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snow mak
snow mak
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2022-05-10
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snow mak
snow mak
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2022-05-10
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U.S. Stocks Move Lower in open low, Nasdaq Extends Loss to 3%
5月9日，美股低开低走，纳指跌幅扩大至3%。特斯拉跌超6%，亚马逊跌近3%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌幅扩大至7%，哔哩哔哩、京东、理想汽车、小鹏汽车跌近10%；知乎跌12%，水滴跌超21%。
U.S. Stocks Move Lower in open low, Nasdaq Extends Loss to 3%
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snow mak
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2022-05-10
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snow mak
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2022-05-09
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2022-05-09
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Bank of America: Taking history as a mirror, where is the "end point" of this round of US stock correction?
摘要：通过研究过去140年19次熊市的历史，美银分析师推测，目前的熊市将在今年10月19日结束，标普500指数将达到3000点，纳斯达克综合指数将达到10000点。投资者周五关注美国国债收益率和非农就
Bank of America: Taking history as a mirror, where is the "end point" of this round of US stock correction?
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snow mak
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2022-05-08
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snow mak
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2022-05-08
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snow mak
snow mak
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2022-05-06
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Pre-market comments | After the plunge of U.S. stocks, how will the market perform the next day?
》》》盘前 | 非农数据高于预期！三大期指短线拉升截止到今天盘前，关于昨天市场究竟为什么大跌，依旧没有一个很好的解释。从指数期权的交易来看，也比较正常。不过目前市场关注的重点，已经不再是昨天市场大跌的
Pre-market comments | After the plunge of U.S. stocks, how will the market perform the next day?
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2022-05-06
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snow mak
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2022-05-05
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3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196129150","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月9日，美股低开低走，纳指跌幅扩大至3%。特斯拉跌超6%，亚马逊跌近3%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌幅扩大至7%，哔哩哔哩、京东、理想汽车、小鹏汽车跌近10%；知乎跌12%，水滴跌超21%。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On May 9th, the open low of U.S. stocks went lower, and the decline of the Nasdaq expanded to 3%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>fell by more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>It fell nearly 3%.</p><p>The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index expanded its decline to 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>Down nearly 10%;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZH\">Zhihu</a>It fell by 12%, and the water drop fell by more than 21%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670cccd22275ddc30779ac54a2774c78\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" 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Stocks Move Lower in open low, Nasdaq Extends Loss to 3%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-05-09 22:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On May 9th, the open low of U.S. stocks went lower, and the decline of the Nasdaq expanded to 3%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>fell by more than 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>It fell nearly 3%.</p><p>The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index expanded its decline to 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>Down nearly 10%;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZH\">Zhihu</a>It fell by 12%, and the water drop fell by more than 21%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670cccd22275ddc30779ac54a2774c78\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f3d0c168656a3e6eb4245c3c31ff40","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196129150","content_text":"5月9日，美股低开低走，纳指跌幅扩大至3%。特斯拉跌超6%，亚马逊跌近3%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌幅扩大至7%，哔哩哔哩、京东、理想汽车、小鹏汽车跌近10%；知乎跌12%，水滴跌超21%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4001,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065949391,"gmtCreate":1652141033013,"gmtModify":1676535037552,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065949391","repostId":"2233858072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062239996,"gmtCreate":1652061540615,"gmtModify":1676535022358,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062239996","repostId":"1103965281","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062230483,"gmtCreate":1652061526242,"gmtModify":1676535022344,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062230483","repostId":"1117911802","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117911802","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1651884417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117911802?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-07 08:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America: Taking history as a mirror, where is the \"end point\" of this round of US stock correction?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117911802","media":"Wind万得","summary":"摘要：通过研究过去140年19次熊市的历史，美银分析师推测，目前的熊市将在今年10月19日结束，标普500指数将达到3000点，纳斯达克综合指数将达到10000点。投资者周五关注美国国债收益率和非农就","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Abstract: By studying the history of 19 bear markets in the past 140 years, Bank of America analysts speculate that the current bear market will end on October 19 this year, with the S&P 500 Index reaching 3,000 points and the Nasdaq Composite Index reaching 10,000 points.</b>Investors paid attention to the U.S. Treasury Bond yield and non-farm payrolls report on Friday, and the three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower this week.</p><p>Specifically, the Dow Jones Industrials closed down 0.3% on Friday, a day after the blue-chip index plunged more than 1,000 points for its worst day since 2020. The S&P 500 fell 0.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 1.4%. All three major indexes fell this week.</p><p>Concerns about Federal Reserve policy, coupled with the rapid rise in U.S. Treasury Bond yields, have hit tech and growth stocks particularly hard as investors reassess previously high sectors.</p><p>The major indexes fell between 7.02 and 9.38 percentage points from Wednesday's highs to Thursday's lows, according to Dow Jones Market Data, the biggest swing since the first half of 2020. Nearly halfway through 2022, the S&P 500 is down more than 10% year-to-date, but it hasn't officially entered a bear market yet.</p><p>According to a widely accepted definition, a bear market occurs when a market or security is down 20% or more from its recent high. While the S&P 500 is down 13.5% from its January high of 4,796, for now, this simply means that U.S. stocks have entered a pullback range, usually defined as a 10% drop from recent highs. Meanwhile, the battered Nasdaq is now down 23% from its November 2021 high.</p><p>Still, the debate over whether the S&P 500 is entering a bear market is raging, with some strategists and observers saying the S&P 500 is pulling back like it did during the bear market. Wall Street banks such as Morgan Stanley have been saying that the U.S. stock market is close to entering a bear market.</p><p>But if the S&P 500 officially enters a bear market, Bank of America strategists, led by Michael Hartnett, have calculated how long the \"pain\" will last. They looked at the history of 19 bear markets over the past 140 years and found an average price decline of 37.3% with an average duration of about 289 days.</p><p>While \"past performance is not indicative of future performance,\" Hartnett and his team believe that the current bear market will end on October 19 of this year, with the S&P 500 reaching 3,000 and the Nasdaq Composite reaching 10,000.</p><p>The \"good news\" is that many stocks have reached this point. Forty-nine percent of Nasdaq's constituents are down more than 50% from their 52-week highs, and 58% are down more than 37.3%, with 77% of the constituents in a bear market. \"Bear markets tend to come faster than bull markets,\" these strategists said.</p><p>The bank's latest weekly data, released Friday, showed another $3.4 billion flowing out of stocks and $9.1 billion out of bonds. At the recent Fed meeting, many of those moves were designed to \"fend off risk,\" they noted.</p><p>While the Fed tightened policy as scheduled again this week, concerns about whether its stance will be more hawkish, and concerns that the Fed may not be able to tighten without triggering a recession, sent stocks weaker sharply on Thursday, with more sell order underway on Friday.</p><p>Strategists offer one last fact that may also give some comfort to investors. Hartnett and the team noted that for every $100 invested in stocks over the past year-plus, only $3 has been redeemed. Additionally, the $1.1 trillion flowing into stocks since January 2021, the average entry point for the S&P 500 is 4,274, meaning these investors have only \"slightly less than expected\" money.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America: Taking history as a mirror, where is the \"end point\" of this round of US stock correction?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America: Taking history as a mirror, where is the \"end point\" of this round of US stock correction?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-05-07 08:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Abstract: By studying the history of 19 bear markets in the past 140 years, Bank of America analysts speculate that the current bear market will end on October 19 this year, with the S&P 500 Index reaching 3,000 points and the Nasdaq Composite Index reaching 10,000 points.</b>Investors paid attention to the U.S. Treasury Bond yield and non-farm payrolls report on Friday, and the three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower this week.</p><p>Specifically, the Dow Jones Industrials closed down 0.3% on Friday, a day after the blue-chip index plunged more than 1,000 points for its worst day since 2020. The S&P 500 fell 0.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 1.4%. All three major indexes fell this week.</p><p>Concerns about Federal Reserve policy, coupled with the rapid rise in U.S. Treasury Bond yields, have hit tech and growth stocks particularly hard as investors reassess previously high sectors.</p><p>The major indexes fell between 7.02 and 9.38 percentage points from Wednesday's highs to Thursday's lows, according to Dow Jones Market Data, the biggest swing since the first half of 2020. Nearly halfway through 2022, the S&P 500 is down more than 10% year-to-date, but it hasn't officially entered a bear market yet.</p><p>According to a widely accepted definition, a bear market occurs when a market or security is down 20% or more from its recent high. While the S&P 500 is down 13.5% from its January high of 4,796, for now, this simply means that U.S. stocks have entered a pullback range, usually defined as a 10% drop from recent highs. Meanwhile, the battered Nasdaq is now down 23% from its November 2021 high.</p><p>Still, the debate over whether the S&P 500 is entering a bear market is raging, with some strategists and observers saying the S&P 500 is pulling back like it did during the bear market. Wall Street banks such as Morgan Stanley have been saying that the U.S. stock market is close to entering a bear market.</p><p>But if the S&P 500 officially enters a bear market, Bank of America strategists, led by Michael Hartnett, have calculated how long the \"pain\" will last. They looked at the history of 19 bear markets over the past 140 years and found an average price decline of 37.3% with an average duration of about 289 days.</p><p>While \"past performance is not indicative of future performance,\" Hartnett and his team believe that the current bear market will end on October 19 of this year, with the S&P 500 reaching 3,000 and the Nasdaq Composite reaching 10,000.</p><p>The \"good news\" is that many stocks have reached this point. Forty-nine percent of Nasdaq's constituents are down more than 50% from their 52-week highs, and 58% are down more than 37.3%, with 77% of the constituents in a bear market. \"Bear markets tend to come faster than bull markets,\" these strategists said.</p><p>The bank's latest weekly data, released Friday, showed another $3.4 billion flowing out of stocks and $9.1 billion out of bonds. At the recent Fed meeting, many of those moves were designed to \"fend off risk,\" they noted.</p><p>While the Fed tightened policy as scheduled again this week, concerns about whether its stance will be more hawkish, and concerns that the Fed may not be able to tighten without triggering a recession, sent stocks weaker sharply on Thursday, with more sell order underway on Friday.</p><p>Strategists offer one last fact that may also give some comfort to investors. Hartnett and the team noted that for every $100 invested in stocks over the past year-plus, only $3 has been redeemed. Additionally, the $1.1 trillion flowing into stocks since January 2021, the average entry point for the S&P 500 is 4,274, meaning these investors have only \"slightly less than expected\" money.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96819b78df36696eeccbf03ebd7c466d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117911802","content_text":"摘要：通过研究过去140年19次熊市的历史，美银分析师推测，目前的熊市将在今年10月19日结束，标普500指数将达到3000点，纳斯达克综合指数将达到10000点。投资者周五关注美国国债收益率和非农就业报告，美股三大指数本周收跌。具体来看，道琼斯工业指数周五收盘下跌0.3%，前一天该蓝筹股指数暴跌超过1000点，创下2020年以来最糟糕的一天。标普500指数下跌0.5%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数下跌1.4%。三大股指本周均下跌。对美联储政策的担忧，加上美国国债收益率的迅速上升，对科技股和成长股的打击尤其严重，因为投资者重新评估了此前曾经高涨的板块。道琼斯市场数据(Dow Jones Market Data)显示，主要股指从周三的高点跌至周四的低点，跌幅在7.02至9.38个百分点之间，这是自2020年上半年以来的最大波动。2022年已接近过半，标普500指数年初至今跌逾10%，但还没有正式进入熊市。根据一个被广泛接受的定义，熊市发生在市场或证券从近期高点下跌20%或以上的时候。而标普500指数较1月份4,796点的高点下跌了13.5%，就目前而言，这仅仅意味着美股进入了回调区间，通常定义为较近期高点下跌10%。与此同时，遭受重创的纳斯达克指数目前较2021年11月的高点下跌了23%。尽管如此，关于标普500指数是否进入熊市的争论仍在激烈进行，一些策略师和观察人士表示，标普500指数正在像熊市期间一样回调。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)等华尔街银行一直表示，美股市场正接近进入熊市。但如果标普500指数正式进入熊市，以迈克尔•哈特尼特(Michael Hartnett)为首的美国银行(Bank of America)策略师已经计算出这种“痛苦”会持续多久。他们研究了过去140年19次熊市的历史，发现平均价格下跌37.3%，平均持续时间约289天。虽然“过去的表现并不代表未来的表现”，但哈特尼特和他的团队认为，目前的熊市将在今年10月19日结束，标普500指数将达到3000点，纳斯达克综合指数将达到10000点。“好消息”是，许多股票已经达到了这一点。纳斯达克49%的成份股较52周高点下跌超过50%，58%的成份股跌幅超过37.3%，其中77%的成份股处于熊市。这些策略师表示：“熊市往往比牛市来得快。”该银行周五发布的最新周数据显示，又有34亿美元从股票中流出，91亿美元从债券中流出。他们指出，在最近的美联储会议上，其中许多举动都是为了“抵御风险”。虽然美联储本周再次如期收紧了政策，但对其立场是否会更趋鹰派的担忧，以及对美联储可能无法在不引发经济衰退的情况下收紧政策的担忧，使得股票在周四大幅走弱，周五有更多的卖盘正在进行。策略师们提供了最后一个事实，可能也会给投资者一些安慰。哈特尼特和团队指出，在过去一年多的时间里，每100美元投资于股票，只有3美元被赎回。此外，自2021年1月以来，流入股票的1.1万亿美元，标普500指数的平均进入点为4274点，这意味着这些投资者的资金仅“略低于预期”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062397628,"gmtCreate":1651999411464,"gmtModify":1676535011815,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062397628","repostId":"2233315662","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9062397376,"gmtCreate":1651999389795,"gmtModify":1676535011823,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9062397376","repostId":"2233315662","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9066953890,"gmtCreate":1651842823410,"gmtModify":1676534981940,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9066953890","repostId":"1126782908","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126782908","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点，观察市场，提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651841671,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1126782908?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-06 20:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Pre-market comments | After the plunge of U.S. stocks, how will the market perform the next day?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126782908","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"》》》盘前 | 非农数据高于预期！三大期指短线拉升截止到今天盘前，关于昨天市场究竟为什么大跌，依旧没有一个很好的解释。从指数期权的交易来看，也比较正常。不过目前市场关注的重点，已经不再是昨天市场大跌的","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>》》》</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1113585245\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Pre-market | Non-farm data is higher than expected! Three major futures indexes pulled up in the short term</b></a><b></b></p><p>As of today's pre-market, there is still no good explanation for why the market plummeted yesterday. Judging from the trading of index options, it is also relatively normal. However, at present, the focus of the market is no longer the reason for yesterday's market crash, but how US stocks will perform today after the crash.</p><p>This question is very difficult to answer, and no one can give accurate logic. The only breakthrough point is the market performance after the plunge of US stocks from the probability point of view. The following table shows the market performance the following day after the Nasdaq plunged 3% since 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc972a81628e057e9980cd2b19aa5dc8\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58e2fdd3ada8e94dc1ebad24ec60bb5b\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"441\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>1. Since January 1, 2020, Nasdaq has fallen by more than 3% 26 times, and 8 times occurred when COVID-19 struck in March 2020. With only two appearances in 2021, it performed the best.</p><p>2. The possibility of a big drop for two consecutive days is very small. It has only occurred once in the past two years, which is March 11 and 12, 2020.</p><p>3. From the 25 second-day trading performance, the median performance is up 1%, and the average performance is also up 1%.</p><p>4. Judging from the performance of 25 second-day trading, 1/3 of the probability of falling and 2/3 of the probability of rising. The biggest drop was 9.43%, which was also what happened during the COVID market circuit breaker. Setting aside this particular biggest decline, the second day's decline was spread between 0.01-2.77%.</p><p>5. Combined with the two-day performance, there is a 100% probability that the market will be lower than the level before the crash. Over the two days, the average decline was 3.6%, and the median decline was 2.7%. That is to say, even if the market rebounds strongly today, it is unlikely to return to the level before the crash.</p><p>If history is of reference, markets shouldn't be too bad today.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-market comments | After the plunge of U.S. stocks, how will the market perform the next day?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-market comments | After the plunge of U.S. stocks, how will the market perform the next day?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-05-06 20:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>》》》</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1113585245\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Pre-market | Non-farm data is higher than expected! Three major futures indexes pulled up in the short term</b></a><b></b></p><p>As of today's pre-market, there is still no good explanation for why the market plummeted yesterday. Judging from the trading of index options, it is also relatively normal. However, at present, the focus of the market is no longer the reason for yesterday's market crash, but how US stocks will perform today after the crash.</p><p>This question is very difficult to answer, and no one can give accurate logic. The only breakthrough point is the market performance after the plunge of US stocks from the probability point of view. The following table shows the market performance the following day after the Nasdaq plunged 3% since 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc972a81628e057e9980cd2b19aa5dc8\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58e2fdd3ada8e94dc1ebad24ec60bb5b\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"441\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>1. Since January 1, 2020, Nasdaq has fallen by more than 3% 26 times, and 8 times occurred when COVID-19 struck in March 2020. With only two appearances in 2021, it performed the best.</p><p>2. The possibility of a big drop for two consecutive days is very small. It has only occurred once in the past two years, which is March 11 and 12, 2020.</p><p>3. From the 25 second-day trading performance, the median performance is up 1%, and the average performance is also up 1%.</p><p>4. Judging from the performance of 25 second-day trading, 1/3 of the probability of falling and 2/3 of the probability of rising. The biggest drop was 9.43%, which was also what happened during the COVID market circuit breaker. Setting aside this particular biggest decline, the second day's decline was spread between 0.01-2.77%.</p><p>5. Combined with the two-day performance, there is a 100% probability that the market will be lower than the level before the crash. Over the two days, the average decline was 3.6%, and the median decline was 2.7%. That is to say, even if the market rebounds strongly today, it is unlikely to return to the level before the crash.</p><p>If history is of reference, markets shouldn't be too bad today.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126782908","content_text":"》》》盘前 | 非农数据高于预期！三大期指短线拉升截止到今天盘前，关于昨天市场究竟为什么大跌，依旧没有一个很好的解释。从指数期权的交易来看，也比较正常。不过目前市场关注的重点，已经不再是昨天市场大跌的原因，而是大跌之后今天美股会怎么表现。这个问题非常难回答，也没有人能给出准确的逻辑，唯一的突破点，就是从概率上来看美股大跌之后的市场表现。下表是2020年以来纳斯达克大跌3%之后，次日的市场表现。1，2020年1月1日以来，纳斯达克下跌超过3%一共出现了26次，有8次出现在了2020年3月新冠来袭的时候。2021年只出现过两次，表现最为优异。2，连续两日大跌的可能性非常小，过去两年只出现过一次，是2020年3月11和12日。3，从25个第二日交易表现来看，中位数的表现是上涨1%，平均数的表现也是上涨1%。4，从25个第二日交易表现来看，1/3的概率下跌，2/3的概率上涨。下跌的最大幅度是9.43%，也是新冠市场熔断期间发生的事情。抛开这次特殊的最大跌幅，第二日的跌幅分布在0.01-2.77%。5，综合两天的表现，100%概率市场会低于大跌前的水平。两天下来平均跌幅3.6%，中位数跌幅2.7%。也就是说，即使今天市场强势反弹，也不大可能回到大跌前的水平。如果历史具有参考意义，今天市场不应该太糟。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9066953179,"gmtCreate":1651842805291,"gmtModify":1676534981965,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9066953179","repostId":"1183451845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068055363,"gmtCreate":1651707133184,"gmtModify":1676534951594,"author":{"id":"4102111421527460","authorId":"4102111421527460","name":"snow mak","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f80ff610ca4a137e13e6769081ef65","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102111421527460","authorIdStr":"4102111421527460"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068055363","repostId":"1177551860","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}