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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-25
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-19
Cool
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-18
Interesting
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-17
Possible
Dare To Dream: Can QQQ Make New All-Time Highs In 2023?
SummaryYou may have noticed that sentiment is dour at present. And when we say dour, we mean miserab
Dare To Dream: Can QQQ Make New All-Time Highs In 2023?
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-17
Bad
Why FedEx’s Stock Plunge Is so Bad for the Whole Stock Market
Dow Theory ‘sell’ signal is halfway complete, as Dow transports fall below the June low, but Dow ind
Why FedEx’s Stock Plunge Is so Bad for the Whole Stock Market
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-15
Interesting
U.S. Hot EV Stocks Rallied in Morning Trading with Nikola Jumping 5%
U.S. hot EV stocks rallied in morning trading with Nikola jumping 5%.
U.S. Hot EV Stocks Rallied in Morning Trading with Nikola Jumping 5%
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-14
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-14
Welcome
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-14
Oh no
US Inflation Tops Forecasts, Cementing Odds of Big Fed Hike
Consumer prices rose 0.1% from July, defying estimate for dropShelter, food and medical care were am
US Inflation Tops Forecasts, Cementing Odds of Big Fed Hike
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YMF808
YMF808
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2022-09-13
Nice
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","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937223729","repostId":"1160797562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937346713,"gmtCreate":1663374832032,"gmtModify":1676537260453,"author":{"id":"4087173082353320","authorId":"4087173082353320","name":"YMF808","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4baafafa8982b2c0a7b4c828a5e3cbfb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087173082353320","authorIdStr":"4087173082353320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Possible","listText":"Possible","text":"Possible","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937346713","repostId":"1193038112","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193038112","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663373059,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193038112?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-17 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dare To Dream: Can QQQ Make New All-Time Highs In 2023?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193038112","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryYou may have noticed that sentiment is dour at present. And when we say dour, we mean miserab","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>You may have noticed that sentiment is dour at present. And when we say dour, we mean miserable. Utterly despondent, in fact.</li><li>We don't share this view at all. We believe that securities prices run to their own tune, usually ahead of rather than in response to the news.</li><li>And we think the June low in the QQQ was the low, which means we think QQQ can make a new high in 2023.</li><li>We explain all below and lay out price targets, together with stop-loss levels just in case this idea does prove as nuts as it sounds.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ffbc2edd68801fb0645bd8cc8e54714\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"497\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>AntonioSolano/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Voodoo Nonsense - Ignore!</b></p><p>Technical analysis is like democracy. It's the worst tool anyone can think of for the job, except for all the other tools that anyone has yet thought of. Let's take the Nasdaq-100 index, in its QQQ ETF format. If you could construct any coherent narrative as to why the ETF fell to the level it did in the COVID crisis, ran up to the level it did in 2021, and then corrected to the level it has in 2022, we're all ears. We don't mean "why did it sell off hard into COVID" or "why did it turn weak come 2022?" We mean, why did it find support and resistance at those specific levels?</p><p>If you use fairly standard Elliott Wave and Fibonacci measures, the QQQ confirms almost perfectly to textbook levels since the 2018 lows. And because the pattern fits so well, in the larger and smaller degree, one has to ask oneself... are the Doom-Mongers of Fin Twit really correct that it's all going to zero?</p><p>Let's first of all take a look at the move from the Q4 2018 lows to the Q4 2021 highs. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c9120d3593db409e5b620370d28decd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>The first thing to note is the start point. Right at the end of Q4 2018 the Fed had tried to normalize monetary policy by raising rates and planning to shrink, not grow, the size of its balance sheet. This caused a market tantrum such that most all of 2018's gains in the S&P or the Nasdaq were wiped out. The bottom came in right at the end of the year. We can call that Point Zero.</p><p>QQQ then rose in a Wave 1 up, peaking at around $237 in February 2020, a fairly quick gain of 65% in the prior fourteen months or so. The chat at the time was that this was nuts and couldn't last.</p><p>Yikes, Freak Out!!</p><p>Now a very interesting thing happens. COVID hits and naturally enough the world freaks out as do investors. Rather surprisingly however, it turns out one can model a "yikes freak out" reaction in the market. "Yikes freak out" usually means a Wave 2 down, a fast and deep drop. And very often a Wave 2 down finds support at the 61.8% or 78.6% retracement of the prior Wave 1 up. The Covid lows in the QQQ were<i>precisely</i>a 78.6% drop from the Wave 1 highs back towards Point Zero. Likely not a coincidence.</p><p><b>Now The Long Road To Happiness</b></p><p>After a "Yikes Freak Out" Wave 2 comes a Wave 3 which are typically powerful upward moves. Which is what happens to the Qs coming out of COVID. You know all the reasons <i>why</i> it is said this happens - Fed helicopter money, crypto bros, work from home tech refresh cycle, all that - but put that aside for a moment because, really, who cares <i>why</i> it happened. Let's <i>measure</i> what happened. The chart above shows this. Wave 3s typically terminate at a minimum of the 100% extension of the prior Wave 1, and more commonly the 161.8% extension. More bullish levels are the 261.8%, 361.8%, and so on. (By the way, if Fibonacci extensions are new to you, fear not. Whilst the theory behind<i>why</i>Fibonacci numbers matter is complicated, the math involved in calculating how they apply to stock prices is not. The 161.8% extension of Wave 1 is calculated thus: take the stock price movement in Wave 1, multiply it by 1.618, and add that to the stock price at the Wave 2 low, hey presto, that's the 161.8% extension of Wave 1). Anyway. You can see that at the most recent all-time high, QQQ hit the 261.8% (=2.618) extension of Wave 1 almost to the dollar. Again, probably not a coincidence.</p><p><b>Then Comes Boiling The Frog</b></p><p>2022 comes and here we go with a Wave 4 down. Psychologically, emotionally, and potentially financially, Wave 4s are tough. Most people have become accustomed to the occasional shock and awe flash crash Wave 2. The panic is over as soon as it began. Also due to the mass psychology involved, which usually translates as<i>someone has to do something</i>, very often, someone does in fact do something - COVID stimulus being a prime example. But in a slow-boil Wave 4, the panic never really rises. Instead it's a stages-of-grief thing where if you're not careful you end up accepting and moving on. Which means you toss your account overboard and start a new day. Except you don't, because that's usually when the market rebounds and then you are too stunned to do anything about it, fearful that you will just buy into the next leg down. Actually the first half of 2022 saw Big Money do a fine job of work in this regard. If you look at how one measure of volatility, the Vix index, has moved vs. the panics of 2020 and indeed the Fed-tightening fear in 2018, it has barely moved at all - just traded sideways in a channel.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae14b1ca4f0561e9aa095aa32de983e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Vix Chart (TradingView, Cestrian "Analysis")</span></p><p>There are many reasons for this but chief amongst them has been the institutional use of out-of-the-money index puts that have been rolled out and down through the first half, slow and steady, no freaking out, just dragging down the indices and their proxy ETFs as market makers have had to sell those indices in order to hedge their positions (having sold puts to institutions, market makers are then long the market, so have to sell underlying securities in order to get back to neutral).</p><p>And this wave 4 right here is what has caused the it's-all-over mentality to take hold, in our view.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52a7ab589c32698e50b1eb8755902c70\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"302\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>It's been a deeper-than-expected correction for sure. With a 78.6% retraced Wave 2 you might normally expect a 38.2% retraced Wave 4 - that's based on nothing other than pattern recognition. The 38.2% retracement of Wave 3 was $315, which is where the QQQ set up camp for a while in February this year, before head-faking to the upside then digging for victory once more. Thus far the Wave 4 looks to have bottomed in June, between the 50% and 61.8% retracements of Wave 3.</p><p><b>Wait, Isn't This A Bullish Article?</b></p><p>So, the title of this article is, "Dare To Dream". Looks more like a nightmare for 2022. Or does it? Let's zoom in to see what has happened since those June lows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/941554bdc300eb4dad173f18f77aeafc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"299\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>The waves & Fibonacci approach works in smaller and larger degrees. One cannot say that it's truly fractal in nature, as is often claimed, since there's no perfectly-repeating pattern in smaller and smaller degrees, but we can say that because the extensions and retracements are merely emotional and/or algorithmic reactions to the most recent price movements, they are self-referential in nature and that is why they scale up and down - because a larger degree move is relative to an earlier larger degree move, and a smaller degree move is relative to an earlier smaller degree move.</p><p>Look at the 5-waves up from the June lows. The Fib levels work nicely - a 78.6% retrace Wave ii, a 223.6% Wave iii extension of Wave i, and we'll see what happens with September options expiry (that's today at the time of writing) does to the Wave iv. But so far there is every chance we then get a smaller degree Wave v up (once September opex is done, a wall of puts will expire and market-maker short hedges will need to be covered, which can drive a move upwards).</p><p>And if that Wave v happens, and for it to be a Wave v it must peak above the Wave iii high - then that's ongoing confirmation that the June lows were the lows. We aren't there yet. We need to see that Wave v exceed QQQ $335ish. But if we do? Well, if that Wave v does arrive, the bear argument - that we're in a downwards channel that started last November and has featured only countertrend rallies since then - starts to look a lot weaker. Not necessarily wrong, anything can change, but weaker.</p><p>Then the outlook can be like ... this. A final flourish in the larger degree to complete a 5-wave cycle up off of those 2018 lows.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/915355750cdd99c2cfca3f27e8bcdada\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>Now, we don't think this is a Wen Moon situation. We can make a technical argument that QQQ will peak in a Wave 5 in the 500s, 550s even, and maybe it will. But for the record and until facts disturb our opinion, we think that QQQ will make a new high in 2023, maybe early 2024. And then put in a Yikes Wave 2 in the even-larger-degree. Because those 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 waves up you see from 2018 to (maybe) 2023-4? They combine to form probably a Wave 1 up. Which means a Yikes Wave 2 next. Or, maybe they combine to form a Wave 3 up. In which case it's a Doom N Gloom Forever Wave 4 next. Either way, down. In our<i>Growth Investor Pro</i>service we lean bullish right now but much of our work positioning for possible upside ahead is done - we have our stocks and ETFs set up with stop ideas and accumulation price zones and price targets and all that. More of our time right now is being spent on ... how do we make big from the move down that comes after the next high. And for that? Stay tuned.</p><p>Oh and by the way. Want to play QQQ to the long side? Consider this approach.</p><p>1 - Wait to see if QQQ moves up above $288, which is the 0.786 retrace of the smaller-degree Wave iv above.</p><p>2 - If no, wait. (This is like one of those early multi-user dungeon games. "Time passes ....")</p><p>3 - If yes, consider buying with a stop-loss a little below that $288 level ... $270-274 makes sense as it's below the Wave ii low so if it gets there, something has gone wrong.</p><p>4 - Consider accumulating a position in the range of $290-$300, slowly over time, buying on red days not green days.</p><p>5 - Consider holding to see if we can make it to $335 - the potential Wave v high. That's >10% free money if so. At which point you can set a trailing stop or move your stops up or similar and then just decide how much of an ulcer you want to develop whilst waiting to see if QQQ can indeed beat the 2021 high.</p><p>Good luck to all!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dare To Dream: Can QQQ Make New All-Time Highs In 2023?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDare To Dream: Can QQQ Make New All-Time Highs In 2023?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-17 08:04 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541458-can-qqq-make-new-all-time-highs-in-2023><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryYou may have noticed that sentiment is dour at present. And when we say dour, we mean miserable. Utterly despondent, in fact.We don't share this view at all. We believe that securities prices ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541458-can-qqq-make-new-all-time-highs-in-2023\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541458-can-qqq-make-new-all-time-highs-in-2023","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193038112","content_text":"SummaryYou may have noticed that sentiment is dour at present. And when we say dour, we mean miserable. Utterly despondent, in fact.We don't share this view at all. We believe that securities prices run to their own tune, usually ahead of rather than in response to the news.And we think the June low in the QQQ was the low, which means we think QQQ can make a new high in 2023.We explain all below and lay out price targets, together with stop-loss levels just in case this idea does prove as nuts as it sounds.AntonioSolano/iStock via Getty ImagesVoodoo Nonsense - Ignore!Technical analysis is like democracy. It's the worst tool anyone can think of for the job, except for all the other tools that anyone has yet thought of. Let's take the Nasdaq-100 index, in its QQQ ETF format. If you could construct any coherent narrative as to why the ETF fell to the level it did in the COVID crisis, ran up to the level it did in 2021, and then corrected to the level it has in 2022, we're all ears. We don't mean \"why did it sell off hard into COVID\" or \"why did it turn weak come 2022?\" We mean, why did it find support and resistance at those specific levels?If you use fairly standard Elliott Wave and Fibonacci measures, the QQQ confirms almost perfectly to textbook levels since the 2018 lows. And because the pattern fits so well, in the larger and smaller degree, one has to ask oneself... are the Doom-Mongers of Fin Twit really correct that it's all going to zero?Let's first of all take a look at the move from the Q4 2018 lows to the Q4 2021 highs. QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)The first thing to note is the start point. Right at the end of Q4 2018 the Fed had tried to normalize monetary policy by raising rates and planning to shrink, not grow, the size of its balance sheet. This caused a market tantrum such that most all of 2018's gains in the S&P or the Nasdaq were wiped out. The bottom came in right at the end of the year. We can call that Point Zero.QQQ then rose in a Wave 1 up, peaking at around $237 in February 2020, a fairly quick gain of 65% in the prior fourteen months or so. The chat at the time was that this was nuts and couldn't last.Yikes, Freak Out!!Now a very interesting thing happens. COVID hits and naturally enough the world freaks out as do investors. Rather surprisingly however, it turns out one can model a \"yikes freak out\" reaction in the market. \"Yikes freak out\" usually means a Wave 2 down, a fast and deep drop. And very often a Wave 2 down finds support at the 61.8% or 78.6% retracement of the prior Wave 1 up. The Covid lows in the QQQ werepreciselya 78.6% drop from the Wave 1 highs back towards Point Zero. Likely not a coincidence.Now The Long Road To HappinessAfter a \"Yikes Freak Out\" Wave 2 comes a Wave 3 which are typically powerful upward moves. Which is what happens to the Qs coming out of COVID. You know all the reasons why it is said this happens - Fed helicopter money, crypto bros, work from home tech refresh cycle, all that - but put that aside for a moment because, really, who cares why it happened. Let's measure what happened. The chart above shows this. Wave 3s typically terminate at a minimum of the 100% extension of the prior Wave 1, and more commonly the 161.8% extension. More bullish levels are the 261.8%, 361.8%, and so on. (By the way, if Fibonacci extensions are new to you, fear not. Whilst the theory behindwhyFibonacci numbers matter is complicated, the math involved in calculating how they apply to stock prices is not. The 161.8% extension of Wave 1 is calculated thus: take the stock price movement in Wave 1, multiply it by 1.618, and add that to the stock price at the Wave 2 low, hey presto, that's the 161.8% extension of Wave 1). Anyway. You can see that at the most recent all-time high, QQQ hit the 261.8% (=2.618) extension of Wave 1 almost to the dollar. Again, probably not a coincidence.Then Comes Boiling The Frog2022 comes and here we go with a Wave 4 down. Psychologically, emotionally, and potentially financially, Wave 4s are tough. Most people have become accustomed to the occasional shock and awe flash crash Wave 2. The panic is over as soon as it began. Also due to the mass psychology involved, which usually translates assomeone has to do something, very often, someone does in fact do something - COVID stimulus being a prime example. But in a slow-boil Wave 4, the panic never really rises. Instead it's a stages-of-grief thing where if you're not careful you end up accepting and moving on. Which means you toss your account overboard and start a new day. Except you don't, because that's usually when the market rebounds and then you are too stunned to do anything about it, fearful that you will just buy into the next leg down. Actually the first half of 2022 saw Big Money do a fine job of work in this regard. If you look at how one measure of volatility, the Vix index, has moved vs. the panics of 2020 and indeed the Fed-tightening fear in 2018, it has barely moved at all - just traded sideways in a channel.Vix Chart (TradingView, Cestrian \"Analysis\")There are many reasons for this but chief amongst them has been the institutional use of out-of-the-money index puts that have been rolled out and down through the first half, slow and steady, no freaking out, just dragging down the indices and their proxy ETFs as market makers have had to sell those indices in order to hedge their positions (having sold puts to institutions, market makers are then long the market, so have to sell underlying securities in order to get back to neutral).And this wave 4 right here is what has caused the it's-all-over mentality to take hold, in our view.QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)It's been a deeper-than-expected correction for sure. With a 78.6% retraced Wave 2 you might normally expect a 38.2% retraced Wave 4 - that's based on nothing other than pattern recognition. The 38.2% retracement of Wave 3 was $315, which is where the QQQ set up camp for a while in February this year, before head-faking to the upside then digging for victory once more. Thus far the Wave 4 looks to have bottomed in June, between the 50% and 61.8% retracements of Wave 3.Wait, Isn't This A Bullish Article?So, the title of this article is, \"Dare To Dream\". Looks more like a nightmare for 2022. Or does it? Let's zoom in to see what has happened since those June lows.QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)The waves & Fibonacci approach works in smaller and larger degrees. One cannot say that it's truly fractal in nature, as is often claimed, since there's no perfectly-repeating pattern in smaller and smaller degrees, but we can say that because the extensions and retracements are merely emotional and/or algorithmic reactions to the most recent price movements, they are self-referential in nature and that is why they scale up and down - because a larger degree move is relative to an earlier larger degree move, and a smaller degree move is relative to an earlier smaller degree move.Look at the 5-waves up from the June lows. The Fib levels work nicely - a 78.6% retrace Wave ii, a 223.6% Wave iii extension of Wave i, and we'll see what happens with September options expiry (that's today at the time of writing) does to the Wave iv. But so far there is every chance we then get a smaller degree Wave v up (once September opex is done, a wall of puts will expire and market-maker short hedges will need to be covered, which can drive a move upwards).And if that Wave v happens, and for it to be a Wave v it must peak above the Wave iii high - then that's ongoing confirmation that the June lows were the lows. We aren't there yet. We need to see that Wave v exceed QQQ $335ish. But if we do? Well, if that Wave v does arrive, the bear argument - that we're in a downwards channel that started last November and has featured only countertrend rallies since then - starts to look a lot weaker. Not necessarily wrong, anything can change, but weaker.Then the outlook can be like ... this. A final flourish in the larger degree to complete a 5-wave cycle up off of those 2018 lows.QQQ Chart (TrendSpider, Cestrian Analysis)Now, we don't think this is a Wen Moon situation. We can make a technical argument that QQQ will peak in a Wave 5 in the 500s, 550s even, and maybe it will. But for the record and until facts disturb our opinion, we think that QQQ will make a new high in 2023, maybe early 2024. And then put in a Yikes Wave 2 in the even-larger-degree. Because those 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 waves up you see from 2018 to (maybe) 2023-4? They combine to form probably a Wave 1 up. Which means a Yikes Wave 2 next. Or, maybe they combine to form a Wave 3 up. In which case it's a Doom N Gloom Forever Wave 4 next. Either way, down. In ourGrowth Investor Proservice we lean bullish right now but much of our work positioning for possible upside ahead is done - we have our stocks and ETFs set up with stop ideas and accumulation price zones and price targets and all that. More of our time right now is being spent on ... how do we make big from the move down that comes after the next high. And for that? Stay tuned.Oh and by the way. Want to play QQQ to the long side? Consider this approach.1 - Wait to see if QQQ moves up above $288, which is the 0.786 retrace of the smaller-degree Wave iv above.2 - If no, wait. (This is like one of those early multi-user dungeon games. \"Time passes ....\")3 - If yes, consider buying with a stop-loss a little below that $288 level ... $270-274 makes sense as it's below the Wave ii low so if it gets there, something has gone wrong.4 - Consider accumulating a position in the range of $290-$300, slowly over time, buying on red days not green days.5 - Consider holding to see if we can make it to $335 - the potential Wave v high. That's >10% free money if so. At which point you can set a trailing stop or move your stops up or similar and then just decide how much of an ulcer you want to develop whilst waiting to see if QQQ can indeed beat the 2021 high.Good luck to all!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QQQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937348420,"gmtCreate":1663374771760,"gmtModify":1676537260422,"author":{"id":"4087173082353320","authorId":"4087173082353320","name":"YMF808","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4baafafa8982b2c0a7b4c828a5e3cbfb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087173082353320","authorIdStr":"4087173082353320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bad","listText":"Bad","text":"Bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937348420","repostId":"2268894612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2268894612","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1663366700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2268894612?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-17 06:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why FedEx’s Stock Plunge Is so Bad for the Whole Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268894612","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow Theory ‘sell’ signal is halfway complete, as Dow transports fall below the June low, but Dow ind","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Dow Theory ‘sell’ signal is halfway complete, as Dow transports fall below the June low, but Dow industrials are still above</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9328334e05dc0ed5df3ac2d312f2afcb\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"474\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>(Photo by Michael Smith/Getty Images) GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>FedEx Corp.’s profit warning has cast a pall on the broader stock market, as a record plunge in the package delivery giant’s stock has helped trigger one half of a Dow Theory “sell” signal.</p><p>FedEx shares fell 21.4% to a two-year closing low of $161.02. The $43.85 price decline shaved about 267 points off the Dow Jones Transportation Average, accounting for more than one-third of the Dow transports’ 685.39-point, or 5.1% drop, to 12,825.34.</p><p>The transportation sector tracker broke below its June 17 closing low of 12,868.60, which at the time marked the lowest close in 16 months.</p><p>The Dow transports’ selloff has sent an important message about the health of the broader stock market, given that the index is viewed by many as a leading economic indicator. There’s a saying on Wall Street that the companies in the Dow transports “take” to buyers what the companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average “make.”</p><p>Basically, if transports aren’t taking, the economy isn’t moving, and the stock market will be falling.</p><p>The Dow transports’ new low follows a big 18.2% bounce off the June low to the mid-August closing high of 15,209.96. But since that high was well below the first recovery high seen in March of 16,718.54, which in turn was below the November 2021 record close of 17,039.38, the index has continued a pattern of lower lows and lower highs, which many Wall Street chart watchers say defines a bear market.</p><p>And perhaps more significantly, the lower low completes one half of a “sell” signal, according to some followers of the century-old Dow Theory of market analysis.</p><p>As Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch contributor and founder of Hulbert Ratings LLC, has written, many agree that there are three key ingredients to a Dow Theory “sell” signal.</p><p>First, the Dow industrials and Dow transports must suffer significant selloffs after reaching new highs — Check. The respective June closing lows marked a 24.4% decline in the Dow transports from its record close in November and an 18.8% drop in the Dow industrials from a January record close.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08496542bc0255e974b525be5c16073d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"486\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>FACTSET, MARKETWATCH</span></p><p>Second, significant rallies off the respective lows fail to reach the previous highs — Check. The Dow transports bounced 18.2% off its June low, and the Dow industrials bounced 14.3%, to the mid-August highs, but those highs were well below the respective previous highs.</p><p>And third, both indexes fall below the lows referenced in the “First” ingredient — the indexes are halfway there.</p><p>The Dow transports have checked that box, but the Dow industrials, which slumped 139.40 points, or 0.5%, to 30,822.42 on Friday, were still more than 900 points above the June 17 closing low of 29,888.78.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why FedEx’s Stock Plunge Is so Bad for the Whole Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy FedEx’s Stock Plunge Is so Bad for the Whole Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-17 06:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-fedexs-stock-plunge-is-so-bad-for-the-whole-stock-market-11663352650?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dow Theory ‘sell’ signal is halfway complete, as Dow transports fall below the June low, but Dow industrials are still above(Photo by Michael Smith/Getty Images) GETTY IMAGESFedEx Corp.’s profit ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-fedexs-stock-plunge-is-so-bad-for-the-whole-stock-market-11663352650?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","FDX":"联邦快递",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-fedexs-stock-plunge-is-so-bad-for-the-whole-stock-market-11663352650?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268894612","content_text":"Dow Theory ‘sell’ signal is halfway complete, as Dow transports fall below the June low, but Dow industrials are still above(Photo by Michael Smith/Getty Images) GETTY IMAGESFedEx Corp.’s profit warning has cast a pall on the broader stock market, as a record plunge in the package delivery giant’s stock has helped trigger one half of a Dow Theory “sell” signal.FedEx shares fell 21.4% to a two-year closing low of $161.02. The $43.85 price decline shaved about 267 points off the Dow Jones Transportation Average, accounting for more than one-third of the Dow transports’ 685.39-point, or 5.1% drop, to 12,825.34.The transportation sector tracker broke below its June 17 closing low of 12,868.60, which at the time marked the lowest close in 16 months.The Dow transports’ selloff has sent an important message about the health of the broader stock market, given that the index is viewed by many as a leading economic indicator. There’s a saying on Wall Street that the companies in the Dow transports “take” to buyers what the companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average “make.”Basically, if transports aren’t taking, the economy isn’t moving, and the stock market will be falling.The Dow transports’ new low follows a big 18.2% bounce off the June low to the mid-August closing high of 15,209.96. But since that high was well below the first recovery high seen in March of 16,718.54, which in turn was below the November 2021 record close of 17,039.38, the index has continued a pattern of lower lows and lower highs, which many Wall Street chart watchers say defines a bear market.And perhaps more significantly, the lower low completes one half of a “sell” signal, according to some followers of the century-old Dow Theory of market analysis.As Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch contributor and founder of Hulbert Ratings LLC, has written, many agree that there are three key ingredients to a Dow Theory “sell” signal.First, the Dow industrials and Dow transports must suffer significant selloffs after reaching new highs — Check. The respective June closing lows marked a 24.4% decline in the Dow transports from its record close in November and an 18.8% drop in the Dow industrials from a January record close.FACTSET, MARKETWATCHSecond, significant rallies off the respective lows fail to reach the previous highs — Check. The Dow transports bounced 18.2% off its June low, and the Dow industrials bounced 14.3%, to the mid-August highs, but those highs were well below the respective previous highs.And third, both indexes fall below the lows referenced in the “First” ingredient — the indexes are halfway there.The Dow transports have checked that box, but the Dow industrials, which slumped 139.40 points, or 0.5%, to 30,822.42 on Friday, were still more than 900 points above the June 17 closing low of 29,888.78.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"FDX":1,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9934953197,"gmtCreate":1663192583819,"gmtModify":1676537221216,"author":{"id":"4087173082353320","authorId":"4087173082353320","name":"YMF808","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4baafafa8982b2c0a7b4c828a5e3cbfb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087173082353320","authorIdStr":"4087173082353320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting ","listText":"Interesting ","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934953197","repostId":"1166224654","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166224654","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1663164233,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166224654?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-14 22:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Hot EV Stocks Rallied in Morning Trading with Nikola Jumping 5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166224654","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. hot EV stocks rallied in morning trading with Nikola jumping 5%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. hot EV stocks rallied in morning trading with Nikola jumping 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/001e61e3189131f773067584186d2d92\" tg-width=\"439\" tg-height=\"239\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-14 22:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. hot EV stocks rallied in morning trading with Nikola jumping 5%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/001e61e3189131f773067584186d2d92\" tg-width=\"439\" tg-height=\"239\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166224654","content_text":"U.S. hot EV stocks rallied in morning trading with Nikola jumping 5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NKLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935292338,"gmtCreate":1663106297424,"gmtModify":1676537201604,"author":{"id":"4087173082353320","authorId":"4087173082353320","name":"YMF808","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4baafafa8982b2c0a7b4c828a5e3cbfb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087173082353320","authorIdStr":"4087173082353320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting ","listText":"Interesting ","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935292338","repostId":"2267306615","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935296744,"gmtCreate":1663106271889,"gmtModify":1676537201588,"author":{"id":"4087173082353320","authorId":"4087173082353320","name":"YMF808","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4baafafa8982b2c0a7b4c828a5e3cbfb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087173082353320","authorIdStr":"4087173082353320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Welcome ","listText":"Welcome ","text":"Welcome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935296744","repostId":"1198162643","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935296402,"gmtCreate":1663106231606,"gmtModify":1676537201588,"author":{"id":"4087173082353320","authorId":"4087173082353320","name":"YMF808","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4baafafa8982b2c0a7b4c828a5e3cbfb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087173082353320","authorIdStr":"4087173082353320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935296402","repostId":"1132085913","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132085913","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663077519,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1132085913?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-13 21:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Inflation Tops Forecasts, Cementing Odds of Big Fed Hike","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132085913","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Consumer prices rose 0.1% from July, defying estimate for dropShelter, food and medical care were am","content":"<div>\n<p>Consumer prices rose 0.1% from July, defying estimate for dropShelter, food and medical care were among largest contributorsUS consumer prices were resurgent last month, dashing hopes of a nascent ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-13/us-inflation-tops-forecasts-cementing-odds-of-big-fed-hike\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Inflation Tops Forecasts, Cementing Odds of Big Fed Hike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Inflation Tops Forecasts, Cementing Odds of Big Fed Hike\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-13 21:58 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-13/us-inflation-tops-forecasts-cementing-odds-of-big-fed-hike><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Consumer prices rose 0.1% from July, defying estimate for dropShelter, food and medical care were among largest contributorsUS consumer prices were resurgent last month, dashing hopes of a nascent ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-13/us-inflation-tops-forecasts-cementing-odds-of-big-fed-hike\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-13/us-inflation-tops-forecasts-cementing-odds-of-big-fed-hike","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132085913","content_text":"Consumer prices rose 0.1% from July, defying estimate for dropShelter, food and medical care were among largest contributorsUS consumer prices were resurgent last month, dashing hopes of a nascent slowdown and likely assuring another historically large interest-rate hike from the Federal Reserve.The consumer price index increased 0.1% from July, after no change in the prior month, Labor Department data showed Tuesday. From a year earlier, prices climbed 8.3%, a slight deceleration, largely due to recent declines in gasoline prices.So-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, advanced 0.6% from July and 6.3% from a year ago. All measures came in above forecasts. Shelter, food and medical care were among the largest contributors to price growth.The acceleration in inflation points to a stubbornly high cost of living for Americans, despite some relief at the gas pump. Price pressures are still historically elevated and widespread, pointing to a long road ahead toward the Fed’s inflation target.Chair Jerome Powell said last week that the central bank will act “forthrightly” to achieve price stability, and some policy makersvoiced supportfor another 75 basis-point rate hike. Officials have said their decision next week will be based on the “totality” of the economic data they have on hand, which also illustrates astrong labor marketand weakening consumer spending.Treasury yields surged, the S&P 500 index opened lower and the dollar rose. Tradersboosted betsthat the Fed will raise interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, now seeing such an outcome as locked in.Follow the real-time reaction here on Bloomberg’s TOPLive blog“If there was any doubt at all about 75 -- they’re definitely going 75” at next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, Jay Bryson, chief economist at Wells Fargo & Co., said on Bloomberg Television. “We thought they’d be stepping it back to 50 in November. At this point, you’d say 75 is certainly on the table in November.”Food costs increased 11.4% from a year ago, the most since 1979. Electricity prices rose 15.8% from 2021, the most since 1981. Gasoline prices, meanwhile, fell 10.6% in August, the biggest monthly drop in more than two years.Shelter costs -- which are the biggest services’ component and make up about a third of the overall CPI index -- continue to rise. Overall shelter costs increased 0.7% from July and 6.2% from a year ago, both the most since the early 1990s.Persistently high inflation has dragged down President Joe Biden’s approval ratings and threatened Democrats’ chances of retaining their thin congressional majorities in November’s midterm elections.Biden, in a White House ceremony later Tuesday, plans to argue that he and his fellow Democrats have helped steer the economy back to firmer footing as they tout a sweeping new climate, energy and health care law dubbed the “Inflation Reduction Act.”Sponsored ContentThe Smart Revolution in Artwork ProofreadingBusiness ReporterInflation SnapshotCATEGORYANNUAL INCREASEHISTORICALOutdoor equipment, supplies13.1%RecordHousekeeping supplies11.7%February 1981Food11.4%May 1979Health insurance24.3%RecordVeterinary services10%RecordToys, games6.9%RecordRent of primary residence6.7%April 1986Personal care products6%July 1983Excluding food and energy, the cost of goods was up 0.5% from a month ago while services costs less energy climbed 0.6%. Economists have been expecting goods prices to cool as pent-up demand leads consumers to shift more of their spending toward travel and entertainment, but both remain elevated.Used car prices fell for a second month. Airfares also dropped, likely due to the decline in fuel prices.Nonprescription drugs rose the most on record on an annual basis. Overall medical-care goods posted the largest advance since 2017. As far as health services, health insurance surged a record 24.3% year-over-year.Inflation continues to erode Americans’ wage gains. A separate report Tuesday showed real average hourly earnings fell 2.8% in August from a year earlier, continuing a steady string of declines since last April. On a monthly basis, however, real wages grew for a second month.“The surprisingly strong core CPI in August -- when most thought lower gasoline prices would push down other prices as well -- indicates that wages have now become the top driver of inflation. With Fed officials already highly concerned about a potential wage-price spiral, the central bank is likely to keep hiking in the first half of 2023.”--Anna Wong and Andrew Husby, economists","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9935014132,"gmtCreate":1663019726126,"gmtModify":1676537181057,"author":{"id":"4087173082353320","authorId":"4087173082353320","name":"YMF808","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4baafafa8982b2c0a7b4c828a5e3cbfb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087173082353320","authorIdStr":"4087173082353320"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9935014132","repostId":"2266932667","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}