loss of about $393 million during the holiday season, it did not say it would file for bankruptcy.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Down 1.56%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Downgraded Boeing's rating to hold from overweight, saying it lacks potential upside from current levels.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRCM\">Broadcom</a>Fell slightly 1% amid reports that<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>Plans to abandon by 2025<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Chip, switch to an in-house design.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ILMN\">Illumina</a>It fell more than 11% after the company lowered its performance guidance for 2023, which was lower than market expectations.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129242286","content_text":"1月10日周二,美股小幅低开,但随后拉升,截至发稿三大指数均转涨。美联储鲍威尔在今晚的讲话中表示,美联储的政策是有效的,我们的任务没有出错。阿里巴巴高开,涨约2%。杭州市委书记调研蚂蚁集团,杭州市人民政府和阿里巴巴签订全面深化战略合作协议。造车新势力盘初集体走高,小鹏汽车涨超3%,理想汽车、蔚来涨2%。特斯拉盘初涨超2%,消息称在宣布降价后,特斯拉中国三天内获3万辆汽车订单。但特斯拉官方未予置评。另据报道,未来几周,特斯拉位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀的电动汽车工厂的规模将开始扩大。法拉第未来跌超5%,此前收到纳斯达克交易所的通知,告知公司不符合某些继续上市要求。维珍轨道大跌20%,维珍轨道在社交媒体承认,首次从英国发射卫星宣告失败。3B家居涨7.1%,尽管公司假日季出现了约3.93亿美元的季度亏损,但没有表示会申请破产。波音跌1.56%,摩根士丹利将波音的评级从增持下调至持有,称从当前水平看缺乏潜在的上升空间。博通微跌1%,有报道称苹果计划到2025年放弃博通芯片,改用内部设计。Illumina跌超11%,此前该公司下调2023年的业绩指引,且低于市场预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407208,"gmtCreate":1673398270405,"gmtModify":1676538830104,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407208","repostId":"2302209798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2302209798","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1673391598,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2302209798?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-11 06:59","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2302209798","media":"环球市场播报","summary":" 世界银行下调多数国家和地区的经济增长预测,并警告说新的负面冲击可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。 世行周二表示,全球GDP今年可能只增长1.7%,约为6月预测增速的一半。 该行还下调了2024年经济增长预期,称持续通胀和利率上升是关键原因。 美联储理事Michelle Bowman表示,美联储在遏制通胀方面还有更多工作要做,应该进一步加息,然后在一段时间内将利率保持在限制性区域。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The World Bank slashes its 2023 economic forecast, warning of global economic recession</b><b>2. Fed Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The head says the probability of the Fed's rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b><b>4. U.S. small business optimism drops to the penultimate in the past decade</b><b>5. The U.S. public pension gap will exceed $1 trillion in 2022, and the average return rate will be negative</b><b>6. JPMorgan Chase expects the U.S. CPI to be lower than expected, and U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on the market</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>World Bank slashes 2023 economic forecast, warning of global recession</b></p><p>The World Bank lowered its economic growth forecasts for most countries and regions, and warned that new negative shocks could plunge the global economy into recession.</p><p>The World Bank said on Tuesday that global GDP may only grow by 1.7% this year, about half of the growth rate forecast in June. If the forecast holds true, it will be the third-lowest from the last three decades, behind 2009 and 2020.</p><p>The bank also cut its economic growth forecast for 2024, citing persistent inflation and rising interest rates as key reasons. The report also mentioned the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the decline in investment.</p><p>World Bank President malpass wrote in the preface of the bank's semi-annual Global Economic Prospect report that \"the crisis facing development is intensifying\" and the global economic prosperity may continue to suffer setbacks. By the end of next year, the GDP of emerging market and developing economies will be about 6% below the level expected before the outbreak.</p><p>Bank of America said the spillover effects of weak economies in the United States and the European Union exacerbated other headwinds facing poorer countries. While inflation is slowing, there are signs that price pressures are becoming more persistent and central banks have to do rate hike faster than expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201f31a4a7b549e763bf9d08ae766df9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Fed Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b></p><p>Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the Fed has more work to do to curb inflation and should further rate hike and then keep interest rates in restrictive territory for some time.</p><p>In written remarks prepared for the Florida Bankers Association on Tuesday, Bowman said, \"We've seen some inflation measures decline in recent months, but there is still a lot of work to be done, and I expect the Fed to continue raising interest rates to tighten monetary policy, as we said after the December meeting.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve officials are signaling to markets that tightening is not over. In December, the Federal Open Market Committee unanimously approved rate hike by 50 basis points to raise the benchmark interest rate to 4.25%-4.5%.</p><p>Bowman said the magnitude of future interest rate adjustments and the timing of stopping rate hike will depend on inflation. She wants to see \"compelling signs that inflation has peaked\" and is looking for \"consistent\" evidence that inflation is on a downward path. \"evidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ea0dce3d3abfe235755f4d695d1f9d3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan head says the probability of Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as 50%</b></p><p>JPMorgan CEO Dimon believes the Fed may need rate hike to exceed current expectations, but he advocates pausing to observe the full impact of last year's rate hike.</p><p>Dimon said in an interview on Tuesday that there is a 50% probability that the Fed's forecast of raising the benchmark interest rate to around 5% is correct, and the other half is that the central bank will have to increase it to 6%.</p><p>\"I also think it may not be enough,\" Dimon said. \"We were a little slow before. It caught up. I don't think it hurts to wait three or six months.\"</p><p>Two Fed officials said Monday that the Fed may need a rate hike above 5% and then maintain that level for some time.</p><p>although<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Wait for Wall Street peers to lay off employees, but Dimon said JPMorgan Chase is \"still in hiring mode.\" Salary pressures have abated slightly as consumption levels have declined, he said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c311eac63f1f78fe74606b571a8871df\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. small business optimism drops to second-lowest in nearly a decade</b></p><p>Optimism among U.S. small business owners fell to the second-lowest level in nearly a decade in December as economic and earnings expectations worsened.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) pointed out in a report on Tuesday that the overall optimism index fell 2.1 points to 89.8 last month. Eight of the index's 10 component measures fell, and readings were lower than expected by all economists surveyed.</p><p>Inflation remains the single most important factor affecting small businesses, with rising labor and material costs cited as the top reason hitting earnings. In December, the net proportion of companies that reported a decline in profits in the past three months was 30%, up from 22% in November.</p><p>However, there are signs that price pressures are easing. The proportion of business owners who raised prices that month compared with three months ago was about 43%, the lowest since May 2021. The net weight of planned near-term markups is 24%, the lowest level in two years.</p><p>Still, views on the economy are deteriorating, with 51% of business owners expecting even bleaker business conditions in the first half of the year. 10% of business owners expect sales to decline in the first quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed2c05ab5def11bb4837f5853154413c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. public pension gap tops $1 trillion in 2022 with negative average returns</b></p><p>The Equable Institute, a New York-based nonprofit, estimates that the U.S. state and local pension funding gap rose to $1.45 trillion last year.</p><p>In its report released Tuesday, Equable said the shortfall for 2021 was $986.6 billion. Last year, poor investment returns dragged down the average funded ratio of large state and local pensions to 77.3% from 83.9% in 2021, the report said. The gap between pension assets and liabilities to retirees widened by nearly $500 billion.</p><p>Public pensions are invested in stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments, and earnings are used to pay for promised employee benefits. Soaring inflation, rising interest rates and growing fears of a recession have hit stock and bond markets last year.</p><p>State and local pensions averaged a negative 6.14% preliminary investment return in 2022, according to Equable estimates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c708afd8a49964cadf48b9f365d32\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan Chase expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected, and U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on the market</b></p><p>JPMorgan Chase's sales and trading department believes that the U.S. inflation data released on Thursday may be lower than expected, which will help push U.S. stocks to rebound from the bear market.</p><p>Economists generally predict that the year-on-year CPI increase in December will drop to 6.5%, while JPMorgan analysts such as Andrew Tyler predict that there is a two-thirds chance that the actual data will be less than 10 basis points lower than expected. Given that investors have largely maintained defensive positioning, any signs of progress in the Fed's anti-inflation campaign will spur the market to cut bearish positions, and the S&P 500 index is expected to rise 1.5%-2% on the day.</p><p>Tyler wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday, \"Cooling inflation should help the bear market rebound, but as long as the Fed remains in an aggressive tightening cycle, we will remain cautious, and our scenario analysis is biased towards bullish stocks due to existing positions. Deployment could cause the market to overreact to short covering.\"</p><p>If inflation falls below 6.4%, which the team sees as a 20% probability, the benchmark stock index will rise between 3% and 3.5%. For the U.S. bond market, unless the actual data is significantly lower than expected, such as falling to 6% or below, the bond market should react calmly. Only if the CPI increase falls below 4.5%-5% will investors reassess their expectations of suspending interest rate hikes at the March meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | World Bank cuts 2023 economic forecast and warns of recession\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-01-11 06:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The World Bank slashes its 2023 economic forecast, warning of global economic recession</b><b>2. Fed Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The head says the probability of the Fed's rate hike to 6% is as high as half</b><b>4. U.S. small business optimism drops to the penultimate in the past decade</b><b>5. The U.S. public pension gap will exceed $1 trillion in 2022, and the average return rate will be negative</b><b>6. JPMorgan Chase expects the U.S. CPI to be lower than expected, and U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on the market</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>World Bank slashes 2023 economic forecast, warning of global recession</b></p><p>The World Bank lowered its economic growth forecasts for most countries and regions, and warned that new negative shocks could plunge the global economy into recession.</p><p>The World Bank said on Tuesday that global GDP may only grow by 1.7% this year, about half of the growth rate forecast in June. If the forecast holds true, it will be the third-lowest from the last three decades, behind 2009 and 2020.</p><p>The bank also cut its economic growth forecast for 2024, citing persistent inflation and rising interest rates as key reasons. The report also mentioned the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the decline in investment.</p><p>World Bank President malpass wrote in the preface of the bank's semi-annual Global Economic Prospect report that \"the crisis facing development is intensifying\" and the global economic prosperity may continue to suffer setbacks. By the end of next year, the GDP of emerging market and developing economies will be about 6% below the level expected before the outbreak.</p><p>Bank of America said the spillover effects of weak economies in the United States and the European Union exacerbated other headwinds facing poorer countries. While inflation is slowing, there are signs that price pressures are becoming more persistent and central banks have to do rate hike faster than expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201f31a4a7b549e763bf9d08ae766df9\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Fed Governor Bowman: Further rate hike is needed to curb high inflation</b></p><p>Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said the Fed has more work to do to curb inflation and should further rate hike and then keep interest rates in restrictive territory for some time.</p><p>In written remarks prepared for the Florida Bankers Association on Tuesday, Bowman said, \"We've seen some inflation measures decline in recent months, but there is still a lot of work to be done, and I expect the Fed to continue raising interest rates to tighten monetary policy, as we said after the December meeting.\"</p><p>Federal Reserve officials are signaling to markets that tightening is not over. In December, the Federal Open Market Committee unanimously approved rate hike by 50 basis points to raise the benchmark interest rate to 4.25%-4.5%.</p><p>Bowman said the magnitude of future interest rate adjustments and the timing of stopping rate hike will depend on inflation. She wants to see \"compelling signs that inflation has peaked\" and is looking for \"consistent\" evidence that inflation is on a downward path. \"evidence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ea0dce3d3abfe235755f4d695d1f9d3\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan head says the probability of Fed rate hike to 6% is as high as 50%</b></p><p>JPMorgan CEO Dimon believes the Fed may need rate hike to exceed current expectations, but he advocates pausing to observe the full impact of last year's rate hike.</p><p>Dimon said in an interview on Tuesday that there is a 50% probability that the Fed's forecast of raising the benchmark interest rate to around 5% is correct, and the other half is that the central bank will have to increase it to 6%.</p><p>\"I also think it may not be enough,\" Dimon said. \"We were a little slow before. It caught up. I don't think it hurts to wait three or six months.\"</p><p>Two Fed officials said Monday that the Fed may need a rate hike above 5% and then maintain that level for some time.</p><p>although<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Wait for Wall Street peers to lay off employees, but Dimon said JPMorgan Chase is \"still in hiring mode.\" Salary pressures have abated slightly as consumption levels have declined, he said.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c311eac63f1f78fe74606b571a8871df\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. small business optimism drops to second-lowest in nearly a decade</b></p><p>Optimism among U.S. small business owners fell to the second-lowest level in nearly a decade in December as economic and earnings expectations worsened.</p><p>The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) pointed out in a report on Tuesday that the overall optimism index fell 2.1 points to 89.8 last month. Eight of the index's 10 component measures fell, and readings were lower than expected by all economists surveyed.</p><p>Inflation remains the single most important factor affecting small businesses, with rising labor and material costs cited as the top reason hitting earnings. In December, the net proportion of companies that reported a decline in profits in the past three months was 30%, up from 22% in November.</p><p>However, there are signs that price pressures are easing. The proportion of business owners who raised prices that month compared with three months ago was about 43%, the lowest since May 2021. The net weight of planned near-term markups is 24%, the lowest level in two years.</p><p>Still, views on the economy are deteriorating, with 51% of business owners expecting even bleaker business conditions in the first half of the year. 10% of business owners expect sales to decline in the first quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed2c05ab5def11bb4837f5853154413c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>U.S. public pension gap tops $1 trillion in 2022 with negative average returns</b></p><p>The Equable Institute, a New York-based nonprofit, estimates that the U.S. state and local pension funding gap rose to $1.45 trillion last year.</p><p>In its report released Tuesday, Equable said the shortfall for 2021 was $986.6 billion. Last year, poor investment returns dragged down the average funded ratio of large state and local pensions to 77.3% from 83.9% in 2021, the report said. The gap between pension assets and liabilities to retirees widened by nearly $500 billion.</p><p>Public pensions are invested in stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments, and earnings are used to pay for promised employee benefits. Soaring inflation, rising interest rates and growing fears of a recession have hit stock and bond markets last year.</p><p>State and local pensions averaged a negative 6.14% preliminary investment return in 2022, according to Equable estimates.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588c708afd8a49964cadf48b9f365d32\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>JPMorgan Chase expects U.S. CPI to be lower than expected, and U.S. stock investors can take the opportunity to speculate on the market</b></p><p>JPMorgan Chase's sales and trading department believes that the U.S. inflation data released on Thursday may be lower than expected, which will help push U.S. stocks to rebound from the bear market.</p><p>Economists generally predict that the year-on-year CPI increase in December will drop to 6.5%, while JPMorgan analysts such as Andrew Tyler predict that there is a two-thirds chance that the actual data will be less than 10 basis points lower than expected. Given that investors have largely maintained defensive positioning, any signs of progress in the Fed's anti-inflation campaign will spur the market to cut bearish positions, and the S&P 500 index is expected to rise 1.5%-2% on the day.</p><p>Tyler wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday, \"Cooling inflation should help the bear market rebound, but as long as the Fed remains in an aggressive tightening cycle, we will remain cautious, and our scenario analysis is biased towards bullish stocks due to existing positions. Deployment could cause the market to overreact to short covering.\"</p><p>If inflation falls below 6.4%, which the team sees as a 20% probability, the benchmark stock index will rise between 3% and 3.5%. For the U.S. bond market, unless the actual data is significantly lower than expected, such as falling to 6% or below, the bond market should react calmly. Only if the CPI increase falls below 4.5%-5% will investors reassess their expectations of suspending interest rate hikes at the March meeting.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-11/doc-imxztvzv0699895.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/918863a4b7803931b61b376f6029d2f0","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-11/doc-imxztvzv0699895.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2302209798","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:1、世界银行大砍2023年经济预测 警告全球经济将衰退2、美联储理事Bowman:需要进一步加息以遏制高通胀3、摩根大通掌门人称美联储加息至6%的概率高达一半4、美国小企业乐观度降至近十年来倒数第二5、美国公共养老金缺口2022年突破1万亿美元 平均回报率为负6、摩根大通料美国CPI将低于预期 美股投资者可借机炒一波行情世界银行大砍2023年经济预测 警告全球经济将衰退世界银行下调多数国家和地区的经济增长预测,并警告说新的负面冲击可能会使全球经济陷入衰退。世行周二表示,全球GDP今年可能只增长1.7%,约为6月预测增速的一半。如果预测属实,这将是过去三十年来倒数第三低,仅次于2009年和2020年。该行还下调了2024年经济增长预期,称持续通胀和利率上升是关键原因。报告还提到了俄乌冲突的影响以及投资下降。世界银行行长马尔帕斯在该行半年度全球经济展望报告的前言中写道,“发展面临的危机正在加剧”,全球经济荣景可能继续受挫。到明年年底,新兴市场和发展中经济体的GDP将比疫情爆发前的预期水平低大约6%。美银行表示,美国和欧盟经济疲软的溢出效应加剧了较贫穷国家面临的其他不利因素。虽然通胀正在放缓,但有迹象表明,物价压力变得更加持久,央行不得不以快于预期的速度加息。美联储理事Bowman:需要进一步加息以遏制高通胀美联储理事Michelle Bowman表示,美联储在遏制通胀方面还有更多工作要做,应该进一步加息,然后在一段时间内将利率保持在限制性区域。Bowman周二在为佛罗里达州银行家协会准备的书面讲话中表示,“近几个月来,我们看到一些通胀指标下降,但还有很多工作需要做,我预计美联储将继续提高利率以收紧货币政策,正如我们在12月会议后所说的那样”。美联储官员们正在向市场传达紧缩政策还没结束的信号。联邦公开市场委员会12月全体赞成加息50个基点,将基准利率上调至4.25%-4.5%。Bowman表示,未来利率调整的幅度和停止加息的时点将取决于通胀情况,她希望看到“令人信服的迹象表明通胀已经见顶”,并正在寻找表明通胀处于下行路径的“前后一致”的证据。摩根大通掌门人称美联储加息至6%的概率高达一半摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙认为,美联储可能需要加息至超出当前预期的水平,但他主张先停一停来观察去年加息的全部影响。戴蒙周二接受采访时表示,美联储提高基准利率至5%左右的预测有50%的正确概率,另一半的可能是央行不得不加到6%。“我也认为这可能还不够,” 戴蒙说,“我们之前的步伐有点慢。它迎头赶上。我不觉得等三或六个月有什么坏处。”两位美联储官员周一表示,美联储可能需要加息到5%以上,然后维持这个水平一段时间。虽然高盛和摩根士丹利等华尔街同行正在裁员,但戴蒙表示摩根大通“仍处在招聘模式”。他说,随着消耗水平下降,薪资压力已略有减弱。美国小企业乐观度降至近十年来倒数第二随着经济和盈利预期恶化,美国小企业主的乐观度在12月下降到了近十年来倒数第二的水平。全美独立企业联合会(NFIB)周二在一份报告中指出,上月整体乐观指数下降2.1点至89.8。该指数10项成分指标中有8项下跌,且读数低于接受调查的所有经济学家的预期。通胀仍然是影响小企业的最重要单一因素,其中劳动力和材料成本的上升被视为冲击盈利的首要原因。12月称过去三个月利润下降的企业净比重为30%,过于11月的22%。然而,有迹象表明价格压力正在缓解。当月和三个月前相比提高价格的企业主比重为约43%,比例为2021年5月以来的最低。计划近期加价的净比重为24%,创下两年来最低水平。不过,对经济的看法正在恶化,51%的企业主预计今年上半年营商条件更惨淡。有10%的企业主预计第一季销售下降。美国公共养老金缺口2022年突破1万亿美元 平均回报率为负总部位于纽约的非营利机构Equable Institute估计,美国州和地方养老金资金缺口去年升至1.45万亿美元。Equable在周二发布的报告中称,2021年的缺口为9,866亿美元。报告称,去年,投资回报不佳拖累大型州和地方养老金平均资金比率(funded ratio)从2021年的83.9%降至77.3%。养老金资产和对退休人员的负债之间的缺口扩大了近5,000亿美元。公共养老金投资于股票、债券和其他金融工具,盈利用于支付所承诺的员工福利。去年,通胀飙升、利率上升以及对经济衰退的担忧加剧,冲击了股市和债市。据Equable估计,州和地方养老金2022年初步投资回报率平均为负6.14%。摩根大通料美国CPI将低于预期 美股投资者可借机炒一波行情摩根大通销售和交易部门认为,周四公布的美国通胀数据可能低于预期,将有助于推动美股从熊市反弹。经济学家普遍预测12月CPI同比升幅降至6.5%,而Andrew Tyler等摩根大通分析师预计,实际数据有三分之二的可能性会比预期值低10基点以内。鉴于投资者基本保持防御型的仓位部署,任何显示美联储抗通胀行动取得进展的迹象都会刺激市场削减看跌头寸,标普500指数当天有望上涨1.5%-2%。Tyler周二在给客户的报告中写道,“通胀降温应该有助于熊市反弹,但只要美联储仍处于积极的紧缩周期,我们就会保持谨慎,我们的情境分析偏向看涨股市,因为现有的仓位部署可能导致市场对空头回补反应过度”。如果通胀跌破6.4%(该团队认为概率为20%),基准股指将上涨3%至3.5%。对于美债市场而已,除非实际数据明显低于预期,比如降至6%或以下,否则债市应该反应平静。只有在CPI升幅跌破4.5%-5%的情况下,投资者才会重新评估有关3月份会议上暂停升息的预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":628407631,"gmtCreate":1673398252125,"gmtModify":1676538830100,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/628407631","repostId":"1122928788","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621799053,"gmtCreate":1672618743774,"gmtModify":1676538711041,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621799053","repostId":"2300110067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2300110067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672603620,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2300110067?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-02 04:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other industries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2300110067","media":"环球市场播报","summary":" 能源行业不仅是标普500指数2022年表现最好的行业,今年迄今涨幅达58%;这也是该基准公司唯一一个在同一时间没有亏损的部门。 道琼斯市场数据显示,标准普尔500能源指数正处于有记录以来最好的一年,超过了47.74%的上一个高点。创纪录的涨幅也标志着标准普尔500指数今年首次仅一个行业上涨。 因此,“可以理解,石油和天然气公司是2022年表现突出的公司,但它们的成功是建立在其他行业的衰落之上的,”他继续说道。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other industries</b><b>2. The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of housing price fluctuations since World War II</b><b>3. The \"employment problems\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States have eased</b><b>4. 53% of U.S. consumers say they will \"tighten money\" more in 2023</b><b>5. U.S. companies pay record Dividend amid economic downturn</b><b>6. Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13860f7c9bbf62366a6b409bbdaded80\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other sectors</b></p><p>The energy sector is not only the S&P 500's best-performing sector in 2022, with a 58% year-to-date gain; It's also the only division of the benchmark company that hasn't lost money during the same time period.</p><p>The S&P 500 Energy Index is on its best year on record, surpassing its previous high of 47.74%, Dow Jones market data shows. The record gains also mark the first time this year that the S&P 500 has gained in just one sector.</p><p>Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York, said in an interview that surging energy prices have helped fuel inflation and the cost of living to some extent as the economy recovers from the pandemic much faster than oil producers expected.</p><p>So, \"Oil and gas companies were understandably the standout performers in 2022, but their success was built on the decline of other industries,\" he continued. \"Energy companies' performance at S&P is intrinsically linked to oil and gas prices, and while they enjoyed a record year, most others had a very different experience.\"</p><p>Overall, the S&P 500 fell about 20% year-over-year and recorded its worst close since 2008, while benchmark sectors such as industrials, medical, financials and materials were all below the red line during the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of house price volatility since World War II</b></p><p>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of house price volatility since World War II.</p><p>Roschelle, a real estate expert in the United States, attributed this sharp adjustment to Americans' uncertainty about the market and their \"uneasiness\" about the economy. He also said that if the unemployment rate begins to rise in the United States, it may lead to a \"halving\" of the real estate market.</p><p>Roschelle explained: \"There are two things that cause house prices to go in opposite directions, which means house prices are rising. One thing is for sure. When you don't know if interest rates are going to go up. I think that's exactly what drives a lot of people to give up buying because they don't know if interest rates will be cheaper in two months, they just wait.\"</p><p>\"The other thing is the unease about the economy. I think that's going to happen if we start to see layoffs and the unemployment rate starts to rise. I think that could lead to a big decline in the housing market.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbef45b9bd5beb3acce42a26c537456d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has eased</b></p><p>U.S. small and medium-sized business owners say it's getting easier to hire workers and retain them, and they hope this is a sign that their worst labor problems are behind them.</p><p>The U.S. job market has been tight. In December, however, for the first time since July, more small business owners said in a survey they found it easier to find workers.</p><p>Some entrepreneurs say measures such as higher wages, increasing apprenticeship programs and rewriting job advertisements are starting to pay off. Others say the number of applicants has increased as competitors stop hiring or start laying off staff.</p><p>UnaliWear Inc., a company that makes medical watches, struggled to retain new employees this summer. \"They're going to put us in trouble,\" said Jean-Anne Booth, the 17-employee CEO. \"They'll take the job and never show up again a week later.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80478a79b8e393ada3de3b16c6addb3a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more \"tighter\"</b></p><p>Many Americans planning to set goals for the new year intend to set more prudent financial goals, according to a recent survey.</p><p>The survey, released Wednesday, found that 50% of consumers said they intend to make plans for the coming year, and of those planning to do so, 53% said their focus would be on finances, up 6% year over year.</p><p>For those who set financial goals, overall, saving more money is the most frequently cited 57%. It was followed by 48 per cent who said they wanted to track their spending harder and 43 per cent who wanted to control their spending in general, the survey found. Other popular financial goals include: Reducing non-essential spending: 42%, and repaying loans: 40%.</p><p>The survey found that inflation prompted more than half of respondents to set currency-centric targets. The possibility of a recession has also prompted consumers to prioritize finances, with 48% expressing concern.</p><p>While inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, fell in November, inflation is still hovering at painfully high levels. In November, the index rose 0.1% from the previous month and 7.1% year-over-year.</p><p>Americans are also worried that the Federal Reserve's rate hike could trigger a recession. In 2022, the central bank conducted four consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points and the most recent rate hike of 50 basis points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c96b95b55bdf988f06010e0042ba2e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>US companies pay record Dividend amid economic downturn</b></p><p>S&P500 companies have spent record spending on Dividend this year, and despite the economic slowdown, the trend is expected to continue in 2023 as more companies that paused or cut their Dividend early in the pandemic resume paying dividends.</p><p>S&P 500 companies distributed an estimated $561 billion in Dividend in 2022, up from $511.2 billion in 2021 and the highest amount on record, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, a unit of S&P Global Inc.</p><p>Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said Dividend spending is poised to hit another high in 2023 as investors demand that companies continue to improve returns. \"There is still a lot of cash on the company's balance sheet,\" Silverblatt said. \"You have to pull back significantly to get to record levels (in 2023).\"</p><p>While businesses say they're less optimistic about the outlook for the U.S. economy as interest rates continue to rise and inflation is still rising, cutting or removing Dividend is often a last resort because doing so worries investors. Many companies say they are confident they have enough cash flow to cover wages, capital investments and other expenses, and they can reward shareholders by paying dividends, at least in the near future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cbbe22aca21bf37de8f8424602ede0d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Bahamas Securities Commission Seizes $3.5 Billion in FTX Assets</b></p><p>The Securities Commission of Bahamas seized all digital assets controlled by FTX's Bahamian subsidiary FTX digital Markets Ltd, amounting to more than $3.5 billion, following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange, the agency said on Thursday.</p><p>The funds were transferred to digital wallets under its exclusive control on Nov. 12, the day after FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, after assets under FTXDM's control \"had a significant risk of imminent dissipation,\" according to information provided by founder Sam Bankman Fried about a cyberattack on the system, the regulator said in a press release.</p><p>The SCB said the funds were held \"provisionally\" while awaiting directions from the Bahamas Supreme Court on whether the assets should be \"delivered to the customers and creditors who own them\" or to the Joint Provisional Liquidators (JPL) appointed by the court to rescind the FTXDM.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other industries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other industries\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-01-02 04:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other industries</b><b>2. The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of housing price fluctuations since World War II</b><b>3. The \"employment problems\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States have eased</b><b>4. 53% of U.S. consumers say they will \"tighten money\" more in 2023</b><b>5. U.S. companies pay record Dividend amid economic downturn</b><b>6. Bahamas Securities Commission seizes $3.5 billion in FTX assets</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13860f7c9bbf62366a6b409bbdaded80\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>S&P Energy's record performance builds on the decline of other sectors</b></p><p>The energy sector is not only the S&P 500's best-performing sector in 2022, with a 58% year-to-date gain; It's also the only division of the benchmark company that hasn't lost money during the same time period.</p><p>The S&P 500 Energy Index is on its best year on record, surpassing its previous high of 47.74%, Dow Jones market data shows. The record gains also mark the first time this year that the S&P 500 has gained in just one sector.</p><p>Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York, said in an interview that surging energy prices have helped fuel inflation and the cost of living to some extent as the economy recovers from the pandemic much faster than oil producers expected.</p><p>So, \"Oil and gas companies were understandably the standout performers in 2022, but their success was built on the decline of other industries,\" he continued. \"Energy companies' performance at S&P is intrinsically linked to oil and gas prices, and while they enjoyed a record year, most others had a very different experience.\"</p><p>Overall, the S&P 500 fell about 20% year-over-year and recorded its worst close since 2008, while benchmark sectors such as industrials, medical, financials and materials were all below the red line during the same period.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of house price volatility since World War II</b></p><p>The U.S. housing market is experiencing the second largest period of house price volatility since World War II.</p><p>Roschelle, a real estate expert in the United States, attributed this sharp adjustment to Americans' uncertainty about the market and their \"uneasiness\" about the economy. He also said that if the unemployment rate begins to rise in the United States, it may lead to a \"halving\" of the real estate market.</p><p>Roschelle explained: \"There are two things that cause house prices to go in opposite directions, which means house prices are rising. One thing is for sure. When you don't know if interest rates are going to go up. I think that's exactly what drives a lot of people to give up buying because they don't know if interest rates will be cheaper in two months, they just wait.\"</p><p>\"The other thing is the unease about the economy. I think that's going to happen if we start to see layoffs and the unemployment rate starts to rise. I think that could lead to a big decline in the housing market.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbef45b9bd5beb3acce42a26c537456d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The \"employment problem\" faced by small and medium-sized enterprises in the United States has eased</b></p><p>U.S. small and medium-sized business owners say it's getting easier to hire workers and retain them, and they hope this is a sign that their worst labor problems are behind them.</p><p>The U.S. job market has been tight. In December, however, for the first time since July, more small business owners said in a survey they found it easier to find workers.</p><p>Some entrepreneurs say measures such as higher wages, increasing apprenticeship programs and rewriting job advertisements are starting to pay off. Others say the number of applicants has increased as competitors stop hiring or start laying off staff.</p><p>UnaliWear Inc., a company that makes medical watches, struggled to retain new employees this summer. \"They're going to put us in trouble,\" said Jean-Anne Booth, the 17-employee CEO. \"They'll take the job and never show up again a week later.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80478a79b8e393ada3de3b16c6addb3a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>53% of U.S. consumers say 2023 will be more \"tighter\"</b></p><p>Many Americans planning to set goals for the new year intend to set more prudent financial goals, according to a recent survey.</p><p>The survey, released Wednesday, found that 50% of consumers said they intend to make plans for the coming year, and of those planning to do so, 53% said their focus would be on finances, up 6% year over year.</p><p>For those who set financial goals, overall, saving more money is the most frequently cited 57%. It was followed by 48 per cent who said they wanted to track their spending harder and 43 per cent who wanted to control their spending in general, the survey found. Other popular financial goals include: Reducing non-essential spending: 42%, and repaying loans: 40%.</p><p>The survey found that inflation prompted more than half of respondents to set currency-centric targets. The possibility of a recession has also prompted consumers to prioritize finances, with 48% expressing concern.</p><p>While inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, fell in November, inflation is still hovering at painfully high levels. In November, the index rose 0.1% from the previous month and 7.1% year-over-year.</p><p>Americans are also worried that the Federal Reserve's rate hike could trigger a recession. In 2022, the central bank conducted four consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points and the most recent rate hike of 50 basis points.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26c96b95b55bdf988f06010e0042ba2e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>US companies pay record Dividend amid economic downturn</b></p><p>S&P500 companies have spent record spending on Dividend this year, and despite the economic slowdown, the trend is expected to continue in 2023 as more companies that paused or cut their Dividend early in the pandemic resume paying dividends.</p><p>S&P 500 companies distributed an estimated $561 billion in Dividend in 2022, up from $511.2 billion in 2021 and the highest amount on record, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, a unit of S&P Global Inc.</p><p>Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said Dividend spending is poised to hit another high in 2023 as investors demand that companies continue to improve returns. \"There is still a lot of cash on the company's balance sheet,\" Silverblatt said. \"You have to pull back significantly to get to record levels (in 2023).\"</p><p>While businesses say they're less optimistic about the outlook for the U.S. economy as interest rates continue to rise and inflation is still rising, cutting or removing Dividend is often a last resort because doing so worries investors. Many companies say they are confident they have enough cash flow to cover wages, capital investments and other expenses, and they can reward shareholders by paying dividends, at least in the near future.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cbbe22aca21bf37de8f8424602ede0d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Bahamas Securities Commission Seizes $3.5 Billion in FTX Assets</b></p><p>The Securities Commission of Bahamas seized all digital assets controlled by FTX's Bahamian subsidiary FTX digital Markets Ltd, amounting to more than $3.5 billion, following the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange, the agency said on Thursday.</p><p>The funds were transferred to digital wallets under its exclusive control on Nov. 12, the day after FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, after assets under FTXDM's control \"had a significant risk of imminent dissipation,\" according to information provided by founder Sam Bankman Fried about a cyberattack on the system, the regulator said in a press release.</p><p>The SCB said the funds were held \"provisionally\" while awaiting directions from the Bahamas Supreme Court on whether the assets should be \"delivered to the customers and creditors who own them\" or to the Joint Provisional Liquidators (JPL) appointed by the court to rescind the FTXDM.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-02/doc-imxytshr2257354.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f54a58a6d8ea386a2aa71ee793aa6743","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/world/2023-01-02/doc-imxytshr2257354.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2300110067","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:1、标普能源行业创纪录的业绩建立在其他行业的衰落之上2、美国房市正经历二战后第二大房价波动期3、美国中小企业面临的“用工难题”有所缓解4、53%的美国消费者表示2023年将更加“紧缩银根”5、经济低迷背景下美国公司支付了创纪录的股息6、巴哈马证券委员会扣押35亿美元的FTX资产标普能源行业创纪录的业绩建立在其他行业的衰落之上能源行业不仅是标普500指数2022年表现最好的行业,今年迄今涨幅达58%;这也是该基准公司唯一一个在同一时间没有亏损的部门。道琼斯市场数据显示,标准普尔500能源指数正处于有记录以来最好的一年,超过了47.74%的上一个高点。创纪录的涨幅也标志着标准普尔500指数今年首次仅一个行业上涨。OANDA驻纽约的高级市场分析师克雷格·厄拉姆(Craig Erlam)在接受采访时表示,随着经济从大流行中复苏的速度远快于石油生产商的预期,能源价格飙升在一定程度上助长了通货膨胀和生活成本。因此,“可以理解,石油和天然气公司是2022年表现突出的公司,但它们的成功是建立在其他行业的衰落之上的,”他继续说道。“能源公司在标准普尔的表现与石油和天然气价格有着内在的联系,尽管他们享受了创纪录的一年,但其他大多数公司的经历却截然不同。”总体而言,标准普尔500指数同比下跌约20%,并创下2008年以来的最差收市,而同期工业、医疗、金融和材料等基准行业均低于红线。美国房市正经历二战后第二大房价波动期美国住房市场正在经历二战后第二大房价波动期。美房产专家Roschelle将这一大幅调整归因于美国人对市场的不确定性以及他们对经济的“不安”。并表示,如果美国开始出现失业率上升,这可能会导致房地产市场“腰斩”。Roschelle解释道:“有两件事会导致房价向相反的方向发展,这意味着房价正在上涨。一件事是肯定的。当你不知道利率是否会上涨时。我认为这正是促使很多人放弃购买的原因,因为他们不知道两个月后利率是否会更便宜,他们只会等待。”“另一件事是对经济的不安。我认为,如果我们开始看到裁员,失业率开始上升,就会出现这种情况。我认为这可能会导致房地产市场大幅下滑。”美国中小企业面临的“用工难题”有所缓解美国中小企业主表示,雇佣工人并留住他们变得越来越容易,他们希望这是一个迹象,表明他们最严重的劳动问题已经过去。美国就业市场一直处于紧张状态。然而,12月是自7月以来的第一次,更多的小企业主在一项调查中表示,他们发现找工人更容易了。一些企业家表示,提高工资、增加学徒计划和改写招聘广告等措施开始见效。另一些人则表示,随着竞争对手停止招聘或开始裁员,申请者人数有所增加。UnaliWear股份有限公司(UnaliWearInc.)是一家生产医用手表的公司,今年夏天,该公司努力留住新员工。拥有17名员工的首席执行官让·安妮·布斯(Jean-Anne Booth)表示:“他们会让我们陷入困境。”。“他们会接受这份工作,一周后再也不会出现。”53%的美国消费者表示2023年将更加“紧缩银根”最近的一项调查显示,许多计划为新的一年设定目标的美国人打算制定更为谨慎的财务目标。周三发布的这项调查发现,50%的消费者表示他们打算为来年制定计划,在计划这样做的人中,53%的人表示他们的重点将放在财务上,同比增长6%。对于那些设定财务目标的人来说,总的来说,储蓄更多的钱是最常被引用的57%。调查发现,紧随其后的是48%的人表示他们希望更加努力地跟踪自己的支出,43%的人希望总体上控制自己的支出。其他受欢迎的财务目标包括:减少非必需品支出:42%,偿还贷款:40%。调查发现,通货膨胀促使超过一半的受访者设定了以货币为中心的目标。经济陷入衰退的可能性也促使消费者优先考虑财务问题,48%的人表示担忧。尽管11月消费者价格指数(Consumer Price Index)衡量的通胀有所下降,但通胀仍徘徊在令人痛苦的高位。11月,该指数较上月上涨0.1%,同比上涨7.1%。美国人还担心美联储加息可能引发经济衰退。2022年,央行连续四次加息75个基点,最近一次加息50个基点。经济低迷背景下美国公司支付了创纪录的股息标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)公司今年在股息上的支出创纪录,尽管经济放缓,但预计这一趋势将在2023年继续,因为更多在疫情早期暂停或削减股息的公司将恢复派息。根据标准普尔全球股份有限公司旗下的标准普尔道琼斯指数(S&P Dow Jones Indices)的数据,标准普尔500指数成份股公司2022年分配的股息估计为5610亿美元,高于2021的5112亿美元,是有记录以来的最高金额。标普道琼斯指数(S&P Dow Jones Indices)高级指数分析师霍华德·西尔弗布拉特(Howard Silverblatt)表示,随着投资者要求公司继续提高回报率,2023年股息支出有望再创新高。西尔弗布拉特表示:“公司资产负债表上仍有大量现金。”。“你必须大幅回调,才能(在2023年)达到创纪录的水平。”尽管企业表示,随着利率不断上升,通货膨胀仍在上升,他们对美国经济前景不太乐观,但削减或取消股息通常是最后的手段,因为这样做会让投资者感到担忧。许多公司表示,他们有信心有足够的现金流来支付工资、资本投资和其他支出,至少在不久的将来,他们可以通过派息来回报股东。巴哈马证券委员会扣押35亿美元的FTX资产巴哈马证券委员会(Securities Commission of Bahamas)周四表示,该机构在加密货币交易所(cryptocurrency exchange)倒闭后,查封了FTX旗下巴哈马子公司FTX digital Markets有限公司控制的所有数字资产,金额超过35亿美元。监管机构在一份新闻稿中表示,11月12日,即FTX申请第11章破产的第二天,这些资金被转移到其独家控制的数字钱包中,此前,根据创始人萨姆·班克曼·弗里德(Sam Bankman Fried)提供的有关系统网络攻击的信息,FTXDM控制下的资产“存在即将消散的重大风险”。SCB表示,这些资金是“临时”持有的,同时等待巴哈马最高法院的指示,决定是否应将这些资产“交付给拥有这些资产的客户和债权人”,或交付给法院指定的负责撤销FTXDM的联合临时清算人(JPL)。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621274608,"gmtCreate":1672365476106,"gmtModify":1676538679382,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621274608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621278482,"gmtCreate":1672363941847,"gmtModify":1676538678962,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621278482","repostId":"1144664449","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":621886063,"gmtCreate":1672185650853,"gmtModify":1676538648797,"author":{"id":"4125376693652892","authorId":"4125376693652892","name":"45979188","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4125376693652892","authorIdStr":"4125376693652892"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/621886063","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}