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- StarrynightStarrynight
  ·2021-06-16
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- StarrynightStarrynight
  ·2021-06-15
  
  JPMorgan: More Signs Point to Sustained Recovery in Residential Market, Predicts Further 5% Price Rebound by End-2026
  JPMorgan has released a research report stating that Hong Kong residential property prices have rebounded over 4% since their March 2025 trough. The bank observes increasing signs supporting a...
  JPMorgan: More Signs Point to Sustained Recovery in Residential Market, Predicts Further 5% Price Rebound by End-2026
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The bank would consider buying SHK PPT (00016) if shares retreat to ~HK$85.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan: More Signs Point to Sustained Recovery in Residential Market, Predicts Further 5% Price Rebound by End-2026</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan: More Signs Point to Sustained Recovery in Residential Market, Predicts Further 5% Price Rebound by End-2026\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036600163\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3bf6d02ad1a6e9e7377eebbb162346a);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Stock News </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-11-03 16:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>JPMorgan has released a research report stating that Hong Kong residential property prices have rebounded over 4% since their March 2025 trough. The bank observes increasing signs supporting a sustained recovery in the housing market, including resilient stock market performance (historically showing strong correlation with property prices via wealth effects), pent-up demand driving consistently strong transaction volumes, banks raising property valuations, declining listing volumes in the secondary market, more transactions closing above valuation prices (fueling FOMO sentiment), expectations of further (at least modest) mortgage rate cuts, shrinking inventory levels, rising rents, sustained interest from mainland buyers (whose population is projected for structural growth), and financial sector recovery (Hong Kong's largest GDP contributor). Against this backdrop, the bank forecasts an additional ~5% price rebound by end-2026. While acknowledging persistent headwinds (e.g., potential price cuts by high-risk developers, elevated unemployment in certain sectors), JPMorgan believes positive factors will dominate near-term dynamics. However, its constructive outlook hinges on continued Hang Seng Index resilience, given the sentiment-driven nature of property markets - with a key downside risk being stock market crashes (though not the base case). Among Hong Kong developers, JPMorgan prefers SINO LAND (00083) (lower risk; secure 6% dividend yield), followed by HENDERSON LAND (00012) (higher 6.6% yield but with dividend cut risks). The bank would consider buying SHK PPT (00016) if shares retreat to ~HK$85.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"80016":"新鸿基地产-R","LU2226123490.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Asia-Pacific Property Income A5m SGD","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","BK4566":"资本集团","LU0006306889.USD":"SCHRODER ISF US LARGE CAP \"A\" (USD) INC AV","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2237443549.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - Global Dynamic Dividend A MIncA SGD-H","LU0683600562.USD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1032466523.USD":"高盛全球多资产收益组合Acc","LU1084165304.USD":"FIDELITY WORLD \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BFXG1179.USD":"BNY MELLON U.S. EQUITY INCOME \"B\" (USD) INC","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","LU0787776722.HKD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - 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The bank observes increasing signs supporting a sustained recovery in the housing market, including resilient stock market performance (historically showing strong correlation with property prices via wealth effects), pent-up demand driving consistently strong transaction volumes, banks raising property valuations, declining listing volumes in the secondary market, more transactions closing above valuation prices (fueling FOMO sentiment), expectations of further (at least modest) mortgage rate cuts, shrinking inventory levels, rising rents, sustained interest from mainland buyers (whose population is projected for structural growth), and financial sector recovery (Hong Kong's largest GDP contributor). Against this backdrop, the bank forecasts an additional ~5% price rebound by end-2026. While acknowledging persistent headwinds (e.g., potential price cuts by high-risk developers, elevated unemployment in certain sectors), JPMorgan believes positive factors will dominate near-term dynamics. However, its constructive outlook hinges on continued Hang Seng Index resilience, given the sentiment-driven nature of property markets - with a key downside risk being stock market crashes (though not the base case). Among Hong Kong developers, JPMorgan prefers SINO LAND (00083) (lower risk; secure 6% dividend yield), followed by HENDERSON LAND (00012) (higher 6.6% yield but with dividend cut risks). The bank would consider buying SHK PPT (00016) if shares retreat to ~HK$85.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"80016":1,"00012":1,"00016":1,"00083":1,"03121":1,"03145":1,"JPM":1,"SUHJY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}