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Jon Yeo

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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-12
  Thkq
  Good News Is Bear News for Nvidia Stock
  Nvidia(NVDA) stock continues to plunge.Investors fear a fall in demand from gaming and crypto.Patien
  Good News Is Bear News for Nvidia Stock
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-12
  Thkq
  U.S. Stocks Remained Low in Morning Trading, S&P 500 Fell Nearly 1% While Nasdaq Crashed Over 1.5%
  U.S. stocks remained low in morning trading. Dow Jones slid 0.32%, S&P 500 fell 0.91% while Nasdaq c
  U.S. Stocks Remained Low in Morning Trading, S&P 500 Fell Nearly 1% While Nasdaq Crashed Over 1.5%
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-12
  Thkq
  SPY: Bottom Is On The Radar Screen (Technical Analysis)
  Here come July earnings reports and the market (NYSEARCA:SPY) is enjoying a little technical bounce,
  SPY: Bottom Is On The Radar Screen (Technical Analysis)
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-12
  Thkq
  3 Stocks to Avoid This Week
  These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.
  3 Stocks to Avoid This Week
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-12
  Thkq
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-07
  Thkq
  Buy VXX Call Options To Protect Against A Volatility Spike
  Market volatility has dropped slightly in recent weeks as measured by the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Inde
  Buy VXX Call Options To Protect Against A Volatility Spike
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-06
  Thkq
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-06
  Thkq
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-06
  Thkq
  Oil Breaks Below $100 As Recession Fears Mount
  Oil prices tumbled Tuesday with the U.S. benchmark falling below $100 as recession fears grow, spark
  Oil Breaks Below $100 As Recession Fears Mount
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- Jon YeoJon Yeo
  ·2022-07-06
  Thkq
  Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure
  (Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may ha
  Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure
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Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071540060","repostId":"1193691775","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193691775","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657639889,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193691775?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-12 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Good News Is Bear News for Nvidia Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193691775","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nvidia(NVDA) stock continues to plunge.Investors fear a fall in demand from gaming and crypto.Patien","content":"<div>\n<p>Nvidia(NVDA) stock continues to plunge.Investors fear a fall in demand from gaming and crypto.Patient accumulation will be rewarded.In a bear market, good news can always be spun as bad news.Nvidia(...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/nvda-stock-good-news-is-bear-news-for-nvidia/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Good News Is Bear News for Nvidia Stock</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGood News Is Bear News for Nvidia Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-12 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/07/nvda-stock-good-news-is-bear-news-for-nvidia/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia(NVDA) stock continues to plunge.Investors fear a fall in demand from gaming and crypto.Patient accumulation will be rewarded.In a bear market, good news can always be spun as bad news.Nvidia(...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/nvda-stock-good-news-is-bear-news-for-nvidia/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/07/nvda-stock-good-news-is-bear-news-for-nvidia/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193691775","content_text":"Nvidia(NVDA) stock continues to plunge.Investors fear a fall in demand from gaming and crypto.Patient accumulation will be rewarded.In a bear market, good news can always be spun as bad news.Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA) investors were reminded of this on July 5.The good news is that the chip shortage may be easing. Prices for used gaming cards have plunged. Young gamers who wanted a graphics card for years can now get one, at list prices and lower.But this good news is also bad news. The new supply, from broken crypto miners, is coming as production falls.  There are reports Nvidia is cutting back orders from its manufacturing partner, Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM).The result is that NVDA stock, which was at $286/share in April, traded recently below $144/share.Short Term WeaknessDuring the bull market, Nvidia was a ferociously expensive stock. Now it’s just pricey.At its July 5 price, the company’s market cap of $362 billion is still almost 39 times last year’s earnings, and over 13 times last year’s sales of $27 billion.The good news is that underestimates the company’s power. First-quarter revenue came in at$8.3 billion, up 46%from a year earlier. Non-GAAP earnings were also up 49% from a year ago. But costs from the cancelled acquisition of ARM Holdings meant GAAP earnings were down 16%.The problem is that investors buy tomorrow, not yesterday. If prices for gaming chips continue to fall, Nvidia’s list prices will as well. That will cut earnings because a lot of the company’s revenue still comes from gamers.Nvidia is due to report its current quarter on Aug. 24, for the three months ending in July. Analysts currently expect $1.03/share of earnings and$8.11 billion of revenue. Field reports of slowing demand, however, indicate it could fall short. The most recent chip stock to report, Micron Technologies(NASDAQ:MU), gave weak guidance. They’re expecting a storm. Nvidia’s ship is being tossed, too.Long Term StrengthAnalysts continue pounding the table for NVDA stock, even as they cut their price targets.The reason is that lower prices open huge new opportunities. Car makers can now bring those autonomous driving features to the market. Nvidia’s artificial intelligence software can now be offered as a service, with Hewlett Packard Enterprise(NYSE:HPE) bringing it to the network edge. Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL) cloud gaming service, Stadia, may now be able to fulfill its promise with an Nvidia upgrade.Even while edge applications for Nvidia chips slow, like gaming and crypto, the cloud continues to grow. Data centers were the biggest buyers of Nvidia chips in the first quarter. Capital spending from the cloud czars, especially Google, Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), remains strong. Lower prices may just mean they’ll buy more Nvidia graphics chips for new applications. Eventually, cloud services at the network center will spur demand for support from the network edge, as prices for things like Meta Network(NASDAQ:FB) headsets come down. Meta, by the way, has been a big buyer of Nvidia chips for its “metaverse” activities.The Bottom Line for NVDA StockBear markets end.When they do, tech stocks will be the first to rise again. Companies like Nvidia make new money-saving ideas practical. They create new markets and growth. This has driven the economy forward for a half-century. It’s not changing.But bear markets also require patience. It’s easy to say, “buy the dip.” The problem right now is many investors have no cash with which to do that. That means the best advice is to hold your nerve.Nvidia may not rise again for several months. It may even go lower. No one is paying 13 times revenue for anything right now. The next few months may be brutal.The snapback, however, when it comes, will be something to behold. You’ll want to behold it from inside the Nvidia tent rather than outside.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2971,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071557788,"gmtCreate":1657575910144,"gmtModify":1676536025614,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071557788","repostId":"1143223809","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143223809","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657552769,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143223809?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Remained Low in Morning Trading, S&P 500 Fell Nearly 1% While Nasdaq Crashed Over 1.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143223809","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks remained low in morning trading. Dow Jones slid 0.32%, S&P 500 fell 0.91% while Nasdaq c","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks remained low in morning trading. Dow Jones slid 0.32%, S&amp;P 500 fell 0.91% while Nasdaq crashed 1.68%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e59d85eec3118771349de8b2bace9e79\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Remained Low in Morning Trading, S&P 500 Fell Nearly 1% While Nasdaq Crashed Over 1.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Remained Low in Morning Trading, S&P 500 Fell Nearly 1% While Nasdaq Crashed Over 1.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-11 23:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks remained low in morning trading. Dow Jones slid 0.32%, S&amp;P 500 fell 0.91% while Nasdaq crashed 1.68%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e59d85eec3118771349de8b2bace9e79\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143223809","content_text":"U.S. stocks remained low in morning trading. Dow Jones slid 0.32%, S&P 500 fell 0.91% while Nasdaq crashed 1.68%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071557519,"gmtCreate":1657575884831,"gmtModify":1676536025607,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071557519","repostId":"2250678701","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250678701","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657553160,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2250678701?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Bottom Is On The Radar Screen (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250678701","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Here come July earnings reports and the market (NYSEARCA:SPY) is enjoying a little technical bounce,","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Here come July earnings reports and the market (NYSEARCA:SPY) is enjoying a little technical bounce, targeting $404 and anticipating that earnings will be as expected. The jobs report was good. Consumers are still spending and, other than an inflation pinch from rising prices, they don’t feel any recession yet.</p><h2><b>Bearish Earnings Forecasts</b></h2><p>Meanwhile, some companies are having layoffs and hiring freezes. July earnings will probably be as expected, but most of the forecasts will have recession caveats. Those July forecasts will include challenges like the higher dollar, supply disruptions, higher costs, lower revenues, reduced margins and rising interest rates. All of these are having a negative effect on future earnings. Some companies will decline giving any forecast in this disruptive environment. They are looking out long term at a coming recession where things are unpredictable.</p><h2><b>Is $364 The Bottom?</b></h2><p>Is all of this already priced into the SPY? Probably, but what is not yet priced into the SPY is how low are PEs going and how low are forecasted earnings going. That will determine where this bear market bottom is. On the chart, you can see our line is drawn at $341. There is no bottom in place yet, and we can see that on the monthly SPY chart shown below. We will draw a blue, vertical line after the bottom is in place. The signal will tell us.</p><h2><b>Where Is The Bull Market Signal?</b></h2><p>At the bottom of the chart is the trigger signal for a bull or bear market. The red vertical line is the bear market signal. We are waiting for the blue vertical line to appear marking the start of the next bull market, probably sometime in 2023.</p><p>On this trigger signal at the bottom of the chart, you can see that this bear market is worse than the last pandemic bear. The signal has broken below the dotted line and is in oversold, deep Supply territory. It can stay oversold for months. We will draw the blue vertical bullish signal when it turns up, with the black line breaking above the red line as it did at the last bottom. We don’t think $364 is the bottom of this bear market.</p><h2><b>When Does This Bear Market End?</b></h2><p>You can see this bear market has started its 7th month and still no bottoming formation. There is no reversal of the falling signals shown on this chart. There is no buy signal, yet, on this chart.</p><p>At the top of the chart is Chaikin Money Flow. I knew Marc Chaikin when he developed this signal. It needs to turn up as it did in the last bear market bottom.</p><p>Below money flow is another popular signal, the MACD. It is two signals actually. We need to see the black line breaking above the red line as we saw when the last bear market ended. The bar chart just below this crossover signal is a leading indicator to the crossover Buy signal we are waiting for, and you can see that this leading indicator for the next bull market is still bearish.</p><h2><b>Conclusion</b></h2><p>This bear market will end when the signals on our monthly chart turn up. They are still pointed down and that is why we don’t think $364 is the bottom. Even the leading indicator signal has not even started improving. The SPY is enjoying a little, technical bounce, reflecting the jobs report and July earnings as expected. That jobs report means that the Fed has to raise interest rates 75 basis points at the end of July. That, along with all the caveats on future earnings forecasts, tells us that this bear market is targeting a test of $341. We don’t think this bear bottoms until October. After July earnings, the SPY will start thinking about the coming recession again, and that doesn’t make for a bull market move. A drop in inflation, an increase in unemployment or an end to the war would potentially change the timeline.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0582dd4d2d8d3035d063d1b49ab0319c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"853\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>SPY Looking For A Bottom (StockCharts.com)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Bottom Is On The Radar Screen (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Bottom Is On The Radar Screen (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 23:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522572-spy-bottom-on-radar><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here come July earnings reports and the market (NYSEARCA:SPY) is enjoying a little technical bounce, targeting $404 and anticipating that earnings will be as expected. The jobs report was good. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522572-spy-bottom-on-radar\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4522572-spy-bottom-on-radar","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250678701","content_text":"Here come July earnings reports and the market (NYSEARCA:SPY) is enjoying a little technical bounce, targeting $404 and anticipating that earnings will be as expected. The jobs report was good. Consumers are still spending and, other than an inflation pinch from rising prices, they don’t feel any recession yet.Bearish Earnings ForecastsMeanwhile, some companies are having layoffs and hiring freezes. July earnings will probably be as expected, but most of the forecasts will have recession caveats. Those July forecasts will include challenges like the higher dollar, supply disruptions, higher costs, lower revenues, reduced margins and rising interest rates. All of these are having a negative effect on future earnings. Some companies will decline giving any forecast in this disruptive environment. They are looking out long term at a coming recession where things are unpredictable.Is $364 The Bottom?Is all of this already priced into the SPY? Probably, but what is not yet priced into the SPY is how low are PEs going and how low are forecasted earnings going. That will determine where this bear market bottom is. On the chart, you can see our line is drawn at $341. There is no bottom in place yet, and we can see that on the monthly SPY chart shown below. We will draw a blue, vertical line after the bottom is in place. The signal will tell us.Where Is The Bull Market Signal?At the bottom of the chart is the trigger signal for a bull or bear market. The red vertical line is the bear market signal. We are waiting for the blue vertical line to appear marking the start of the next bull market, probably sometime in 2023.On this trigger signal at the bottom of the chart, you can see that this bear market is worse than the last pandemic bear. The signal has broken below the dotted line and is in oversold, deep Supply territory. It can stay oversold for months. We will draw the blue vertical bullish signal when it turns up, with the black line breaking above the red line as it did at the last bottom. We don’t think $364 is the bottom of this bear market.When Does This Bear Market End?You can see this bear market has started its 7th month and still no bottoming formation. There is no reversal of the falling signals shown on this chart. There is no buy signal, yet, on this chart.At the top of the chart is Chaikin Money Flow. I knew Marc Chaikin when he developed this signal. It needs to turn up as it did in the last bear market bottom.Below money flow is another popular signal, the MACD. It is two signals actually. We need to see the black line breaking above the red line as we saw when the last bear market ended. The bar chart just below this crossover signal is a leading indicator to the crossover Buy signal we are waiting for, and you can see that this leading indicator for the next bull market is still bearish.ConclusionThis bear market will end when the signals on our monthly chart turn up. They are still pointed down and that is why we don’t think $364 is the bottom. Even the leading indicator signal has not even started improving. The SPY is enjoying a little, technical bounce, reflecting the jobs report and July earnings as expected. That jobs report means that the Fed has to raise interest rates 75 basis points at the end of July. That, along with all the caveats on future earnings forecasts, tells us that this bear market is targeting a test of $341. We don’t think this bear bottoms until October. After July earnings, the SPY will start thinking about the coming recession again, and that doesn’t make for a bull market move. A drop in inflation, an increase in unemployment or an end to the war would potentially change the timeline.SPY Looking For A Bottom (StockCharts.com)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.6,"SPY":0.73}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071557027,"gmtCreate":1657575857769,"gmtModify":1676536025606,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071557027","repostId":"2250493079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2250493079","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1657553267,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2250493079?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-11 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2250493079","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<div>\n<p>All but one of my \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week went according to plan, but it wasn't enough. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- Coinbase, H&R Block...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/11/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-11 23:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/11/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>All but one of my \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week went according to plan, but it wasn't enough. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- Coinbase, H&R Block...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/11/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAG":"康尼格拉","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/07/11/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2250493079","content_text":"All but one of my \"three stocks to avoid\" column last week went according to plan, but it wasn't enough. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market for the week -- Coinbase, H&R Block, and WD-40-- finished up 23%, up 1%, and down 13%, respectively, averaging out to a 3.7% increase.The S&P 500 experienced a 1.9% ascent, but the investments I figured would fare rose nearly twice as much. I was wrong. But I have still been correct in 25 of the past 38 weeks.Where do I go to next? I see Conagra, Coinbase, and ExxonMobil as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.ConagraThere's a good chance that there's some Conagra in your kitchen. Scour your fridge or pantry, and you may find some Slim Jim beef jerky, Pam non-stick spray, Hunt's ketchup, or Log Cabin maple syrup. There are dozens of Conagra brands that are literally and figuratively household names. I'm still con Conagra this week.The brand giant reports financial results on Thursday morning. It hasn't been very impressive lately. It has failed to exceed analyst profit targets in back-to-back quarters, and Wall Street expectations have been trending lower in recent months. Being a haven for premium brands isn't a lot of fun when the economy's wobbly and folks are trading down to lower-margin store brands. Wall Street sees revenue at Conagra climbing just 3% this year as well as 2023. It's hard to get excited about this week's financial update with that backdrop.CoinbaseThe one stock that burned me last week was Coinbase. It soared 23%, more than offsetting the other two selections that failed to beat the market. But I'm not sure the rally is sustainable. Crypto markets have bounced back, but confidence is rattled for digital currency traders. A couple of notable platforms have either frozen assets or filed for bankruptcy protection.Recovery won't be easy, and you can be sure that the once beefy yields that folks were earning on some of these platforms aren't coming back anytime soon. Coinbase is the top dog, and it will survive the current crisis. It has a strong balance sheet, and it didn't go deep into the risk spectrum to deliver staking rewards for its users.However, Coinbase was reeling even before lesser platforms were exposed. Retail trading volume plummeted 58% sequentially in this year's first quarter, and the second quarter that concluded last week probably isn't going to hold up much better. Crypto prices may be starting to stabilize now that stock prices are also showing some resiliency, but a lot of scorched investors are going to stay away for now.ExxonMobilStocks were rallying last week, but one of the hottest industries of 2022 took a breather. Oil and gas stocks declined as energy costs inched lower. Will the sector rotation continue in the week ahead?You don't want to bet against ExxonMobil over the long haul. The integrated oil major has more going for it than just the recent pain at the pump. However, sector rotation makes hot industries mortal during the shift. Did you realize that ExxonMobil's surge over the past year has dropped its once meteoric yield to just 4.1%? If stocks continue to rally it's a safe bet that ExxonMobil will be a laggard for now.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Conagra, Coinbase, and ExxonMobil this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"CAG":0.9,"XOM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071554680,"gmtCreate":1657575834740,"gmtModify":1676536025590,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071554680","repostId":"1164092479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079930858,"gmtCreate":1657144234674,"gmtModify":1676535955209,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079930858","repostId":"1125207440","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125207440","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657121422,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1125207440?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-06 23:30","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Buy VXX Call Options To Protect Against A Volatility Spike","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125207440","media":"barchart","summary":"Market volatility has dropped slightly in recent weeks as measured by the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Inde","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Market volatility has dropped slightly in recent weeks as measured by the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index. VIX is a real-time index that represents the market expectation for near-term volatility in the S&amp;P500 index.</p><p>Investors and traders have long used VIX as a measure of the level of risk, fear or stress in the market.</p><p>The iPath S&amp;P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) is a volatility exchange traded note (ETF) and behaves differently to a regular ETF. VXX typically sees large price increase when the S&amp;P500 tanks. However, most of the time it slowly but surely drops in price. Take a look at a long-term chart and you’ll see what I mean.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11fbb63999cf60b918a8ee0d8af0f8c2\" tg-width=\"940\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>As traders, we can also use VXX options to place trades that benefit from either rising or falling volatility.</p><p>Buying VXX Call Options To Protect Against A Volatility Spike</p><p>Some traders will buy VXX call options as a method of protecting against rising volatility. Let’s look at a couple of different examples.</p><p>A long call option trade gives the buyer of the option the right to purchase a certain stock at a certain price (strike price) up until a certain date (expiration date).</p><p>Suppose an investor is worried about a market drop and associated volatility spike between now and mid-August.</p><p>The investor could purchase a VXX August 19 call option with a strike price of 27. This call option contract was trading on Friday for around $1.10 meaning the investor would need to pay $110 to purchase the call option.</p><p>The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid, which in this case is $110. The maximum loss would occur if VXX closes below 27 on August 19. The breakeven price is 28.10 which is calculated by taking the strike price and adding the premium paid.</p><p>The maximum potential gain is unlimited.</p><p>Savvy traders can further reduce the risk by selling an out-of-the-money call, turning the trade into a bull call spread.</p><p>For example, selling the August 19, 32 call would reduce the trade cost by around $50 but would also limit the upside above 32.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Using VXX options can be simple and cheap way to buy some protection against a sharp selloff in stocks between now and August. The trade can be placed relatively cheaply at $110 for the long call or just $60 for the bull call spread.</p><p>While it is important to keep in mind that it may take a fairly large volatility spike to see VXX jump above 27, for a low cost, this particular option trade could help you sleep easier at night.</p><p>VXX and VXX options behave differently to regular ETF’s and options, so it is vital that any trader using this product fully understands the risks involved. As always, do your own research and due diligence before risking any of your hard-earned capital.</p><p>Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment. This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy VXX Call Options To Protect Against A Volatility Spike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy VXX Call Options To Protect Against A Volatility Spike\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-06 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barchart.com/story/news/9004027/protecting-against-an-august-volatility-spike><strong>barchart</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Market volatility has dropped slightly in recent weeks as measured by the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index. VIX is a real-time index that represents the market expectation for near-term volatility in the S...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/9004027/protecting-against-an-august-volatility-spike\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/9004027/protecting-against-an-august-volatility-spike","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125207440","content_text":"Market volatility has dropped slightly in recent weeks as measured by the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index. VIX is a real-time index that represents the market expectation for near-term volatility in the S&P500 index.Investors and traders have long used VIX as a measure of the level of risk, fear or stress in the market.The iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) is a volatility exchange traded note (ETF) and behaves differently to a regular ETF. VXX typically sees large price increase when the S&P500 tanks. However, most of the time it slowly but surely drops in price. Take a look at a long-term chart and you’ll see what I mean.As traders, we can also use VXX options to place trades that benefit from either rising or falling volatility.Buying VXX Call Options To Protect Against A Volatility SpikeSome traders will buy VXX call options as a method of protecting against rising volatility. Let’s look at a couple of different examples.A long call option trade gives the buyer of the option the right to purchase a certain stock at a certain price (strike price) up until a certain date (expiration date).Suppose an investor is worried about a market drop and associated volatility spike between now and mid-August.The investor could purchase a VXX August 19 call option with a strike price of 27. This call option contract was trading on Friday for around $1.10 meaning the investor would need to pay $110 to purchase the call option.The maximum loss is limited to the premium paid, which in this case is $110. The maximum loss would occur if VXX closes below 27 on August 19. The breakeven price is 28.10 which is calculated by taking the strike price and adding the premium paid.The maximum potential gain is unlimited.Savvy traders can further reduce the risk by selling an out-of-the-money call, turning the trade into a bull call spread.For example, selling the August 19, 32 call would reduce the trade cost by around $50 but would also limit the upside above 32.ConclusionUsing VXX options can be simple and cheap way to buy some protection against a sharp selloff in stocks between now and August. The trade can be placed relatively cheaply at $110 for the long call or just $60 for the bull call spread.While it is important to keep in mind that it may take a fairly large volatility spike to see VXX jump above 27, for a low cost, this particular option trade could help you sleep easier at night.VXX and VXX options behave differently to regular ETF’s and options, so it is vital that any trader using this product fully understands the risks involved. As always, do your own research and due diligence before risking any of your hard-earned capital.Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment. This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VIX":0.9,"VXX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2884,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070856499,"gmtCreate":1657057417711,"gmtModify":1676535938253,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070856499","repostId":"2249958936","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070856026,"gmtCreate":1657057326865,"gmtModify":1676535938237,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070856026","repostId":"1144093147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070858577,"gmtCreate":1657057302999,"gmtModify":1676535938222,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070858577","repostId":"1158107108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158107108","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657035166,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158107108?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-05 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Oil Breaks Below $100 As Recession Fears Mount","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158107108","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Oil prices tumbled Tuesday with the U.S. benchmark falling below $100 as recession fears grow, spark","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Oil prices tumbled Tuesday with the U.S. benchmark falling below $100 as recession fears grow, sparking fears that an economic slowdown will cut demand for petroleum products.</p><p>West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil benchmark, slid 8%, or $8.67, to trade at $99.76 per barrel. The contract last traded under $100 on May 11.</p><p>International benchmarkBrent crudeshed 7.7%, or $8.74, to trade at $104.76 per barrel Tuesday.</p><p>Both contracts posted losses in June, snapping six straight months of gains as recession fears cause Wall Street to reconsider the demand outlook.</p><p>Citi said Tuesday that Brent could fall to$65 by the end of this yearshould the economy tip into a recession.</p><p>“In a recession scenario with rising unemployment, household and corporate bankruptcies, commodities would chase a falling cost curve as costs deflate and margins turn negative to drive supply curtailments,” the firm wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Citi has been one of the few oil bears at a time when other firms, such as Goldman Sachs, have called for oil to hit $140 or more.</p><p>WTI spiked to a high of $130.50 per barrel in March, while Brent came within striking distance of $140. It was each contract’s highest level since 2008.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil Breaks Below $100 As Recession Fears Mount</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil Breaks Below $100 As Recession Fears Mount\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-05 23:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Oil prices tumbled Tuesday with the U.S. benchmark falling below $100 as recession fears grow, sparking fears that an economic slowdown will cut demand for petroleum products.</p><p>West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil benchmark, slid 8%, or $8.67, to trade at $99.76 per barrel. The contract last traded under $100 on May 11.</p><p>International benchmarkBrent crudeshed 7.7%, or $8.74, to trade at $104.76 per barrel Tuesday.</p><p>Both contracts posted losses in June, snapping six straight months of gains as recession fears cause Wall Street to reconsider the demand outlook.</p><p>Citi said Tuesday that Brent could fall to$65 by the end of this yearshould the economy tip into a recession.</p><p>“In a recession scenario with rising unemployment, household and corporate bankruptcies, commodities would chase a falling cost curve as costs deflate and margins turn negative to drive supply curtailments,” the firm wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>Citi has been one of the few oil bears at a time when other firms, such as Goldman Sachs, have called for oil to hit $140 or more.</p><p>WTI spiked to a high of $130.50 per barrel in March, while Brent came within striking distance of $140. It was each contract’s highest level since 2008.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158107108","content_text":"Oil prices tumbled Tuesday with the U.S. benchmark falling below $100 as recession fears grow, sparking fears that an economic slowdown will cut demand for petroleum products.West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil benchmark, slid 8%, or $8.67, to trade at $99.76 per barrel. The contract last traded under $100 on May 11.International benchmarkBrent crudeshed 7.7%, or $8.74, to trade at $104.76 per barrel Tuesday.Both contracts posted losses in June, snapping six straight months of gains as recession fears cause Wall Street to reconsider the demand outlook.Citi said Tuesday that Brent could fall to$65 by the end of this yearshould the economy tip into a recession.“In a recession scenario with rising unemployment, household and corporate bankruptcies, commodities would chase a falling cost curve as costs deflate and margins turn negative to drive supply curtailments,” the firm wrote in a note to clients.Citi has been one of the few oil bears at a time when other firms, such as Goldman Sachs, have called for oil to hit $140 or more.WTI spiked to a high of $130.50 per barrel in March, while Brent came within striking distance of $140. It was each contract’s highest level since 2008.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3067,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9070858194,"gmtCreate":1657057277618,"gmtModify":1676535938222,"author":{"id":"4111019747791622","authorId":"4111019747791622","name":"Jon Yeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f7a43dd53c460220abb83c11b54a7031","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4111019747791622","idStr":"4111019747791622"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thkq","listText":"Thkq","text":"Thkq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9070858194","repostId":"2249306814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2249306814","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1657035601,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249306814?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-05 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249306814","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may ha","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.</p><p>By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world&#39;s largest economy is in recession.</p><p>But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The &#34;two quarters&#34; definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.</p><p>At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.</p><p>The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.</p><h3>DOESN&#39;T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?</h3><p>Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.</p><p>Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.</p><p>The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a &#34;mini-recession,&#34; though GDP never declined.</p><h3>WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?</h3><p>In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.</p><p>The private non-profit research group defines  &#39;s%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a &#34;significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.&#34;</p><p>The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.</p><p>There are tradeoffs.</p><p>In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.</p><p>While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — &#34;needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,&#34; the group says.</p><h3>SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?</h3><p>Almost certainly not. While the &#34;two quarter rule&#34; has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.</p><p>The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.</p><p>Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?</h3><p>One criticism of the NBER&#39;s role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .</p><p>It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.</p><p>The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.</p><h3>WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?</h3><p>Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.</p><p>Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a &#34;good chance&#34; the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a &#34;self-fulfilling prophecy&#34; as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. &#34;The fear can lead to the actuality,&#34; he told Bloomberg.</p><h3>WHAT IS A &#39;SHALLOW RECESSION?&#39;</h3><p>Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.</p><p>Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.</p><h3>WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?</h3><p>Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a &#34;growth recession,&#34; in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.</p><h3>WHAT&#39;S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?</h3><p>When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.</p><p>Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.</p><p>Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn&#39;t actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?</h3><p>The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. in a Recession? GDP is Not the Only Measure\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-05 23:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.</p><p>By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world&#39;s largest economy is in recession.</p><p>But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The &#34;two quarters&#34; definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.</p><p>At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.</p><p>The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.</p><h3>DOESN&#39;T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?</h3><p>Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.</p><p>Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.</p><p>The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a &#34;mini-recession,&#34; though GDP never declined.</p><h3>WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?</h3><p>In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.</p><p>The private non-profit research group defines  &#39;s%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a &#34;significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.&#34;</p><p>The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.</p><p>There are tradeoffs.</p><p>In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.</p><p>While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — &#34;needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,&#34; the group says.</p><h3>SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?</h3><p>Almost certainly not. While the &#34;two quarter rule&#34; has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.</p><p>The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.</p><p>Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?</h3><p>One criticism of the NBER&#39;s role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .</p><p>It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.</p><p>The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.</p><h3>WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?</h3><p>Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.</p><p>Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a &#34;good chance&#34; the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a &#34;self-fulfilling prophecy&#34; as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. &#34;The fear can lead to the actuality,&#34; he told Bloomberg.</p><h3>WHAT IS A &#39;SHALLOW RECESSION?&#39;</h3><p>Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.</p><p>Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.</p><h3>WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?</h3><p>Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a &#34;growth recession,&#34; in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.</p><h3>WHAT&#39;S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?</h3><p>When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.</p><p>Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.</p><p>Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn&#39;t actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.</p><h3>WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?</h3><p>The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249306814","content_text":"(Reuters) - By some early estimates, the U.S. economy, as measured by gross domestic product, may have shrunk in the three months from April through June. Add that to the decline from January through March, and that would be a contraction for two quarters in a row.By an often-cited rule of thumb, that means the world's largest economy is in recession.But deciding when a recession has begun or predicting when one might occur is not straightforward. The \"two quarters\" definition is not how economists think about business cycles, because GDP is a broad measure that can be influenced by factors like government spending or international trade. Instead they focus on factors like jobs, industrial production, and incomes.At issue now is personal consumption data for May, released last week, which showed spending and disposable income dropped on an inflation-adjusted basis. That sparked a host of gloomy forecasts for June, and increasing speculation that a downturn is coming soon, if it is not here already.The weeks ahead are likely to include pitched debate about the real health of the economy. Whether the U.S. is headed for a recession or already in one is a growing concern for corporate chief executives and their employees, the Federal Reserve, and the administration of President Joe Biden.DOESN'T FALLLING GDP = RECESSION?Not always. In 2001 gross domestic product, after revisions, fell in the first three months of the year, but then rebounded in the next three months to a level higher than it ended the year before. GDP declined again in the fall.Even though there were not two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, the situation was dubbed a recession at the time, because employment and industrial production were falling.The pandemic recession only lasted two months, from March to April 2020, even though the steep drop in economic activity over those weeks meant GDP shrank overall in both the first and second quarters of the year. In 2016 there was a noticeable drop in industrial activity that some dubbed a \"mini-recession,\" though GDP never declined.WHO DECIDES, AND HOW?In the United States the official call is made by a panel of economists convened by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and sometimes comes a year or more after the fact.The private non-profit research group defines  's%20traditional%20definition,more%20than%20a%20few%20months recession as a \"significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.\"The panel concentrates on things like jobs and industrial output that are measured monthly, not quarterly like GDP. It examines the depth of any changes, how long declines seem to be lasting, and how broadly any trouble is spread.There are tradeoffs.In the pandemic, for example, the depth of the job loss, in excess of 20 million positions, offset the fact that growth resumed quickly, leading the group to officially call the situation a recession in early June, before the end of the second quarter.While each of three criteria - depth, diffusion, and even duration — \"needs to be met individually to some degree, extreme conditions revealed by one criterion may partially offset weaker indications from another,\" the group says.SO ARE WE IN A RECESSION NOW?Almost certainly not. While the \"two quarter rule\" has caveats and exceptions, there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment. Jobs are being added in the U.S. by hundreds of thousands monthly.The pace will likely slow, but there would need to be a sharp reversal for the current path of job growth to turn into one that looks like recession.Industrial production, another factor that figured prominently in declaring the 2001 recession, has also been rising steadily, at least through May.WHAT IS THE SAHM RULE?One criticism of the NBER's role as a recession arbiter is that its members take their time in order to avoid reacting to changes in jobs, production or other data that prove temporary. A closer to real-time recession indicator, called the Sahm rule after former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is based on the unemployment rate  .It states that when the 3-month rolling average of the unemployment rate rises a half a percentage point from its low over the prior 12 months, the economy has entered a recession.The Sahm rule shows no sign of a U.S. downturn. Instead, the unemployment rate has been below 4% and falling or stable since January.WHY DOES THE R-WORD MATTER?Discussion of a recession, and predictions that the U.S. economy is headed into one, can have an impact on what happens next. CEOs, investors and everyday consumers make decisions on where and how to spend money based on how they think sales, profits and employment conditions will evolve.Economist Robert Shiller predicted in June that there was a \"good chance\" the U.S. would experience a recession as a result of a \"self-fulfilling prophecy\" as consumers and companies prepare for the worst. \"The fear can lead to the actuality,\" he told Bloomberg.WHAT IS A 'SHALLOW RECESSION?'Recessions come in many shapes. They can be deep but brief, like the pandemic recession which sent the unemployment rate briefly to 14.7%. They can be deep and scarring, like the Great Recession or the Depression in the 1930s, taking years for the job market to regain lost ground.Economists and analysts have recently flagged the possibility that the next U.S. recession may be a mild one. Even the shortest and weakest recessions have trimmed payroll jobs by more than 1%, which would currently amount to more than a million and a half people.WHAT IS A GROWTH RECESSION?Another idea discussed by some economists and analysts is a \"growth recession,\" in which economic growth slows below the U.S. long-term growth trend of 1.5 to 2 percent annually, while unemployment increases but not by a lot. This is the scenario mapped out by some Fed policymakers as the best case outcome of recent interest rate increases.WHAT'S THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LINK?When the market rate for short-term borrowing exceeds that for a longer-term loan, it is known as an inverted yield curve, and seen as a harbinger of a recession.Historically at least some part of the yield curve has inverted before every recent recession, and alarm bells started ringing when that happened on June 13.Research from the Federal Reserve argues that the most widely followed yield-curve measure, the gap between yields on the two-year and the 10-year Treasury notes, doesn't actually predict much of anything; a better gauge is the gap between three-month and 18-month rates, which has not inverted.WHAT IS THE BEAR MARKET LINK TO RECESSION?The recent steep stock sell-off has also set off alarms. Nine of 12 bear markets, or drops of more than 20%, that have occurred since 1948 have been accompanied by recessions, according to investment research firm CFRA.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}