To The Moon

$ Tesla (TSLA)$ reported Q1 2025 earnings after the bell on April 22, 2025, kicking off the year with a double miss on revenue and profit.Not only did this earnings report mark the worst earnings slide since Q2 2022, management withdrew its full-year growth guidance.However, investors were also heartened by Elon Musk's change in attitude, saying he would reduce his hours at the government department DOGE starting in May and return his focus to Tesla.Markets in the days before the earnings report on the violent shock, the day before the earnings report fell more than 5%, in the case of the market plunge in the week before the earnings report to the options implied volatility also once reached 170%, IV Percentage reached 98%.The actual earnings report

The U.S. Congress has launched an investigation into the possible export of controlled AI chips from NVIDIA to Chinese company DeepSeek through Singapore, an event that has pushed the complex technology game between the U.S. and China, export control policies, and corporate response strategies to the forefront of public opinion.Last week Jen-Hsun Huang came to China to visit, the specifications are quite high, the old Huang took off his leather jacket and put on a suit, it is obvious that he cares very much.So these two days there are rumors: NVDA will cooperate with DeepSeek to develop AI chips for China ......A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers sent a letter to Jen-Hsun Huang, asking him to explain the reason for the flow of chips to DeepSeek, whi

In recent years, the endowment funds of top U.S. colleges and universities have frequently attracted attention due to their huge private equity exposure. 2024, Yale University announced that it would sell $6 billion in private assets (15% of its endowment fund) through the secondary market, and Harvard University is also facing liquidity pressures in the context of a crisis in its tax-exempt status.The sell-off storm not only exposes the inherent contradictions of the "Yale model", but may also become a trigger to burst the bubble of the private equity market, triggering a systemic risk comparable to the subprime mortgage crisis.Motivation for the sell-off: the flaws of the Yale model in the volatile gaming marketIvy League endowments have long played the role of "privileged players" in th

$Netflix(NFLX)$ Q1 earnings announcement, profitability continues to rise, confirming the fundamentals of the good stone, of which advertising and content investment is still the key, but also makes NFLX become the tariffs under the chaos of the few counter-trend "risk aversion" of the technology stocks.Performance and market feedback1. Core data performanceRevenue: $10.543bn ($10.5bn expected, +12.5% yoy); gross margin 50.08% (41.66% expected, +8.4pct beat), mainly benefiting from price hikes + higher share of advertising packages; operating margin 31.75% (28.2% higher than expected, exceeding 360pct yoy)Revenue among different regions: $4.62bn (+9.3% YoY) in the US & Canada, lower than the expected $4.68bn; $3.41bn (+15% yoy) in EMEA, higher

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline: Trump to fire Powell? Earnings season coming with tariff desensitization!Although the Trump administration is still in the tariffs from time to time "demon", but the market after last week's volatility has been desensitized, but now trading is more "recession expectations", or the extent of the blow to corporate profits, consumer confidence.In the face of the worsening economic outlook, the European Central Bank on April 17 to complete the seventh round of interest rate cuts, and warned that the escalation of international trade tensions is a serious drag on the eurozone recovery process.The Fed showed a very different rhythm, Powell reiterated the need to judge the policy path based on sufficient data, triggering a harsh rebuke from Trump.Prev

Market volatility from tariffs also poses a challenge to the 2025 outlook for U.S. airlines.Despite a strong start to the year and optimistic forecasts, the U.S. airline industry is now facing significant headwinds due to economic uncertainty, rising inflation and shifting consumer behavior.While the long-term growth trajectory through 2030 remains optimistic, immediate concerns about declining passenger traffic and spending have prompted airlines to implement capacity adjustments for the upcoming quarter. $United Continental(UAL)$ reported first quarter earnings after the bell on April 15, 2025, and the company delivered its best quarterly financial performance in nearly five years, despite the uncertainty of the macroeconomic environment.Market F

Over the past few weeks, the U.S. stock market as a whole has been extremely sensitive, and the market's reaction to surprises has been "amplified". The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has swung more than 10% in a single day, and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ has rallied more than 12%.With expectations surrounding Trump's tariffs recurring, the week's action could be described as a "collection of risk events" from years past.Looking at the timeline of the overall U.S. stock market pullback in 2025.The initial decline was triggered by a rapid pullback in a group of 2024 overbought momentum stocks ( $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline: Recession’s back?Market volatility due to tariffs in effect has been no less than the 2020 period, in addition to the stock market's Monday plunge, identified by Trump as a "short-term sacrifice", the volatility of U.S. debt may be more concerned about the market (elevated risk of recession)?At present, after the first three days of this week's fermentation and "withdrawal", the short-term risk of tariffs has basically been cleared, and how the end of the future, basically in the current market has been Price-in the range, so it will not be too sensitive.But overall, the risk of the medium-term still can not be ignored, even if the final landing is 10% tariffs, the economic growth rate may slow down from Q2, embodied in the corporate earnings r

U.S. stocks saw a big rally at the 18-hour limit and produced the third-largest one-day gain since World War II, with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ rallying 12% in a single day on April 9th. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rallied 9.52%, recovering ground lost since April 3rd.As the weight of the U.S. technology stocks have also become the biggest beneficiaries of the rebound, except for $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ have outperformed the broader market.And these two manufacturing companies are among the biggest beneficiaries of globalization.Looking at the performance over the past 5 days, $NVIDIA

Has it ever occurred to you that if you suddenly introduce sudden tariffs that vary greatly from country to country, you will face multiple practical obstacles at the customs operational level?Feedback from the current point of view, the actual possibility of landing almost 0, including several aspects:Technical bottleneck: classification identification and physical limitations of origin verificationComplexity of commodity classificationThe difference in duty rates between medical device parts and automotive parts may be as high as 30%, but it is difficult for the existing customs system to achieve accurate identification.For example, mixed-function electromechanical products (e.g., medical device housings containing sensors) may involve multiple tax code classifications at the same time,