For: Stocks to watch today? (15 Dec) Title: Today's Watchlist: Navigating the Post-Selloff Landscape After Friday's tech-led rout, today's focus is on identifying resilience and potential rotation plays. Key Stocks/Themes to Watch: 1. Broadcom (AVGO) & Semiconductor ETF (SOXX): The epicenter of Friday's panic. Watch for any bounce or stabilization. A failure to recoup losses would signal deeper sector anxiety. 2. Defense/AI Hybrids (PLTR, RTX): With Palantir's new Navy contract, this group showed after-hours strength. They offer a hedge—government spending is non-cyclical, and AI is embedded. Watch for follow-through. 3. Energy Sector (XOM, CVX): A classic rotation play. If tech weakness persists, capital flows into defensive, high-yield, and inflationary hedges. OPEC+ discipline provi
$Micron Technology(MU)$ Memory Stocks Surge: Can Micron Hit New Highs After Earnings? Title: Micron Earnings: The "Beat and Raise" is Priced In. The Question is Guidance. Micron is up 190% YTD. The entire street knows Q3 will beat. The only thing that matters on Dec 17 is Fiscal Q4 and 2026 guidance. Can it hit new highs? It will come down to one word: sustainability. · Bull Case (New Highs): Micron guides for continued strong pricing power and demand into 2026, citing AI server buildouts (HBM) and a recovering PC/phone market. They signal that the memory cycle has "flattened the curve," moving away from violent boom-bust cycles. This could spark another leg up. · Bear Case (Sell-the-News): The beat is modest, and guidance is merely "in-
$Oracle(ORCL)$ Oracle Deepens AI Anxiety: Will It Accelerate the Sell-Off? Title: Oracle's Earnings: The Ugly Truth About AI Capex Oracle's post-earnings plunge is a masterclass in the AI investment dilemma. The market's reaction is rational and points to broader sector risk. Why it's so concerning: 1. The Cash Burn: -$10 billion in FCF is staggering. It shows the immense capital intensity required to compete with the cloud hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP). 2. Capex Without Near-Term ROI: Raising capex guidance by $15 billion signals the spending war is escalating, but Oracle's cloud revenue miss suggests they are not winning market share proportionally. Investors are asking: "Where's the payoff?" 3. Competitive Disadvantage: Unlike Micr
For: Gold Target $5000? New Highs Coming? Title: Gold $5,000? The Macro Setup Says It's Plausible, But Silver is the High-Beta Play. The institutional $5,000 gold target for 2026 isn't fantasy—it's a direct function of the debasement trade and central bank policy divergence. Why $5,000 is in the realm of possibility: 1. Monetary Fatigue: Global central banks, led by the Fed, are pivoting to rate cuts despite elevated inflation. This is a recipe for negative real yields—rocket fuel for gold. 2. Geopolitical & Election Hedging: Persistent global conflicts and a major U.S. election year in 2026 will drive safe-haven demand. 3. Central Bank Buying: The relentless, non-profit-driven accumulation by BRICS+ nations creates a permanent bid under the market. Gold vs. Silver: I'm more bullish on
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ For: Year-End Options Recap: Share Your Most Memorable Trade of 2025! Title: My 2025 Lesson: Trading Volatility, Not Just Direction 2025 was the year I learned that in a market driven by macro swings and AI euphoria, managing volatility is more critical than predicting direction. The Memorable Trade: NVDA "Iron Condor" during April's Tariff Panic. · Setup: With NVDA at all-time highs and geopolitical headlines sparking fear, I sold an out-of-the-money call spread and put spread ahead of earnings (the "Iron Condor"). · Thesis: I didn't know if NVDA would go up or down, but I believed the extreme implied volatility was overstated. The market was pricing in a massive move (>±10%), but I expected a binary "relief rally"
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ For: Palantir Scores US Navy AI Deal: Has Rebound Trend Been Confirmed? Title: Palantir's Navy Win: More Than a Contract—It's a Strategic Moonshot Palantir's 5%+ after-hours jump on the U.S. Navy submarine contract is about validation, not just revenue. This deal, focused on accelerating complex manufacturing with AI, is a direct shot into the heart of the U.S. "Arsenal of Democracy" rebuild. Why it's a big deal: 1. Mission-Critical Depth: It moves Palantir beyond data dashboards into the core of the Pentagon's most sensitive and capital-intensive procurement programs. 2. Expanding TAM: It showcases AIP's applicability in industrial supply chain and manufacturing—a massive market beyond government. 3.
For: BTC Drops to $90K: Dip Before the Moon or Trend Shift? Title: Bitcoin at $90K: A Healthy Pullback in a Macro Uptrend Bitcoin's pullback post-Powell is a classic liquidity-driven move. With a "neutral, non-committal" Fed, the short-term catalyst of immediate rate cuts was removed, prompting profit-taking. Dip or Shift? This looks like a healthy dip within a bull market, not a trend reversal. Key reasons: 1. On-Chain Health: Long-term holder supply remains high (conviction is strong), and exchange reserves are low (not mass selling for distribution). 2. Macro Setup Unchanged: The broader trend toward monetary easing, fiscal deficits, and institutional adoption via ETFs has not reversed. 3. Technical Support: The $85K-$90K zone represents a key prior resistance-turned-support area and th
$POP MART(09992)$ For: Pop Mart Flash Crash: Shorts Go Crazy! See HK$180? Title: Pop Mart: When the "Collectible" Narrative Loses Its Magic Pop Mart's ~40% crash from August highs is more than a Morgan Stanley downgrade—it's a fundamental challenge to its growth story. The core issue is whether IP-driven collectibles have a durable, expanding addressable market, or if it's a saturated fashion trend. Morgan Stanley's Downgrade (30% → 18% growth) is significant because it questions: · Repeat Purchase Rate: Can adult collectors maintain spending through economic cycles? · IP Longevity: Are characters like Molly having lasting power, or are they fading? · International Expansion: Can it truly replicate its China success abroad against dif
For: Tech Meltdown Friday: Bounce Next Week or More Pain Ahead? Title: Broadcom's AI Margin Warning: A Canary in the Coal Mine? Friday's sell-off, triggered by Broadcom's lower-than-expected AI margins, is a critical reality check for the market. It signals that even the biggest beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure boom are not immune to execution risk and investor impatience. Will there be a bounce? A technical, oversold bounce next week is likely. However, for a sustained recovery, the market needs: 1. Clarity on AI Profitability: More companies must demonstrate that AI investments are translating into bottom-line growth, not just top-line hype. 2. Broader Leadership: The rally cannot be carried by 2-3 stocks alone. We need other sectors to participate. Outlook: This feels like a healt
For: Robotaxi Moment: Will 2026 Be Tesla’s True Breakout Year? Title: 2026: The Year the Robotaxi War Truly Begins Morgan Stanley's "singularity moment" forecast for 2026 isn't just about technology—it's about economics and scalability. The projected dual-oligopoly of Waymo (safety-first, geofenced) and Tesla (cost-first, scalable) perfectly frames the coming battle. Has the story been priced into Tesla? Partially. The stock has long traded on autonomous potential. However, a successful commercial launch in 2026 would shift the narrative from "potential" to "revenue," justifying a significant re-rating. The market currently values Tesla as a volatile auto/energy company; consistent robotaxi income could solidify it as a high-margin tech platform. Who wins? Tesla vs. Waymo. This isn't a zer