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程军霞

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- 程军霞程军霞
  ·2021-08-13
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  Temporary inflation theory VS sustained inflation theory, how will US prices go?
  美国本周公布的CPI数据略低于预期，但PPI意外跃升，引发了市场对投入成本的担忧。这些好坏参半的数据并没有帮助调和暂时通胀还是持续通胀的争论，也同样并没有阻止标普500指数创下历史新高。暂时通胀派：
  Temporary inflation theory VS sustained inflation theory, how will US prices go?
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- 程军霞程军霞
  ·2021-08-13
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  [Change] Blockchain concept stocks strengthened, Canaan Technology rose more than 5%
  8月13日，美股区块链概念股走强，Marathon Digital涨近6%，比特矿业、嘉楠科技涨超5%，Riot Blockchain、第九城市涨超3%，Coinbase涨2.6%。
  [Change] Blockchain concept stocks strengthened, Canaan Technology rose more than 5%
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- 程军霞程军霞
  ·2021-08-13
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  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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22:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Temporary inflation theory VS sustained inflation theory, how will US prices go?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159129778","media":"智通财经","summary":"美国本周公布的CPI数据略低于预期，但PPI意外跃升，引发了市场对投入成本的担忧。这些好坏参半的数据并没有帮助调和暂时通胀还是持续通胀的争论，也同样并没有阻止标普500指数创下历史新高。\n暂时通胀派：","content":"<p>U.S. CPI data this week was slightly lower than expected, but PPI jumped unexpectedly, raising concerns about input costs. These mixed numbers haven't helped reconcile the debate over temporary or sustained inflation, and they likewise haven't stopped the S&P 500 from hitting record highs.</p><p>Temporary Inflationists: Inflation is under control</p><p>Zhitong Finance APP learned that,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>In a report, the temporary inflationist camp has an advantage for three reasons:</p><p><b>Pandemic-related inflation drivers are fading</b></p><p>\"Although the pandemic has changed spending patterns and made the data harder to interpret, both the decline in used car and airfare inflation suggest that the distortion is beginning to fade,\" a team of strategists led by Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, wrote in a note. \"The base effect on inflation will begin to disappear from the data in the coming months.\"</p><p><b>Price increases in most commodities are under control</b></p><p>\"Stripping out the distribution's two extreme price changes, the average measure of inflation rose to 3% from 2.9% last month, which is not enough to alarm the Fed. Moreover, while home prices are rising at the fastest pace in 30 years, this will only have an indirect impact on inflation.\"</p><p><b>Energy price increases have passed peak</b></p><p>\"While we expect oil prices to resume their rebound after setbacks in recent weeks, we expect Brent crude prices to stabilize at around $75 through the end of the year and into 2022. A slower rise in oil prices will eliminate a major driver behind headline inflation.\"</p><p>Sustained inflationary faction: rent prices may become a roadblock for falling inflation</p><p>On the other hand, economists expect July's inflation data to remain high but may have peaked. While inflation has expected to peak, the debate over whether inflation has only risen temporarily will not end, with one important concern being that economists expect rents to continue to rise.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Concerns were expressed about the impact of the rapid rebound in owner-equivalent rents. Michelle Meyer, an analyst at Bank of America, said in the report: \"In the medium term, the return of the labor market to the traditional level of shortage and the consequent wage increase will support the trajectory of owner-equivalent rents. We believe that by 2022, owner-equivalent rents will reach 4.5% per year, which will be the strongest growth rate since early 2002. This will keep the broader core inflation above the target value, even if short-term inflation recedes.\"</p><p>Rent prices are likely to continue to rise next year. \"A lot of prices that have temporarily spiked due to the reopening of the economy and rising demand will slow down next year, with the exception of rental costs,\" said Kevin Cummins, chief U.S. economist at NatWest Markets.</p><p>Cummins noted that rents rose 2.3% last year and are expected to rise 2.4% this year. But in 2022, the increase will be even bigger, with rents in the CPI likely to rise by 3.2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCO\">Moody's</a>Mark Zandi, chief economist at the analytics firm, said rents grew more than 8% year-on-year in June and should rise 0.2% or 0.3% in July. \"It will take a while for the transactions taking place in the rental market to show, and by the beginning of next year we will see very strong rental growth, which is sustained and sticky, and a reason why we are nervous about inflation going higher for a long time.\"</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Temporary inflation theory VS sustained inflation theory, how will US prices go?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTemporary inflation theory VS sustained inflation theory, how will US prices go?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-13 22:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. CPI data this week was slightly lower than expected, but PPI jumped unexpectedly, raising concerns about input costs. These mixed numbers haven't helped reconcile the debate over temporary or sustained inflation, and they likewise haven't stopped the S&P 500 from hitting record highs.</p><p>Temporary Inflationists: Inflation is under control</p><p>Zhitong Finance APP learned that,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>In a report, the temporary inflationist camp has an advantage for three reasons:</p><p><b>Pandemic-related inflation drivers are fading</b></p><p>\"Although the pandemic has changed spending patterns and made the data harder to interpret, both the decline in used car and airfare inflation suggest that the distortion is beginning to fade,\" a team of strategists led by Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS, wrote in a note. \"The base effect on inflation will begin to disappear from the data in the coming months.\"</p><p><b>Price increases in most commodities are under control</b></p><p>\"Stripping out the distribution's two extreme price changes, the average measure of inflation rose to 3% from 2.9% last month, which is not enough to alarm the Fed. Moreover, while home prices are rising at the fastest pace in 30 years, this will only have an indirect impact on inflation.\"</p><p><b>Energy price increases have passed peak</b></p><p>\"While we expect oil prices to resume their rebound after setbacks in recent weeks, we expect Brent crude prices to stabilize at around $75 through the end of the year and into 2022. A slower rise in oil prices will eliminate a major driver behind headline inflation.\"</p><p>Sustained inflationary faction: rent prices may become a roadblock for falling inflation</p><p>On the other hand, economists expect July's inflation data to remain high but may have peaked. While inflation has expected to peak, the debate over whether inflation has only risen temporarily will not end, with one important concern being that economists expect rents to continue to rise.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Concerns were expressed about the impact of the rapid rebound in owner-equivalent rents. Michelle Meyer, an analyst at Bank of America, said in the report: \"In the medium term, the return of the labor market to the traditional level of shortage and the consequent wage increase will support the trajectory of owner-equivalent rents. We believe that by 2022, owner-equivalent rents will reach 4.5% per year, which will be the strongest growth rate since early 2002. This will keep the broader core inflation above the target value, even if short-term inflation recedes.\"</p><p>Rent prices are likely to continue to rise next year. \"A lot of prices that have temporarily spiked due to the reopening of the economy and rising demand will slow down next year, with the exception of rental costs,\" said Kevin Cummins, chief U.S. economist at NatWest Markets.</p><p>Cummins noted that rents rose 2.3% last year and are expected to rise 2.4% this year. But in 2022, the increase will be even bigger, with rents in the CPI likely to rise by 3.2%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCO\">Moody's</a>Mark Zandi, chief economist at the analytics firm, said rents grew more than 8% year-on-year in June and should rise 0.2% or 0.3% in July. \"It will take a while for the transactions taking place in the rental market to show, and by the beginning of next year we will see very strong rental growth, which is sustained and sticky, and a reason why we are nervous about inflation going higher for a long time.\"</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/535114.html\">智通财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/535114.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159129778","content_text":"美国本周公布的CPI数据略低于预期，但PPI意外跃升，引发了市场对投入成本的担忧。这些好坏参半的数据并没有帮助调和暂时通胀还是持续通胀的争论，也同样并没有阻止标普500指数创下历史新高。\n暂时通胀派：通胀已可控\n智通财经APP了解到，瑞银在一份报告中指出，暂时通胀论阵营具有优势，有以下三个原因：\n与疫情相关的通胀驱动因素正在消退\n瑞银首席投资官Mark Haefele领导的策略师团在一份报告中写道： \"尽管疫情改变了支出模式，使数据更难解读，但二手车和机票通胀的下降都表明，扭曲现象正开始消退。基数效应对通胀的推动作用将在未来几个月开始从数据中消失。”\n大多数商品的物价上涨得到控制\n“剔除分布的两个极端价格变化后，通货膨胀的平均衡量指标从上个月的2.9%上升到3%，这不足以引起美联储的警惕。 此外，尽管房价正在以30年来最快的速度上涨，但这只会对通胀产生间接影响。”\n能源价格涨幅已过峰值\n“虽然我们预计油价将在最近几周受挫后恢复反弹，但我们预计布伦特原油价格将在今年年底至2022年稳定在75美元左右。 油价上涨放缓，将消除总体通胀背后的一个主要推动力。”\n持续通胀派：房租价格或成为通胀下降拦路虎\n另一方面，经济学家预计，7月份的通胀数据依然高涨，但可能已经见顶。尽管通胀已预期见顶，但关于通胀是否只是暂时上升的争论将不会结束，其中一个重要关注点是，经济学家预计房租将继续上涨。\n美国银行对业主等价租金迅速反弹的影响表示担忧。美银分析师Michelle Meyer在报告中称：\"中期而言，劳动力市场回归至传统的紧缺水平，以及随之而来的工资上涨，将支撑业主等价租金的轨迹。我们认为，到2022年，业主等价租金将达到每年4.5%，这将是自2002年初以来最强劲的增速。这将使得更广泛的核心通胀保持在目标值上方，即使短期通胀消退。”\n房租价格明年可能会继续上涨。NatWest Markets首席美国经济学家Kevin Cummins表示：“很多因为经济的重新开放和需求上升而暂时飙升的价格都将在明年放缓，但租金成本例外。”\nCummins指出，去年的租金上涨了2.3%，今年预计上涨2.4%。但到了2022年，涨幅会更大，CPI中的租金可能会上涨3.2%。\n穆迪分析公司的首席经济学家Mark Zandi表示，6月份的租金同比增长超过8%，7月份应该会上升0.2%或0.3%。“在租赁市场上发生的交易需要一段时间才能显示出来，到明年年初，我们会看到租金增长非常强劲，这是持续的和具有粘性的，也是我们对通胀长期走高感到紧张的一个原因。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SDS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897990945,"gmtCreate":1628866209187,"gmtModify":1676529880800,"author":{"id":"3586987699588218","authorId":"3586987699588218","name":"程军霞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b9e825b205bbccc2c2269e1c534caa","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586987699588218","authorIdStr":"3586987699588218"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897990945","repostId":"1154544226","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154544226","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628862346,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154544226?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-13 21:45","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"[Change] Blockchain concept stocks strengthened, Canaan Technology rose more than 5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154544226","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月13日，美股区块链概念股走强，Marathon Digital涨近6%，比特矿业、嘉楠科技涨超5%，Riot Blockchain、第九城市涨超3%，Coinbase涨2.6%。","content":"<p>On August 13th, U.S. blockchain concept stocks strengthened, and Marathon Digital rose nearly 6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">Bit Mining</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>Up more than 5%, Riot Blockchain,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">9th City</a>It rose more than 3%, and Coinbase rose 2.6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b546354590cc08becdbcb98ce0ccca2b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n[Change] Blockchain concept stocks strengthened, Canaan Technology rose more than 5%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-13 21:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On August 13th, U.S. blockchain concept stocks strengthened, and Marathon Digital rose nearly 6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTCM\">Bit Mining</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAN\">Canaan Technology</a>Up more than 5%, Riot Blockchain,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">9th City</a>It rose more than 3%, and Coinbase rose 2.6%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b546354590cc08becdbcb98ce0ccca2b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38437c39c3981e6d4f1a65407a610d0f","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154544226","content_text":"8月13日，美股区块链概念股走强，Marathon Digital涨近6%，比特矿业、嘉楠科技涨超5%，Riot Blockchain、第九城市涨超3%，Coinbase涨2.6%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BTCM":0.9,"CAN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1775,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897906314,"gmtCreate":1628865996438,"gmtModify":1676529880679,"author":{"id":"3586987699588218","authorId":"3586987699588218","name":"程军霞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b9e825b205bbccc2c2269e1c534caa","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586987699588218","authorIdStr":"3586987699588218"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897906314","repostId":"1138393223","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}